KoalaBeer

I use this. https://mesowest.utah.edu

So much for a high of 16 today….really impressive storm with the rates combined with the arctic cold. Been a while since we’ve had one like this. Enjoy everyone.

And this is why we can’t have nice things… When the actual Mets with a degree stop posting as much and we wonder why, the past few pages are the answer. I may not post much but the reason I lurk often is because of the insights you get here from actual meteorologists that they otherwise aren’t going to share on official NWS products etc. If you want a cookie cutter risk adverse discussion go read your local AFD twice a day dink. So a special thank you to posters such as Brooklyn, Coastal, Chris, Wiz, Seymour and Tip (even though I don’t know what you are saying 50% of the time, something about the flow being raging fast!) Your insights are much appreciated from me.

Brick sidewalks are a literal death trap in Portland right now. Almost just died getting home from work, had to shuffle walk like a duck. 32 and light rain.

Festive in downtown Portland. Been snowing pretty much non stop since 9AM with not a ton to show for it but we’ll take it.

Absolute white out on the Sunday River cams. Surprised to see no WWA up there from what people were telling me who travelled down from sugarloaf etc. today. Im liking my spot in Portland for Tuesdays deal.

East end Portland ME about 15 minutes ago.

I’ll come out of hibernation and bite against my better judgement. It’s funny (or not) how CC became such a bipartisan issue. I was watching the documentary The White House Effect on Netflix last night and didn’t realize how seriously the bush administration took global warming, at first accepting the scientific facts but eventually whitewashing it as up to debate. How much we have regressed since then is depressing. It should not be a D vs R issue. Anyways hope all of you are well. Just got a snowmaking gun delivered to work today so I’ll be making and frolicking in the white stuff before the rest of you weenies.

Uhh just check the NHC website.. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/154002.shtml?cone#contents

Agreed. I guess that why I put capture in parentheses. I think the interaction will pull it more northward then some of the eastward solutions being thrown out there is all I’m saying. I like the St Marks call for landfall as a low end Cat 4. I certainly wouldn’t let my guard down in places like TLH.

Zooming out and looking at the big picture is mesmerizing. Strongly recommend going to watch the loop and switching over to water vapor as well which highlights the interaction with the trough. Already hints of it getting “captured” which I think limits how far east this goes. Despite what others are saying I’ll stick with the NHC. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=us&product=wv_mid

Fair enough. It’s not super uncommon with these high end systems. Florence is another one that comes to mind that dropped a fairly widespread 20-30+ inches.

Tornado threat ramping up into the afternoon. CC drop on this one by Ehrhardt SC.

Straight from the mouth of the NHC. Just read the 5 pm forecast discussion. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/242058.shtml Of equal importance to the forecast intensity is Helene's forecast size. Helene's forecast radii are at the 90th percentile of major hurricane size at similar latitudes, and therefore storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will likely extend well away from the center and outside the forecast cone, particularly on the east side.