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RDRY

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Everything posted by RDRY

  1. On the 10th, GFS really flummoxed with the surge of moisture into a very stubborn cold air mass. That evolution should be fun to watch.
  2. No complaints with that Euro run -- GFS with its typical depiction at this lead time to a coastal.
  3. Interesting how each successive system gains latitude, but outside of the first one rounding the bend late, these are west-to-east deals. At least there's finally an actual northern cold source -- the 850s are below freezing for the entire northeast almost the entire GFS run.
  4. Has the Ukie vanished? I know it's barely a step up from the Nogaps, but the Brits might be getting offended.
  5. I understand most of the teleconnections and follow them here with the charts. It's just an observation that the long-range models mostly seem to overplay their fluctuations, and they ultimately stay within a fairly confined range for most of our winters.
  6. Merry Christmas, and a happy persistence new year.
  7. Euro is fun. Perfect evolution, perfect track, near-perfect climo. Result ... rain into Canada.
  8. Or parasailing in Jupiter's Red Spot.
  9. Late December Canadian high pressure with barely-below-freezing 850s. Yikes.
  10. GFS pops a secondary coastal and there's STILL no cold air available.
  11. Hope the Berks can sneak that one out. A near-shutout so far.
  12. Upslope really kicking in western Mass. Classic big storm for this area.
  13. Just getting pummeled in Lenox. Have to be closing in on 20.
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