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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Surface temp profile as precip moves in/out. Pretty good. 850s better.
  2. Paleocene
    Kuchera:
  3. Paleocene
    Thanks. Is there a document/link somewhere that explains what the % shares that make up NBM are? Are those temporally consistent or do they shift?
  4. Paleocene
    Credit to @Terpeast here, the presentation of what happens to the saturday-sunday cutter has changed dramatically over the last 48 hours on the GFS. TPV further east, no low spinning backward over the hudson, etc. I buy in to the "models need to see what's coming next" theory... chaos theory etc
  5. Paleocene
    Where's @NorthArlington101's cycle? We're BACK BABY
  6. Paleocene
    We had a lot of flickers in the 20910 zip code in the afternoon yesterday, but no outages. I have been impressed with Pepco reliability in my nhood (where I have been since 2020). Knock on wood.
  7. Paleocene
    Pivotal free gives snow depth for EPS:
  8. Paleocene
    Please (yeah yeah 150 hour OP)
  9. Paleocene
  10. Paleocene
    I'm here to chase cold, and at least the GFS is consistent with that.
  11. Paleocene
    From Sorrento, ME (across the bay from Bar Harbor). The red house is a former captain's house on a now nonexistent pier, it is about 5' above high tide at mean level usually. this is a pic of a road in the same town that follows the coast; those trees on the other side of the road are also usually about 5-6 feet above mean high tide.
  12. Paleocene
  13. Paleocene
    This storm did not hit the Pepco service area too hard. only 0.1% of customers have an outage. https://secure.pepco.com/FaceBook/Pages/outagemap.aspx
  14. Paleocene
    I like rain
  15. Paleocene
    WTOP says the bay bridge is closed. Edit: sorry, been that way for a while apparently https://wtop.com/weather-news/2024/01/easy-breezy-but-certainly-not-beautiful-heavy-wind-and-rain-to-cover-dc/
  16. Paleocene
    Parts of the backyard converting to pond status here in silver spring. Wind getting a bit gustier.
  17. Paleocene
    The chase for modeled cold is looking good though:
  18. Paleocene
    Agreed wholeheartedly; we have enormous expectations for models in winter. We aren't sitting here in May and June sweating the position of a low +/- 100 miles off Ocean City MD. Or whether it's going to be 65 and rain or 61 and rain. Or whether we're getting 0.5" of liquid or 0.8" of liquid. Unfortunately for us, we sit in the error range a lot of the time in these setups.
  19. Paleocene
    I work from home most of the time so the 2.5 hour early Moco dismissal is NBD... but feeling for those elementary parents who get notice of a dismissal at 120pm. They just let us know about 30 minutes ago!
  20. Paleocene
    I find my self on team PSU suspecting the elephant in the room. However, I cling to memories of 1997-2001 being a pretty bad (albeit shorter) stretch up in Harrisburg where I grew up. I think '00 might have had a winter saver or two. Anyone have a good site that gives you annual snowfall totals by airport?
  21. Paleocene
    At least it's imaginary cold after our 3rd rainstorm in a row:
  22. Paleocene
    Yeah, 00z had the transfer to the coast happen much further south.
  23. Paleocene
    Monster block traps the big low that runs through the lakes next weekend.... it goes over toronto then retrogrades back to SW of the hudson bay
  24. Paleocene
    Latest NAM suggests an inch+ for most of the area.
  25. Paleocene
    Reeeeeee!
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