Negnao
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Everything posted by Negnao
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In the actual forecast, not the advisory, it went from 2-4 to 1-3. It changed. It’s relevant as it reflects their thinking after today’s models.
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NWS lowered their totals. Generally 1-3 throughout central md and the cities.
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No problem. They can handle it.
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3k looks good.
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Interesting that they(NWS) increased their high end (1 in 10 chance) to over 6 inches. It was a little lower earlier.
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Still a miss but a big jump nw
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Never. It’s not the problem with this storm.
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Crushes?
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DCA is terrible and I agree we can still score with a negative PNA and negative nao, but the PNA at -5 makes us all dead in the water. Hopefully we can at least get close to neutral in early January.
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Negative PNA doesn’t work well for DC snowstorms.
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The years you mentioned you were in nyc were also very cold in dc and snowy.
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Veterans Day 87 was 63 the day before, wasn’t it?
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3k is tasty
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I’m not saying they’re good models. Just seems like they are keying in on a trend of a less amplified system. Doesn’t seem as much interaction early enough with the ULL and doesn’t intensity as rapidly as earlier runs a day or two ago. Results in a track slightly southeast and weaker than prior runs.
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UK looks like the Rgem
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12z Rgem Kuchera
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wunderground forecast for dc. Lol
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Arw Max stipe of qpf just nw of 95 all the way up the coast. Blended with other guidance, 95 looks like a solid hit. Just need thermals to cooperate.
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6z Eps > 3 inch probability
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Agreed. Looked good early but followed the trend of the rest of the 0z suite unfortunately.
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icon about to deliver a beat down
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Top is 21z that just came out the bottom is 15z from this afternoon. Precip lighter on 21z as well.
