George BM

Nice loops below. Time sensitive.

96 frame (8 hour loop) top.

200 frame (16 hour 35 minute loop) bottom.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-central-comp_radar-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-central-comp_radar-200-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

If anyone is bored or just having a beer and wants to watch it snow in Denver..

 

Another good link to watch and drink.

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/colorado/denver/?cam=denver

Just a bit of happy hour digital CAPE to enjoy with your liquor on this Friday night.

IAD has reached 79F so far.

6 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

An awful lot of weather chat in our political subforum today 

See my post in the Cicada thread. You and I are in a precarious position for still being over 8 weeks out from the event.

2 minutes ago, Stormfly said:

Anyone have sensors measuring soil temperature?

For a 17 year event this may prove worth it!

Indeed.

Meanwhile I'm precariously close to the southern edge of the forecasted swarm area here in northern VA with over 8 weeks to go. I can't afford any northward shifts. 

@SomeguyfromTakomaPark and/or any runner out there.

Have you experienced Cuboid Syndrome? If you did how did you treat it?

Hit the teens for a second morning in a row at IAD.

2 hours ago, CAPE said:

0z EPS implies flatter wave(s) damping with eastward movement early next week, a similar outcome to one of the common themes of the winter when there has been a strong vortex near the Canadian Maritimes- too much confluence in the wake. 

GEFS digs a trough along the west coast, with more ridging in the east as the NA vortex departs quicker. Result is a more consolidated system tracking to the NW.

Pick your path to defeat, lol.

I choose the GEFS option. It will give some of us,  especially south, a 1% chance of a MRGL risk. 

11 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Looking back at how truly insane February 2010 was it makes me so sad that I was just a bit to young to remember it. Then for 2016 I had pneumonia and don't really even remember the storm itself. Then once I started to slightly understand how snow storms happen we stopped getting them.  

That really sucks that you didn't get to enjoy any of our big HECSs this past decade.

Just curious, I assume you're still in high school?

1 minute ago, WVclimo said:

Getting a few flurries.  39/30.  Wind NW 19 G31.    Guess this qualifies as a Lion? 

A cub. 

1 hour ago, Stormfly said:

Derechos are taking SlimFAST?

It did get dark about an hour ago, saw that really skinny line to the south and just like late spring when we're stuck at 55 and fog and southern MD is in the 80s getting severe, it's just misty showers and a few breezes not even enough to blow anything around.

The severe event of the year. I wonder what 2022s severe weather season will bring. 

48/38 at IAD. It's getting windier.

4 hours ago, vastateofmind said:

Booze as in liquor? Gin, HS senior year. Wouldn't say I necessarily "liked" it...but let's just say that, at that point, gin took an instant dislike to me.

4 hours ago, CAPE said:

First alcoholic drink(other than some sips here and there)- I chugged an ice cold Budweiser from the mini fridge in the finished basement bar after being outside playing football, and was sweaty and thirsty. I was 13. I felt naughty for like 5 seconds. It hit the spot.

4 hours ago, H2O said:

My dad would let me take sips of his beer then I was a kid

First full on drinking experience was wine coolers(gross as hell when I look back on it), mostly beer during HS.  Grain alcohol was popular as well.  I've even had moonshine.  Peach flavored.

Now its gin, rum and good bourbon.

1 hour ago, fourseasons said:

I was 16, and my big brother handed me a glass of something and said, "Here, try this."  And yes, he enjoyed the face I made. 

It was 151 proof rum from our parents' rather small liquor collection.

Meanwhile, my liquor life consists of the occasional mouse sip of wine here and there through my childhood... Wait, does wine count as liquor? 

I's got some studying to do before I'm able to join you adults in discussing this stuff.

@Cobalt @Rhino16 @NorthArlington101 you three are in my club. Get the soft drinks, chips and... what kind of pizza do you three like? Maybe some salad and Mediterranean food in case you're trying to be healthier. 

6 hours ago, yoda said:

@George BM will not be pleased lol

I'll MOST LIKELY (70/30 odds) survive. My 'discobs' legacy (I say as if I'm some sort of super famous person... CRINGE!!) lives on. 

What was the first booze (or kind of booze?... I'm bad at talking about beer) that ever entered your body and did you like of taste of that booze? 

We are a month closer to our next area-wide beatdown. 

Good morning weather family! I hope you all had a good night last night. 

58 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

Ehhh

Pulled my shoulder muscle yesterday after trying to cinch a girth on the side with no elastic. Note to self check to see if said girth has elastic on both sides before you cinch. 

Ouch. Take care and treat yourself, as always. 

Good morning weather family! How did you all sleep last night? 

1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said:

can it snow during a severe outbreak? I'm hopeful we get one of those snowrecho thingies.

I've been trying to weenie it up for a while now. Years actually. It'd be fun to have a day with temps/dews in the lower 40's/upper 20's-30F respectively along with extremely steep low-mid level lapse rates leading to MLCAPE of ~500 J/kg and a powerful NS shortwave swinging through during the afternoon at 60-70+ mph. 

This would form a line of severe thunderstorms with snow as the main precip-type along with widespread severe wind gusts. 

Were you around for the December 19th super snowrecho just over two months ago?

Good morning weather family! I just have a quick question for you all?

Is anyone else getting an error message saying that they're offline from tropicaltidbits.com ? 

Just now, WVclimo said:

We were overrun with cicadas  in western MD in 1970.  I've seen them twice since then and neither time has compared to that year.

How many would you guessitmate were on the ground per square meter in the 1970 outbreak?

4 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

I don't know, but PSU might be fringed.   Then end up with some serious cicada banding only to have more than everyone else!

You mean like 2 to 3+ cicadas per cubic meter type banding?

7 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

FWIW - Accuweather seems to think we are at increased severe risk this spring. 

https://www.accuweather.com/en/severe-weather/accuweathers-2021-us-spring-severe-weather-tornado-forecast/901242 

This probably means almost nothing but I remember the uncanny resemblance with Accuweather's "active severe weather" zone for the summer of 2012 with the path of the June 29-30, 2012 derecho. 

Bah! I tried finding their summer 2012 forecast but can't att. 

May we get an area-wide squall with widespread severe gusts this year.

40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

liquid freon gas

I'm guessing that based on the reactions to this post that this wasn't the true meaning... and I fell for it lol. 

ETA: Okay many are saying something different wrt LFG. I must be slower than I thought.