Paleocene

34 degrees, DP 20, and very light flurries on the border of College Park and Hyattsville.

I was not debating the lack of recent precipitation, or the current drought status. I was debating your statement "this should not be such a dry time normally," which was about the next 384 hours on the GFS. When I go out to 384 on the GFS (18z) it shows most of the region in the 2+ inch range... which over the next 16 days, would be slightly above average based on the average amounts I posted above.

Grabbed this off wikipedia for 1981-2010 averages at DCA. Looks like February is in fact the driest month of the year, on average. You sure about your statement? Month Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Average precipitation inches (mm) 2.81 (71.4) 2.62 (66.5) 3.48 (88.4) 3.06 (77.7) 3.99 (101.3) 3.78 (96) 3.73 (94.7) 2.93 (74.4) 3.72 (94.5) 3.40 (86.4) 3.17 (80.5) 3.05 (77.5) 39.74 (1,009.4)

triggered