George BM

Just an observation: The 0z HRRR actually backs surface winds to southeasterly during the day on Saturday as it develops a surface trough/low in the mountains that moves east across the region during the afternoon/evening. This probably enhanced the convection this run.

^ @high risk is a great red-tagger to follow if you want to know about any sneaky convective potential.

Potentially of the more "convective" nature.

I'd be quite worried if time wasn't moving, actually.

@WinterWxLuvr Congratulations!

He'll be back next winter... or, more likely, sometime within the next 24 hours.

@losetoa6 You seem to be the eternal optimist. I vote that you weenie-in and amp up the Tuesday wave for us.

The 2020 Meteor coming in a week late.

I don't remember an April snow event in 2006. Do you mean 2007? It snowed during the early morning hours on April 7, 2007 and IIRC areas to the south got more snow than DC proper. I'm not entirely sure if anyone saw rates like that though.

Meanwhile, I am getting some light rain/graupel now.

The Jan 1985 event actually did drop several inches of snow in some areas of northern/central Maryland east of the mountains. With @Stormfly getting 6-7" in 40-45mins and @CAPE getting 4" in ~45mins. CAPE was living west of the bay at the time though IIRC. But your point still stands about how uncommon something like that is.

Yeah. Our standards are pretty low here in general. Once in a while we luck into more legit convective snow showers like on February 9, 2017, ... April 9, 2016 from NVA into SMD, ...and, of course, the favorite recent convective snow event in these parts... February 14, 2015. I'd love more than anything to experience a January 25, 1985 event here.

There's an interesting vorticity-max showing up on LWX radar centered near the eastern tip of the WVA Panhandle. Perhaps it enhanced any showers/snow showers this afternoon? https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=LWX-N0Q-1-48-50-usa-rad

Yeah. I wasn't anticipating skies being clear the whole night (I expected temps between 32-36F for my pre-dawn run (Actual Low: 28F)).So during my run this morning I was anxiously awaiting some rogue black ice on the damp looking pavement and roads to cause me to wipe out. I, however, survived unscathed.

Clear skies + calm winds + lots of low-level moisture + wet grounds + below freezing temperatures = The heaviest "frost" I've seen 29F at IAD.

We should each go into our records for this winter and see how much rain we get while the temperature is 33F.

Not that I will tonight but if you're someone (like me) who has never drank alcohol once in your life before, what is a good way to start without killing yourself? ... SHOULD I start?

Yeap. It was Election Day.

Reminds me of the weather in this region on November 3rd this past year w/ a deck of clouds extending from wsw/sw to ene/ne... But you said it was during the summer so I don't know for sure whether you are talking about the event I mentioned or a different one as those "standing cloud-deck features" actually occur at least occasionally every year, though usually not as frequently in the summer.

Another year is over and, like always, I'm a curious and noisy young man. What weather event(s) stood out for you personally in the past year? For me despite a very boring year in general I lucked into two decent (by MBYs standards) thunderstorms on June 4th and June 22nd. Both storms featured sheets of rain w/ 40-45mph wind gusts. The June 4th storm dropped the visibility to below 400 feet at one point. I know I know a lot of you will happy about that but MBY usually gets missed way more often than not. Welp, how about you guys? What event(s) stood out to you this past year (2020)?

FYI: Para-gfs is updating on tropicaltidbits again.

Lol.

What snowfall rates are you anticipating in your region should this band develop? Any chance at thundersnow?

Mega front classification (though I may have to double check this): 20F/hr 30F/6hr 40F/12hr 50F/24hr