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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    Definite improvement. Kuchera is even higher, and we get into the costal action this time. It's very obviously bleeding to the Euro. Even then.. if you find this a disaster, you need to move to a place that gets way more snow, preferably out of this subforum's range.
  2. Cobalt
    GFS has 4-6" from the WAA alone, with more to the North of us as the costal gets cranking. Def a step in the right direction, this feels like Saturday's trends for the Thursday event where the GFS slowly sank SE but we had that glimmer of hope
  3. Cobalt
    ICON at hr 117. Compared to previous run it's rather similar, hard to compare since it actually scoots the lp in faster, but the lp seems maybe like 25-50 miles north and somewhat weaker than the 12z run. Decent WAA thump with it too
  4. Cobalt
    Improvement
  5. Cobalt
    If we're taking the Icon's snowfall duration into consideration.. are you talking about this weekend or the weekend after that?
  6. Cobalt
    NAM range for onset of WAA might make sense.. by then the track before costal is pretty set and then the details that'll come into med/short range will just be the stuff after. Got a long 24-48hrs to go!
  7. Cobalt
    No better time for dancing than after a pity party. Still lots of time for this to go wrong, but nevertheless the good vibes will continue. We'll all float on, good news is on the way
  8. Cobalt
    That's not what I meant in the slightest
  9. Cobalt
  10. Cobalt
  11. Cobalt
    The cluster! Ninja'd, but it doesnt matter, thats a great agreement and gives some leeway too. Great run coming up
  12. Cobalt
    If you're considering the end of the storm, yeah. Transfer happens near hr 130. Still def EPS range though, the next 24-48 hours will really show if the Euro can nail this thing or if it completely lets go. WDI unloading on us to make up for the past 5 years??
  13. Cobalt
    I was told it might snow Monday? What's the Euro showing?
  14. Cobalt
    That seems correct. Also a great overall bump in the snow mean. It's forced to be 5 days but it should be uncontaminated from other events
  15. Cobalt
    How does this compare to 0z?
  16. Cobalt
    Is that.. son of TPV 1 up in Maine?? This is giving me deja vu because I could've sworn that the Canadian was the first to pick up on this feature for the Thurs event
  17. Cobalt
    I think.. it's still going after 180? Precip panels not showing up for that timeframe but it appears so. Absolute eye candy, but at least it's not on a complete island... edit: yeah it keeps us snowing through 180 and maybe beyond lol
  18. Cobalt
    The low just... meanders. The fact that this GIF takes up like 5% of my attachment space shows that yeah it's pretty lengthy lol
  19. Cobalt
    Oh okay yeah the precip was still rolling with those panels, keeps DC and even immediate SE below 30 degrees but precip is spotty there, but ICON on board with a good storm. Pretty sure precip is still going in this panel for a fair bit of the subforum, but it's the ICON so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  20. Cobalt
    Pretty great opener to 12z. Wonky surface depiction (the snow in SE VA is from Thursday), but my takeaway was that at precip onset, temperatures are actually pretty cold, mid 20s for a majority of the subforum
  21. Cobalt
    Hah that's not the control, but that too basically keeps the same idea. Despite the loss in snow mean the consistency is great
  22. Cobalt
    Here's the snow mean to go with it..
  23. Cobalt
    Precip panels are running slow but def juicier, as well as a lot more members with a similar transfer to the op Euro. Great trends all around at the range you'd want to see them at
  24. Cobalt
    I hope the euro is as persistent and stubborn as it was for Thursday non storm. I mean the storm starts in 120 hours. If we get a nothing burger out of this.. the Thursday threat made sense since half of the models converged entirely but this has at least some snow on most of the models.. I'd assuume that in 24-48 hours time we will know if this thing has legs for us or legs to run away from us
  25. Cobalt
    I mean.. it has precip into Virginia at 120 hours out.. technically 5 days away??
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