George BM
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Posts posted by George BM
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1 minute ago, Kmlwx said:
I was kind of surprised to see the hatching for a D3 outlook. The outlook text reads less like a hatched day and more like a higher end SLGT day. Could just be because it's out in range for now.
It looks like the NAM nest focuses the best parameters just to the west of the metro area, the 12k version had it in the immediate metro area and east. It looks like it still has that little meso-low type feature.
Yeah. March climo and the tendency for overnight storms to our west to sink south of modeled are really keeping my expectations in check for Sunday atm.
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The last time, from my memory anyway, that DC was in a hatched zone was on a Day 3 outlook for April 6, 2017.
The last time, from my memory anyway, that DC was in a hatched zone at gametime was on February 24, 2016.
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58 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:
Great reminder about Radarscope -- I'm going to pull the trigger on that today or tomorrow. Have been meaning to buy it for the past year or two for my phone, but always found other apps to waste money on.
I actually just got Radarscope yesterday for my phone. It's wonderful for tracking severe weather.
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Ah, great to see the weather.cod.edu site taking a lunch break now.
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Just now, CAPE said:
Avocado. Not even close.
But how about Avocado juice?
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Okay. Let me try this.
I hope you had great birthdays last week!
@NorthArlington101 @fourseasons
Happy Birthday to you both!
@Always in Zugzwang @vastateofmind
Happy Birthday to you both in advance!
Did I miss anyone?
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11 hours ago, Clueless said:
I wanted to come in dead last. Maybe next winter.
My friend my friend neva gonna happen my friend.
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5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:
Have we had any snow in March? If no, when was the last time we had a March with 0 snow? I know there hasn’t been one time here since at least 2008
Three possible years (I don't know for certain. I'm just basing this off of the weather pattern that I remember at those times.) are 2010, 2012 and maybe 2020?
Obviously, it also depends on the reporting location.
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1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:
All runways are oriented to compass direction. So runway 18 would be 180 degrees (due south).
Oh wow. I actually never knew that... nearly 18 years near the airport and you'd think I'd know this.
I love learning new things though.
48/46 w/ drizzle at IAD.
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13 hours ago, MN Transplant said:
Looks terrible on mobile! Glad they did a redesign though, they wouldn’t bother if it wasn’t being used.
Yeah. It's all more spread out than before requiring scrolling on mobile (it wasn't like that before). But like you said, they bothered which = it's being used.
*Sidenote: Is runway 19 and 01 at Dulles really oriented from 190* to 10*? I always thought it was due north to south.
Perhaps just some kind of approximation?
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@yoda Ay, where're you at?
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1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:
Hopefully April will start to bring opportunities for us. But often we end up waiting until May/June for the meaty stuff.
April of 2019 was better than usual as a whole for these parts. The April 14-15th event could've been something memorable if timing was + or - 12 hours. A lot of moonlit skies between the storms that night once the mid-level dryslot moved overhead. Make that sunshine and add 5-10F then...
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Just now, yoda said:
MRGL risk gets into C VA and S MD for Thursday
With the SLGT getting north of Richmond... though March climatology... Caddy Waddy...
I'm low-key watching far southern zones for now, though.
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40 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:
I mentioned a trip to Water's End Brewery in Lake Ridge, VA yesterday afternoon....probably a 10-15 minute diversion off of I-95 south, and well worth the trip. Current beers on the board repped in first pic here....I started with the sweet/sour cherry pie, and while I am not a fruity beer fan...it was damn good. Barkeep said they're working a sweet/sour cherry pie to debut in a couple weeks that will be a bit more on sour side...what I had was fairly balanced. Mrs. V started out with Damn Beer, which is their everyday IPA and quite good. I followed my first draft with a Barleybeast -- which was, bar none, THE BEST barleywine draft I've ever had. I regret leaving without a crowler/growler of that...which is why Mrs. V and I are headed back there in a week or two before it's gone.
And, on our way back from Water's End, we circled back through Potomac Town Center at Stonebridge to complete our weekly grocery run at the Wegman's there, and I finally found the "Saturday Morning" Lucky-Charms-themed four-pack there from Smartmouth, that I mentioned us hearing about not quite a year ago on its debut. There were national stories written about the "Lucky Charms" beer that was selling out as soon as it was made available. Mrs. V and I split one this afternoon and I was...underwhelmed. Don't get me wrong, it's a tasty IPA...just not a particularly well-flavored/themed one. Smartmouth touts the marshmallow flavor on the label, but try as we might...we didn't get that from the nose/taste of it at all. Again, a great everyday IPA, I just didn't feel that it lived up to the hype.
Very nice.
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So, in other words, the "Saturday Morning" was a similar situation to the Popeyes Chicken sandwich hype from 2019-2020?
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Nice loops below. Time sensitive.
96 frame (8 hour loop) top.
200 frame (16 hour 35 minute loop) bottom.
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1 minute ago, CAPE said:
If anyone is bored or just having a beer and wants to watch it snow in Denver..
Another good link to watch and drink.
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IAD has reached 79F so far.
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6 minutes ago, Cobalt said:
An awful lot of weather chat in our political subforum today
See my post in the Cicada thread. You and I are in a precarious position for still being over 8 weeks out from the event.
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2 minutes ago, Stormfly said:
Anyone have sensors measuring soil temperature?
For a 17 year event this may prove worth it!
Indeed.
Meanwhile I'm precariously close to the southern edge of the forecasted swarm area here in northern VA with over 8 weeks to go. I can't afford any northward shifts.
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@SomeguyfromTakomaPark and/or any runner out there.
Have you experienced Cuboid Syndrome? If you did how did you treat it?
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Hit the teens for a second morning in a row at IAD.


2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
Yeap. No CG lightning detected anywhere in the region on radarscope.