KoalaBeer

Absolutely ripping out now. Patriots laying a turd is putting a damper on me enjoying this storm though.

Really coming down now.

Someone is having fun with mPing. Can see where the rain snow line sets up nicely.

It’s really not snowing that hard here but still seems to be adding up quick. Pretty good ratio stuff up my way. Was playing with the dog outside and wasn’t easy to make snowballs for her to catch.

Snow rates really dropped off here. Expecting a lull then things to really pick up in about 2 hours. Eyeballing about 2 inches.

Looks good Interior Essex county through northern Middlesex should jack with this one.

.25" sitting at 28.9f and moderate snow, starting to add up nicely.

Feeling good about my spot in the Merrimack Valley for this one

Radars evolving nicely for this front end thump. Surprised I'm forecast to get 12 inches here starting in a few hours but am still under a WWA. Guess it's a duration thing but can't say I've ever seen that before. Got to run to the store though, moved this summer and realizing I have no idea were my snow brushes are for the cars.

And people here were complaining about heated walkways at ski areas...imagine they started clearing the parking lots with this thing. Anyways our eventual system is impressive on the west coast, not every day you see a 974mb pressure in OR in November. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=K4S1&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325

Believe what you want but the statistics don't back it up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heat_wave#Mortality https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2019/07/26/europes-killer-heat-waves-are-new-norm-death-rates-shouldnt-be/

Not to mention with the improved lead time and warnings we have now it thankfully makes it harder to obtain a fatality toll like 78. Heat definitely kills more, but it's a lot harder to put a number on it.

At least NWS Nashville is having fun with the upcoming cold pattern. The units of panic is a nice touch.

Nothing like having a second meltdown over someone else telling you already had one. Just to funny. I'll be happy if I see any flakes this week and will wait to see if we can cash in early next week. Would rather see the slopes get the goods this time of year anyways even if that means rain for SNE.

TOR warning for Philadelphia. Overall though surface obs across the mid Atlantic aren't to impressive. Lot of gusts in the 40s.

This thread is pretty funny. You'd think think this is the biggest wind event of this century skimming through the posts. I'm expecting 45-50 gust here and short lived. We will survive.

Quite the sever outbreak across OK AND TX ongoing...that Dallas cell Mesoscale Discussion 2091 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0908 PM CDT Sun Oct 20 2019 Areas affected...North Dallas Metropolitan Area Concerning...Tornado Watch 676... Valid 210208Z - 210245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 676 continues. SUMMARY...Tornado is currently ongoing across northern Dallas County. The environment is supportive of a strong tornado, with additional tornadoes possible downstream in the next hour or so. DISCUSSION...Recent radar signatures from KFWS reveal an intense supercell characterized by a 0.5 degree rotational velocity between 60 and 65 kt. A tornadic debris signature has also been noted on recent radar scans. This signature is occurring in an environment characterized by STP between 3 and 4. Previous signatures within similar environments produced damage-estimated wind speeds from 120 to 160 mph and a confidence is high for an intense tornado. ..Squitieri/Grams.. 10/21/2019

Power out here in west Methuen.

Rocking here in North Andover. Was surprised to see a few power flashes though, I guess the wet ground and foliated trees aren’t helping. Impressive storm on sat images. Down to 988mb here.

https://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/rad/gen-ltdwr.cgi?pl=dhr&cu=1&loop=no&ident=BOS

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A marginal wind damage/tornado threat may develop across parts of southern New England this evening. The threat should remain below levels needed for watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over the lower Great Lakes region. A plume of mid-level moisture is located across northern New York and New England with a dry slot moving northeastward into the Northeast. Ahead of the dry slot, a broad area of rainfall is located from eastern New York into southern New England. At the surface, a rapidly deepening low is located just south of New York City. The RAP is analyzing a corridor of instability from near New Jersey extending well offshore. Thunderstorms are developing on the northern edge of this instability to the south of Long Island. This convection is forecast to move north-northeastward across southern New England over the next few hours. The WSR-88D VWP show a strong shear profile with 0-6 km shear near 60 kt and 0-1 km shear near 40 kt. In spite of the weak instability, the shear environment suggests that the stronger cells at the back edge of the rain shield may be able to rotate. These cells may become strong enough for a marginal wind damage and isolated tornado threat as they move across far southern New England this evening.

To be fair a 975mb low doesn’t cut inland across the state often in winter either. Lack of mixing is inhibiting this from being a more significant event.

Highest I see on mesowest is 43 at Atlantic City. Looking good on the IR floater now. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=KACY&unit=0&timetype=LOCAL edit: down to 992mb there as well. Starting to bomb.

I enjoyed the segment and thought it was pretty funny. I never got why the general public relies on Accuweather so much and I've always have tried to steer my family and friends straight to the source (NWS). Joe Bastardi used to work for them right? Would have been funny if he incorporated that into the segment as well.

FWIW BOX is going with 35-50 kt gusts on the coastal plain right now. I don't think that's an unreasonable forecast. These never seem to work out here in NW Essex county however. I'll pretty much always take the under on these events for wind in these parts. October 29-30 2017 was an exception here though, LWM gusted to 51mph before it stopped reporting. I would guess we had a few 65/70 gusts that night. Surprisingly that event doesn't get talked abut much as it was an interesting setup. Those big pines were snapping all over that night.