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RDRY

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Everything posted by RDRY

  1. RDRY
    Maybe it's more a case of the models simply unable to forecast the teleconnectors even a couple weeks out. How many winters do we see the ensembles suggest a pattern change two weeks out, only to have the teleconnectors ultimately not budging from the persistent pattern?
  2. RDRY
    I don't understand the teleconnections nearly as well as most on here, but shouldn't they have been mostly awful for northeast cold and snow for most of December and now seemingly most or all of January? Otherwise, they seem to be essentially useless as forecasting tools.
  3. RDRY
    Track is not nearly as important as confluence and cold air feed. Without them, benchmark won't get it done for almost anyone. Weird for prime climo.
  4. RDRY
    Northeast ski resorts have to be in full-on panic mode now. They can't operate in this pattern.
  5. RDRY
    What an oddball storm, at least as depicted. Double-barrel lows. Extreme long-duration precip. Of what, who the hell knows.
  6. RDRY
    There may be little to no actual science behind persistence, but it sure as hell can be a powerful forecasting tool.
  7. RDRY
    High pressure ... epic storm. No high pressure ... persistence.
  8. RDRY
    I'm intrigued. Someone should start a thread.
  9. RDRY
    Nothing doing until at least the 9th.
  10. RDRY
    He had a pulse but wasn't breathing on his own.
  11. RDRY
    "unlike anything in European history." Is this satire?
  12. RDRY
    Euro run is quite the nothing-burger.
  13. RDRY
    At least with the GFS, there is an unmistakable difference between on- and off-hour runs.
  14. RDRY
    Banana high.
  15. RDRY
  16. RDRY
    Can't imagine a worse prime winter season long-range forecast. There is nothing of any wintry significance for ANY area of the northeast.
  17. RDRY
    Even if this system somehow comes together and hits the northeast, there is a serious dearth of cold air.
  18. RDRY
    All those monster highs pressing down, I don't buy the tracks of the two lows. I also don't buy that there will be two lows. But I know zilch. So there's that to consider.
  19. RDRY
    Barely moved at all from previous run, which is bizarre in itself.
  20. RDRY
    Couldn't resist.
  21. RDRY
    A true clunker for most of western Mass. Be surprised if we cracked .50 LE.
  22. RDRY
    That lead system will undoubtedly wreak havoc on the models -- not too often you see a follow-up coastal track well west of its predecessor. But the thing is so wound up, I guess it's plausible.
  23. RDRY
    North, west and east.
  24. RDRY
    Getting skunked with massive dry slot all day in Lenox.
  25. RDRY
    Already full model agreement on a major storm ... somewhere. Probably won't take much longer for them to narrow the goalposts.
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