RDRY
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Everything posted by RDRY
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Unfortunately, our climate policy is comically contradictory. Severe fossil fuel restrictions in the western hemisphere that have already crippled economies like Germany, with zero restrictions for major polluters like China and India. Leading to a net worsening of emissions.
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Is that a tropical system barreling toward North Carolina at 210 hours on the GFS?
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Trailing wave pops -- and quickly exits -- on the GFS. But at least it's there now.
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Quite the follow-up coastal on the Euro. Rabbit out of a hat?
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Maybe it's more a case of the models simply unable to forecast the teleconnectors even a couple weeks out. How many winters do we see the ensembles suggest a pattern change two weeks out, only to have the teleconnectors ultimately not budging from the persistent pattern?
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I don't understand the teleconnections nearly as well as most on here, but shouldn't they have been mostly awful for northeast cold and snow for most of December and now seemingly most or all of January? Otherwise, they seem to be essentially useless as forecasting tools.
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Track is not nearly as important as confluence and cold air feed. Without them, benchmark won't get it done for almost anyone. Weird for prime climo.
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Northeast ski resorts have to be in full-on panic mode now. They can't operate in this pattern.
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What an oddball storm, at least as depicted. Double-barrel lows. Extreme long-duration precip. Of what, who the hell knows.
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There may be little to no actual science behind persistence, but it sure as hell can be a powerful forecasting tool.
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High pressure ... epic storm. No high pressure ... persistence.
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I'm intrigued. Someone should start a thread.
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Nothing doing until at least the 9th.
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He had a pulse but wasn't breathing on his own.
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"unlike anything in European history." Is this satire?
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Euro run is quite the nothing-burger.
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At least with the GFS, there is an unmistakable difference between on- and off-hour runs.
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Banana high.
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Can't imagine a worse prime winter season long-range forecast. There is nothing of any wintry significance for ANY area of the northeast.
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Even if this system somehow comes together and hits the northeast, there is a serious dearth of cold air.
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All those monster highs pressing down, I don't buy the tracks of the two lows. I also don't buy that there will be two lows. But I know zilch. So there's that to consider.
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Barely moved at all from previous run, which is bizarre in itself.
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Couldn't resist.
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
RDRY replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
A true clunker for most of western Mass. Be surprised if we cracked .50 LE.
