Paleocene

Yeah, the temp maps verbatim have most of the region (east of the blue ridge) above freezing during the bulk of the heavy snowfall.

Here's the surface of the 18z ICON at 120 hours (18z sat): versus 12z run (valid 18z sat): The low is right on the SC/NC coastal border, instead of hanging back in GA. ICON also has a stronger high up top on the newer run by a few mbs

I hear you, I just love seeing this solution versus the low running through Charleston WV, lol. We've got the high and low in the right place with this run... time cross fingers that it sticks to the canonical track off of the OBX/VA coast over the next two days worth of runs.

dude the low is due east of the NC/VA border at 144 hours... a hundred miles further NW and we rain in the 95 corridor. This thing is gonna jump around a lot in the next two days

LP center is WAY further east versus 06z and 00z for the early morning hours sunday - great for us.

Digging up some photos to get us in the spirit with these runs. This was my old front yard in Takoma Park during the 2016 storm. It can snow here! And further back into the archives --- this is on the campus of Gettysburg College during the second February 2010 storm. Legendary!

Happy new year! Here's to things to track and maybe some results this month.

The eagles should just forfeit their week 1 playoff game now

Maybe we'll get some flakes on the front end, if the cold air dam is decent? Like that one storm a couple years ago.

That was a nice happy hour run. Posting my analysis here because I'm a newb and because its 180+ hours on an OP. I love the track off the coast so we in the lowlands avoid the screaming easterly/southerly winds. 700 and 850s look good, but surface is marginal for fall line and east. would love a stronger high up top. no idea wtf is going on at the 500mb level

It's amazing what one op gfs run with digital blue inside 240 hours can do for the mood around here. Imagine if it starts having run to run consistency lol

Did @psuhoffmansay 'antilog'? Should be a word if it isn't. Great word. Winter of the antilog 23-24 never forget

Is it cold rain when it's 54 degrees?

Driving i-95 south through Maine this morning. 34 and rain. And least they fail up here too

I bought a new snow shovel in December 2020 and have yet to use it, lol

All those people who have tripled the metropolitan populations of Dallas, Austin and Houston in the last 30 years will move to New Orleans where it at least will rain. But by then surface water temps in the gulf will average 107 degrees in the winter and category 6 ultracanes will demolish the very memory of our civilization in that region. At least up here in the mid atlantic our nighttime lows will still get down to 57 in January!

Panic panic

have faith weenies

Let's go eagles And by that I mean please don't get demolished and look terrible

This is off topic slightly but for all those who look at the LR op runs for hints of blue. I'm visiting relatives in downeast Maine for the holiday (where its also too warm to snow right now). A storm has been predicted for days to bring rain and wind up here Weds/Thurs, which is not good because some people still don't have power due to last week's windstorm. My in-laws had no power for four days last week (luckily they have a good generator). Anyway, this was yesterday's 6z run valid early thursday morning, with the low crashing into the coast after coming up the gulf of maine: and 24 hours later, valid same time: Point being, even inside 144 hours, the positions of lows can be off by 200 miles! This low may end up scooting east way off Cape Cod, and we'll get nothing. Which would be welcome up here.

That post where the random guy mentioned inhaling the second hand crystal meth was probably one of the best posts of all time on this board (excepting of couse @Jebman 's finest). Sorry @Weather Will

Someone pass will a j next time it's snowing

I'm in eastern Maine and there's no snow on the ground. This CANT BE GOOD

I speak for all of the uninformed people on here who barely know how the atmosphere works when I say: if I don't start seeing digital snow accumulations within 240 hours on the first model that loads on tropical tidbits soon, I'm going to PANIC