George BM

I'm pulling for your mother to make a full recovery.

I echo everyone else on here in saying I hope you make a full recovery.

Absolutely definitely.

Official twitter statement.

Gunny. I thought that the clouds had a bit of a smoky look to them... though I'm at the west end of Fairfax county with winds in the lower-levels of the atmosphere out of the west. So it may be my imagination after all... hopefully... there was an area of smoke rising from about a mile or a few NNW of the Costco in Sterling, VA as I was leaving there around 5:30pm... 61/12 at IAD currently. A 49F dewpoint depression and 14% relative humidity. Great day for outside burning.

Just got a burst of heavy graupel from said cell in Herndon, VA. Neat.

Yeah. March 3rd is getting a tornadic streak lately.

How many are showing up to the ceremony?

The Tennessee tornado becomes the first violent tornado of the year in the US.

Me thinks some get too heated over things that don't affect them.

Clearing.

A low risk of some thunder and perhaps some gusty winds tomorrow depending on the amount of sunshine we can get. Low-level lapse rates look steep... with mid-level lapse rates looking somewhat steep as well. And FWIW... SPC doesn't even have us in a 10% thunder risk for tomorrow so...

Drink safely!

Meteorological Spring is upon us!

@WxWatcher007 What is your guesstimate of the maximum snowfall rates that you've encountered up their over the past few days? Have you heard any thunder or seen any lightning?

I personally say (if you have the time) Map. Go for it.

If the surface low of that mid next week system can track just off to our northwest lots of models have some impressive wind fields. CAPE would be the main question though mainly because of warmer low/mid-level temperatures... and also climo in general (it's still on the early side)... Though the February 7th system probably has a few choice words for me about that "climo" statement.

They made a reference to that event in the 1630z update.

Day 2 MRGL wind in southern zones.

@Kmlwx Indeed I am. June 23rd is around the corner.

Knowing our luck... probably. My ideal pattern over the next couple months, say through June, would be for this pattern to last through early May. Then the NAO will tank to strongly negative from say May 10th onward while a ridge builds into western Canada over a trough in the western US (-EPO/-PNA) allowing for a ridge to build over the southern 1/2 to 2/3rds of the nation east of the Rockies while a trough gets locked in between the Great Lakes and Hudson Bay in response to the ridge nosing into western Canada(-EPO) AND the ridge over Greenland (-NAO). Think May 30-31, 1998 but through the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic instead.