KoalaBeer

Jackman Jackpot. You won’t hear me complain one bit if NNE gets 2ft and we are the sacrificial lamb in SNE. I just want to ride and hopefully do some backcountry stiff soon with all the COVID restrictions at resorts. Still a wild amount of solutions on the table this far out.

Wonder what happened to NH in there high end map .

Haha it's kind of always funny seeing the local news a step behind the forum. They are going to use this mornings and afternoon model runs to hype up the potential for a significant warning criteria storm in NH, while we watch this evenings model runs live shunt this east and possibly give more significant impacts to SNE. Not that I'm ready to jump ship for CNE or NNE on this as I alluded to in my last post....I just get a chuckle watching the local news rely on previous runs while mets on here are starting to discuss entirely different scenarios. Showing old data certainly adds to the "weatherman get paid to be wrong" mentality I hear the general public gripe about all the time but I also get why showing the most recent model runs on such short notice on a live broadcast is problematic especially before the meteorologist on staff hasn't had the time to fully analyze those said model runs.

I'm certainly going to trust the 12z Euro solution and consensus of the globals over one run of 18z NAM....especially at the time frame we are talking (~48-60hrs out) but a weaker and more east solution would certainly suck. I'd rather the system be amped and more west drenching me with two inches of rain if that means ski country gets crushed. I'm going to be pissed if the major mountains in NH and ME smoke cirrus on this one. This is a big opportunity for resorts to be able to expand terrain and spread everyone out before the holiday rush, something that could prove vital to them saying open with recent COVID statistics.

I’m having a hard time believing I might be abandoning my plans to head to Ossipee for this and staying in Hampton....but if these runs continue that just may be the case. Either way I’m getting the splitboard waxed up and hoping the mountains of Maine at least get nailed if the Whites don’t.

I think I'm going to head up to my parents cabin in Freedom, NH tomorrow and take my chances there. Could end up being decent there if it's cold enough but the elevation there is only about 400' so that's not helping....and man those euro ensembles are a pretty insane range of solutions. But screw it, beats sticking around here and getting blasted by 36F rain and 50mph winds in Hampton....I do miss living in my old Methuen jackpot spot a little although that looks no good for this storm either. The most I've measured here since moving last Dec was 5 inches of cement.

Not much happening on the NH seacoast. I doubt I barely even gusted to 45 right on the water and this line off Cape Ann that has some higher winds looks to miss to the east.

Starting to pick up here on the NH seacoast. Gusting to 45 on Isle of Shoals. I've had some decent events since moving here last December but nothing that's wowed me. Only thing between me and the ocean is "The Wall" so I figured I'd see some higher winds by now. Maybe this evening will impress. Speaking of wind events I still hold Oct 2017 as the strongest I've witnessed around here but it seldom gets talked about which is weird considering Maine and NH had just about as many outages as the 2008 ice storm....but if I remember correctly areas closer to Boston didn't get hit nearly as bad. I'm guessing we hit 75-80mph where I lived in Methuen at the time but unfortunately LWM airport lost power and stopped transmitting. Never seen 5 utility poles snapped like twigs from any other wind event in the Merrimack valley.

About to pour a collab they did with Vitamin Sea. Can’t wait to try it.

Not sure if this is the right spot for this thread so mods please move if this belongs in a different subforum. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/09/21/noaa-chief-scientist-maue/ https://earther.gizmodo.com/noaa-taps-new-chief-scientist-who-downplays-climate-cha-1845133738 It's definitely an interesting choice. I certainly don't agree with many of his thoughts on climate change but he also seems to have moderated his views on climate denial as well. I can think of a ton of better choices then him, but I can also think of some that are a hell of a lot worse. Would sharpie gate have ever happened if Maue was at the helm? Thoughts?

Ditto this. I've only ever been on a board my whole life but managed a ski/snowboard shop for 5 years before getting out of retail. I would really push the customers to budget out most of there money on boots first whether on skis or a board. You could have the best skis and bindings on the market but if your boots suck you're going to have a bad time. Although I got to say 400-500 days on those boots!? I hope you changed out the toe and heel lugs man those wear down and cause bindings to not release properly. Snowboard boots are 100 days max in my experience but they also aren't made up of hard plastic. Damn I can't wait for the season to get here....

Pretty excited to see the surf here in Hampton tomorrow. Should be pretty sweet to watch the surfers at the wall in the afternoon. I sure as hell won't be paddling out there tomorrow in those conditions.

Quite the photogenic storm up this way.

Sunrise before the storm in Hampton. I must admit my expectations are low but we shall see what happens.

Haha oh man I happily forgot Big Joe even existed. I remember 16 year old me tracking hurricanes and I thought that dude was the GOAT of forecasting tropical systems....ohh how much I've learned. But anyways, when should I start boarding up in Hampton?

Tropics looking pretty open for business as the AEW starts cranking come early August in addition to what's already out there now. ECMWF spaghettios is pretty eye opening for the first week of next month. Things are shaping up to be a pretty wild year, lets see if we can get a storm to finally swing up our way.

Looks like this could turn in to quite the active day. A lot of short term models are holding that line together right to the coast. Starting to see some broad rotation on this cell in Maine as well.

Decent looking shelf cloud looking west off my back porch in Hampton.

Damn, those velocities on radar down by Woonsocket are no joke. I got split big time here in Hampton, ground is barely even wet. Temp went from 86 down to 62 in an hours time though right on the coast.

Might as well revive this thread as it looks like the tropics briefly turn active in the WPAC and BOB. TD 01 in the looks like it should make landfall in the Philippines as typhoon as conditions look quite favorable ahead of it as it tracks around the subtropical ridge. The ECMWF solution in the BOB is what really grabs my attention however. It's never a good thing when the Euro is showing a storm as such in this region. Long ways out on that one so things will most definitely change, but the potential is there.

6z NAM goes wild.

Wasn’t expecting to get blasted like this on the coast with wind. Easily 35mph plus sustained right now with gusts to 55-60. Funny I’m not under any wind advisory...that last storm that walloped the south shore it didn’t even gust above 40 here.

TDS on SE Texas storm. Warning definitely needs to be extended. Edit: right on cue, classic donut hole on radar.

Dual couplets

Gusted to 69mph at KMLU as it passed through. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=KMLU&unit=0&timetype=GMT