Wetbulbs88
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Everything posted by Wetbulbs88
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I'd wager it's too generous.
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Obvious but true, and we tend to forget it. I hate to be a debbie downer but in situations like these, we tend to underperform. Not saying that will happen, but I'm looking for 1-3" here. You never know--either the WAA can remain stronger for longer, or the coastal can develop earlier than expected. But when you're trying to thread that needle, you're trying to thread that needle. Then you're trying to catch a decent band either way.
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Destroys Boston
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3K NAM has the Lo developing just in time for some back building.
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Yeah. Just got wind of this after a night at the gal's place. Quick glance isn't overly exciting. Looks like a 1-3" at most for my backyard. But with temps not being an issue, you never know, and there's nothing wrong with a 1-3" event.
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Finally someone said it. It's the HRRR....at longer range....
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Do the Bethesda friends live in Chevy Chase? Either way they have to be less than one or two miles from me. I haven't gone out to measure (work ugh), but I was eyeballing anywhere between 5-7" by the looks of it. 8.5" seems high!
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I didn't consider this. TBH I was ready to call this. Edge is literally 20 miles west of my backyard.
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Back edge about to pass. Really bad cutoff on this one. Just can't seem to win around here.
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Yeah you're going to need a much longer time horizon to revert to the mean. It will work out in the end. I lived in Burleigh Manor, right near Centennial High. It was actually a fantastic spot up on that little hill.
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Yellows coming through. Heaviest snow of the day.
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My hometown! Where you at? Usually we cashed in relative to the big cities but this one's cutoff is brutal. No one gives the NAM any love but it had the cutoff far more correct.
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Envious. Great spot to me. D.C. is a little too far NW for the higher totals printed last night. No one else is going to say this but the NAM had some contours correct.
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Very light snow in CC. Cutoff looks to be SE of DC right now. Nothing burger so far.
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Do you have exact numbers? It’s been raining to beat the band outside so I’d be very hard pressed to see less than .3 or .4 wasted. That’s a lot. And yes, being a quick hitter is equally important.
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Also meant to frame this in the context of WPC forecasting the changeover to take place rapidly, between 1:00-2:00 AM. We’ve already seen hours of moderate/heavy rain here. Climo wins every time if you’re looking at the right context.
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Thanks!
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No loop though?
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Some said it last night but that’s why I called for 4-8”. Tons of QPF being wasted. No way we get those insane modeled amounts. It’s not even snowing at 35. just hoping for something after a string of non snow winters. edit: in Chevy Chase in case my mobile doesn’t say.
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Snow and sleet mixing here in CC.
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Is this 2020 census? When I looked it up HoCo was 5th.
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I'm seriously considering moving already lol.
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Seems like a total roast job right around 850 reported around 7PM. But what you said would still stand right? Could formation be shallow enough to 'bypass' that layer? Sounds kind of outlandish since it would be like, fog drizzle, but I'm not really familiar and might be reading this all wrong.
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Took my dogs out to pee before bed. They slipped everywhere. It was kind of cute but also scary because of the porch steps. There icing is worse than the ice storm the other day. This warrants a WSW far more than the sleet from this morning. It's outright treacherous. 28 in Chevy Chase, and it feels very cold with the mist.
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Just took the pups out for a very long walk. Still some slush, especially in the deeper puddles, but shallower pools are freezing fast. If I hadn't been wearing my hiking boots which have good grip it would've been a back breaker. One guy was shoveling his sidewalk, and I don't think he realized he was only making it worse; there was already a significant layer of ice forming in place of the sleet.
