Now this is not for our region (SW of Chicago)... AND it's just one run from last night's 0z NAM at range but... it's not too often that you see 100+ knot EBWD with 1,000+ J/kg MLCAPE.
(Also, please ignore the fact that I accidentally called these files as the 3kNAM... the images below are actually from the lower-res NAM)
The following is just me thinking out loud. I'm not making assumptions about the severe threat over yonder.
I wonder if 1,500+ J/kg mlcape and LIs of -5 to -6 would be enough instability for storms to not get ripped apart by this kind of shear verbatim (Is CAPE fat enough?).
Yeah 1,500 J/kg mlcape is not all that weak but... that shear though...
Of course I'm not trying to take away from the high-ceiling that storms will have should they take advantage of their environment.
@high risk @csnavywx thoughts on this?
Also I realize now that I have a problem with using too many ellipses and parentheses.