George BM

I just hope that we can keep this general pattern over the next couple of months.

This is only based off of what I personally have observed in these parts. So this is in absolutely no way expert analysis. I've noticed that the few times that we can actually do "well enough" and get close to maximizing our potential with low CAPE/high shear convective events is whenever we have a trough that tilts negative to our west with a strengthening surface low moving up the Appalachian Mountains. April 6, 2017 comes to mind. Also December 21, 2018 which probably no one remembers because the storms from this "event" only produced some brief 40-50+mph wind gusts and small hail from NVA into north/central MD and was more localized than this mornings event... but it was still at least something for late Dec and the wind profiles were weaker for that "event". This is assuming that CAD erodes quickly enough of course. I know... this is a very small sample size I'm sure there might be a few that I didn't mention. People on here who know more than me, what's your take?

@yodaI see that you're finally up.

Maybe we get our dues all at once? ...

I thought we had a coastal that looked like this in late January 2017 with a very similar setup that did indeed end up being all rain. I may have the year wrong though. Monday January 23, 2017. It was the one year anniversary of the 2016 blizzard and there was moderate to heavy rain with fairly strong winds through the first half of the day. Far NW areas changed over to frozen (mainly sleet iirc) and got some minor accumulations. And also, yeah, I remember a NWS disco out of ME or New England with very "irritated sounding" wording about it being late January that year yet not being able to get much in the way of any snow. ETA: Could have sworn I was in banter... sorry about that.

@psuhoffman I don't have anything to add but thank you so much for the time and effort put into this!

Congratulations!

Anyway, congratulations @yoda.

IAD actually hit 33F.

Update: IAD: 10/25 DCA: 11/03 BWI: 10/25 RIC: 11/03 Oct Precip: 24.76"

IAD: 1/20 DCA: 1/20 BWI: 1/20 RIC: 1/20 Oct Precip: 99.76"

I'm guessing you don't have much light pollution where you are to be able to notice that detail? ETA: 27/15 IAD.

Thread created August 23, 2011 at 1:51pm edt. Earthquake occured August 23, 2011 at 1:51pm edt. I'm just picturing Kenny weenieing bigly ninjaly whipping up the earthquake thread while mass chaos ensues all around him.