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George BM

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    January Discobs 2021

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

    Got up to 33 yesterday and stayed there all day.  Minor ice on the underbrush and pines.  Def over an inch but havent measured the spillover from the 1" mark yet.  Creek almost came out of its banks after the heavy burst yesterday eve.  Soggy, muddy mess...

    We should each go into our records for this winter and see how much rain we get while the temperature is 33F. 

    Personal Favorite/Most "Extreme" Wx Event of 2020 (Your POV)

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

    For me it was the cloud that developed right overhead that day back in the summer. I can’t remember the day that was. Someone I think said it was due to a jet streak whatever that means. But I was in the golf course and it was chilly. With the sun it was quite pleasant. A cloud moved in front of the sun and it was much less pleasant. I remember thinking once that cloud moves in it will be nice. But it just kept growing, never moving. Looking at it later on satellite was fascinating. It looked like it was about 20 miles wide and extended sw to ne across part of our region. I was right under it. Very cool weather event and further testament to just how boring the year was weather wise.

    Reminds me of the weather in this region on November 3rd this past year w/ a deck of clouds extending from wsw/sw to ene/ne... But you said it was during the summer so I don't know for sure whether you are talking about the event I mentioned or a different one as those "standing cloud-deck features" actually occur at least occasionally every year, though usually not as frequently in the summer.

    Personal Favorite/Most "Extreme" Wx Event of 2020 (Your POV)

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Another year is over and, like always, I'm a curious and noisy young man. :cory:

    What weather event(s) stood out for you personally in the past year?

    For me despite a very boring year in general I lucked into two decent (by MBYs standards) thunderstorms on June 4th and June 22nd. Both storms featured sheets of rain w/ 40-45mph wind gusts. 

    The June 4th storm dropped the visibility to below 400 feet at one point.

     

    I know I know a lot of you will happy about that but MBY usually gets missed way more often than not. 

    Welp, how about you guys? What event(s) stood out to you this past year (2020)?

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    22 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

    Yessir! GFSv16 is doing the same thing and NAM nest was about to do the same thing as the NAM. RGEM laid it down too. This trend is undeniable. Whoever gets this deformation axis will likely hit 8-12"+. The lift is off the charts. Triple closed ULL over the Big Bend is textbook for historic snowfalls down here. 

    What snowfall rates are you anticipating in your region should this band develop? Any chance at thundersnow? 

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    42 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

    Well it doesn’t snow on June 25th either so...

    Yeah. I've given up tryin to figure out 2021. Summer weather in the winter then it gets colder until it starts snowing once we get into meteorological summer. :arrowhead:

    In all seriousness though, Merry Christmas to you. :santa:

    • Like 1

    Christmas Eve Mega Front Disco/Obs

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

    I'm not sure. Unfortunately my rain gauge froze and cracked. I'd estimate probably 2"+. That never fails here.

     

    17 minutes ago, CAPE said:

    Looks like 3.25" is the total. Forecast was for 1-2". Another over-performer. :raining:

     

    12 minutes ago, SnowtoRain said:

    3.14", just topped 70" for the year

    Congrats to you all as always! :tomato::flood:

    2.25" at IAD 

    1.48" at DCA

    1.04" at BWI

    December Banter 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    On 12/20/2020 at 8:08 PM, JakkelWx said:

    It's January 10th 2021 and I am still shoveling the 30 inches of snow in my driveway, as of 11 AM. I started at 9 AM. Ji is still not happy because he only received 35 inches instead of 36

    Experienced 3-4"/hr snowfall rates w/ 45-50 mph wind gusts through the wee hours this morning. I even witnessed thundersnow thrice! :) 

    The wait for a storm to take advantage of this pattern was definitely worth it. It's unfortunate that Ji couldn't just enjoy the storm instead of worrying about the back-edge. He may be the first poster to ever get reaped by da reaper in the middle of a HECS.

    @WxWatcher007 is this true?... about this being the first reaping to take place during a HECS? Btw, one of those lightning strikes may have been your reaping now that I think about it. The flash that I saw fits with the time of Ji's reaping.

     

    • Haha 1
    • Weenie 1

    December Discobs 2020

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    And there it is...

      

    509 AM EST Wed Dec 23 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of DC...Maryland and Virginia, including the following
  areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Anne Arundel,
  Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and
  Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore,
  Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince
  Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore and St. Marys. In
  Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Culpeper,
  Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson,
  Northern Fauquier, Orange, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park,
  Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and
  Western Loudoun.

* From Thursday afternoon through late Thursday night

* One and half to two and half inches of rain are expected Thursday
  afternoon and Thursday night. This is expected to result in flash
  flooding of small streams and creeks and possible river flooding.

$$

LFR

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

    @nj2va  Sounds like Deep Creek will be the place to be for Christmas.... Hopefully a few of those squalls will make their way over the mountains.  Would be sweet to see snow squall warnings popping up x-mas day.  

    
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Strong low pressure center and accompanying sfc cold front will
cross the area on Christmas Eve and will be accompanied by
heavy showers, potentially damaging winds, and as much as 2
inches of rain that could lead to flash flooding given saturated
soils from melting snow and very wet second half of the year
over central and southern MD. The showers could end as a very
brief period of snow showers before ending with minimal
accumulation outside of the Appalachians. However, strong CAA
late Thu night will result in rapidly falling temperatures with
a flash freeze possible. Very cold air aloft pouring in late Thu
night and Fri will result in steepening lapse rates and
potential squally weather over the mtns with intense snow
showers possible. Wind chills will also be a concern for the
mtns where sub-zero wind chills are possible and a very cold day
and night Fri-Fri night elsewhere.

    Some runs of the gfs yesterday, particularly the 12z and 18z runs, were aggressive with getting convective snow showers east of the mountains on Christmas morning. We'll see if it becomes more aggressive again and eventually if CAMs pick up on this closer in time.

    • Like 1
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