Wetbulbs88

And you're incapable of critical thinking if you think that's what I mean.

Nah it's clearly been just about two or three of you. You've chosen to ignore the others who have corroborated my feelings.

All true this will be the last post on it. Internet brings out the worst in us sometimes. Appreciate the understanding though.

I appreciate it, but as mentioned don't care about being right. Just that some people are silenced/treated as inferiors here and I find it frustrating. But I understand if I'm posting too much. I'll rein it in.

Very true. My biggest flaw is not being able to tolerate hypocritical behavior and people who only try to protect their own interests. And to @mappy 's credit, I do take it too seriously (which is quite the opposite of taking myself too seriously).

And you're constantly hostile to everyone but a select few. We all have our faults. I'm just trying to politely point out how I've been treated unfairly, because it happens to far more people than the number that speaks up. Membership numbers speak for themselves.

Again, you're not done. More sarcasm and bitterness. I've been sincere and thoughtful.

Okay show me the repeated posts. More baseless accusations, and a total disregard for the malignances I point out. I'll try to post less if it's not insightful enough for you. But again, you're totally ignoring the problem and extremely biased. I don't really take this seriously because no one has acknowledged a single thing I've laid out clearly and thoughtfully.

You want to say you're over it, then attack me again. I couldn't care less about my popularity, nor whether I'm right. I've made this painfully clear yet you keep weaponizing it, evading the entire point I was getting across. It's frankly depressing.

Reading the rest of the post, it only gets worse. Moderators of this sub chastised me for being gloomy about last night's NAM. One of which said, and I quote, "Is there another side to this record?" So now you're twisting my assertion that those criticisms are totally baseless. Is it not possible that you're lacking context? So yes, when you respond saying that I'm gloating, it's simply ridiculous. Meanwhile, you're doing your best to cover your own *ss about your own calls last night. How do I respond? Politely, mentioning that you were letting your hope for us getting snow influence your decision, which I would hardly call a bitter criticism. What did I do after that? I suggested that I don't care who's right. What did you do? Double down that I was posting everywhere gloating. Again, show me where I've been 'gloating' and I'll be happy to reflect further. On the contrary, I was pointing out that people within the culture of exclusivity treat others differently. Now you're going on and on about your own call, which is 100% irrelevant, and proving my point about your projection. I don't care about that. I made one simple point that was somewhat tongue in cheek because you were rooting for us to get snow. You're digging yourself a deeper hole, and there's absolutely no way you're going to bully me into silence. You're simply treating me different than you would treat 'original' members. It's clear. If you maintain the culture of exclusivity, I will push back against it. It provides a disincentive for people to participate. That's why you have trolls, and furthermore, accuse people of being a troll who might not be--which was precisely how I was treated the very minute I stepped in here upon moving back to this area.

i could stop reading after the first sentence. Patently false. I haven't created anything. Show me the post where I created the argument. I'll be waiting.

What are you talking about? I'm responding to posts. Plain and simple. I don't see you stepping into the darkness when someone debates with you. The double standard is incredible. And you betray your own ego by thinking I'm taking a 'victory lap'. If you're a true forecaster, being right shouldn't be the goal. It should be finding out the truth. And people are still coming after me for stating facts. It's plain childish. Look at the posts last night. I was on an island, and I happened to be on to something. Now I'm taking heat. It's happened several times in the short time I've been back in this sub, and quite frankly, I'm not going to just take crap if it continues. It's frustrating that I'm actually providing some foresight and it's being twisted, not to mention with bitterness. I don't give a sh*t if I'm right or wrong. It's that there's an exclusive culture here, and it's clear as day.

So many other models showed similar QPF. I don't know what else to say. This just doesn't make any sense to me. It's one data point that many others corroborated. Not to mention that the QPF verified maybe a bit shy in other areas. We got the typical DC hole.

Why is everyone cherrypicking QPF? If you took any other model you could pick practically every other data point and it would be a disaster. And many other models were showing similar QPF. And many areas to our NW got similar QPF. The NAM was on an island with mix line and warm nose. It wasn't even close. That's why the pros preferred it in their disco.

I disagree. First of all, very pedantic scrutiny of the word area. By area, I meant our area. Not sure how you derived otherwise, or how that's relevant. Secondly, the 0z NAM last night was by far the most accurate solution. The pros specifically singled it out. If you took the snow maps verbatim that's on you. But the mix line and soundings were damn near right.

No, they didn't. I can go back and grab the disco for you. They absolutely mentioned the speed of the storm and the overdoing of QPF.

So you're cherry picking data points, congrats. The pros at NWS specifically mentioned the NAM's temperature profiles. And many received this QPF, just not our area. Try again.

Hmmmm. People who have been this for decades...vs. a neophyte sadist with transparently and poorly sublimated depression... I think I'll take the word of the former.

Yep. I guess people just tend to cast my posts aside but I banged the drum last night, and I've been saying for years (in the NY forum as well) that the NAM(s) are greatly improved models. Yes, they're prevaricating. But that's what they do. At 12-36 hours they have been the best models this year bar none. When I was in Harlem it was the same deal. NAM was the first to catch onto something at the final hour. The massive 2017 blizzard that was supposed to bring 24-36" in March--it absolutely nailed the warm nose, and the pros had egg all over their face.

In every other winter it has been the opposite. You're using an extremely small sample size. But you do you.

I could tell your emotions were coming into play on this one. It was tough to ignore the potential given the guidance. I appreciate that you're feeling for us down here. It's just beyond painful at this point. The NAM was onto something though, and NWS knew it. In fact I think they knew the warning for DC was misplaced by that point. They're disco last last night was literally the writing on the wall. Funny enough, even if it was all snow, it really wouldn't have been that great an event. Once again the swampy shallows of DC destroyed lift for much of the time. And this thing was in and out within what? Five hours at most? Another trait the pros at Sterling nailed, which none of the models did.

It literally rained 95% of the time for wave one. I mean the models have been just....so, so, so bad. And the pros, while way better than the models in aggregate, have incorporated them into their forecasts too much. They were onto something last night but didn't have the confidence considering the strength of guidance.

Honestly, maybe the worst bust this year. The two-wave storm was bad but this one really seemed like it couldn't fail totally. But the NAM has been fire all year, so, shrug. Mets called it but didn't have the guts to go against most of guidance. I'm seriously considering moving once my job here is done. This is pure torture.

Was sleeting really heavily with an odd flake here and there for a minute, now back to moderate sleet.

There must be an upsloping factor or something because you're due east from me and it seems you're always colder/snowier.