Negnao

The globals have pretty much formed a consensus or close thereto and it’s a Mason Dixon and north snow event. Would be shocked to see it shift this close to the event.

Can’t make this stuff up.

Time to start rooting for it to just go away. That’s better than a soaking cold rain while they get hammered just to our north.

850 temps are boiling.

It’s hideous. Not even close.

The strung out solutions seem to be the way we score. The consolidated amped storm seems to be too warm.

Look at that hammer diving down out of Ontario. No way the storm can gain latitude with that. That was less pronounced several runs ago.

Check out the para gfs. Great run for 1/8

Dramatically colder on the Canadian at the surface as well.

We need a snowstorm to bring us all back together again.

Thanks for the feedback and agree with all of the above.

A low tracking to Baltimore is not the kind of track that produces snow in philly or NYC. Interesting that no matter how bad the track is they seem to score from this storm.

This is entertaining

Noticed this wonky stripe through the corridor on the run to run tab on weatherbell for the 850s. Take this out and it’s a cleaner regional improvement in upper level temps.

It’s more progressive than the mesoscale models which is what we need.

We need the low to not take that north jump once around Norfolk. We need it to be more progressive and easterly/more out to sea. The rgem as well as some others show a jump north up the bay, which wrecks our mid levels. Need it more progressive.

Doubtful it will materialize as ice. Temps low to mid 30s. More rainy than icy.

30-40 mph wind gust accompany this driving rain.

Navgem jumped on a slightly more progressive progression.

The transfer to the coastal low is much later than the successful runs we’ve had like the Canadian from yesterday.

I thought Richmond was in the southeastern forum as it’s southern VA. I love DT’s information and posts though, so if that means we have to take Richmond, i guess it’s worth it.

Philly annual snowfall is 22 and Dulles annual snowfall is 22 and bwi is around 20. I don’t understand why everyone says it doesn’snow around here Nyc was around 25 which isn’t much more and I would say they’ve had a historic run the last two decades and that has started to skew their average. Yes many years are not snowy but the same holds true in philly and nyc snow records. That’s how averages work but people can be justified in being disappointed in a snowless winter with a mean around 22 inches. Yes, we’re not Rochester but we can expect snow.

Dca 9 inches as of 7pm according to the NWS. Wonder if the CWG figure of 9.8 was accurate.