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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Pray for thump--->dry slot verbatim on this one.
  2. Paleocene
    thumpage? before rain...
  3. Paleocene
  4. Paleocene
    it's runnin! i'm ready to post some inaccurate analysis
  5. Paleocene
    Thanks for asking this, was wondering the same.
  6. Paleocene
    Thought it was a rain shower that moistened the streets here in the UHI last evening but a quick morning walk revealed some graupel in the colder areas, especially on grass and mulch. That brings this thrilling season up to flurries twice in december, 1.5 inches of snow before heavy rain in the December storm, and graupel today. Better luck next week
  7. Paleocene
    minor changes from 00z to 12z at d10 lol
  8. Paleocene
    Yeah i think this is the right take, that wave coming out of the rockies weaker/less organized than it was on 00z. still much to learn!
  9. Paleocene
    I have called things wrong before as a n00b but it looks like the euro is about to crank up a weenie run post d8 on 12z... will add maps shortly edit: lesson: do not comment on model runs until they over :-D
  10. Paleocene
    A lot of this happens after D7 (post 168 hour mark). We flirt with above freezing in the afternoon next wednesday, but verbatim surface maps show most/all of this as snow NW of 95
  11. Paleocene
    Panel 174 also shows snow over DC
  12. Paleocene
  13. Paleocene
    yeah *bit* of a difference with the interaction with the NS 500mb low...they stay separate on 18z 12z... gobbles up the NS shortly thereafter.
  14. Paleocene
    will it turn the corner? that weak LP north of hte lakes was not there on 12z GFS. primary is much further south this run too
  15. Paleocene
    It's about time to crack open a crispy boy and watch the GFS flip completely to rain for the D9 threat dump feet of snow over the metro corridor . Happy happy hour everyone. On a serious note, there is a sliiightly stronger high over the north central plains at D7 on the 18z GFS run. Compared to 12z. Fingers crossed for some digital ice.
  16. Paleocene
  17. Paleocene
    Euro (top) versus GFS (next post)
  18. Paleocene
  19. Paleocene
    well, its about time for the euro to show absolutely no evidence of a storm at the d9/d10 window to cancel our 12z GFS optimism!
  20. Paleocene
    I am a novice but the op euro looks like it is gonna drop an atomic bomb across CONUS around D10
  21. Paleocene
    Stouts are great. Definitely not a "i want to drink 4 of these" beer. Thick, flavorful, caramel-ish, coffe-ish. More of a heavy winter beverage IMO. A simple guinness is a stout.
  22. Paleocene
    Calling @PhineasC to remind us that he lives in a place where it snows, but it has been warmer than usual there this year, but it still snows there, more so than the MA anyway
  23. Paleocene
    Alright, how do we keep this thing south? Pray away that spicy SE ridge?
  24. Paleocene
  25. Paleocene
    The GFS, Para, CMC, and ECMWF all show a wave moving E/NE out of the texas/arkansas area mid-late next week. It's even there on the JMA and NAVGEM and ICON. For 8 days out its something worth looking at... looking for crumbs here lol
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