Scarlet Pimpernel

37 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I figured it out from the photos a week or so back. 

2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

You know. I was wondering if that was you, Mike! Haha 

Ha!  Well, I guess my "art" and otherwise odd sense of humor and posting style come through no matter the name!  Cat's out of the bag! 

9 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is a sick blocking signal for this range

Day-um!  Can't ask for a more classic setup, and I'm glad to see blocking coming into play even before this extended ensemble range.

If we can't get that to work, then we're looking at going full Offenbach with "The Tales of (PSU)Hoffman"!!!

2 hours ago, cbmclean said:

Still haven't figured out your old handle.  Looking for a good PI to hire in the Bethesda area.

LOL!  Well, I actually used to have the handle of "Always in Zugzwang".  For what it's worth!

4 minutes ago, Scraff said:

The SBFI is trending highly positive and potentially into historic territory right around 2/15 as well. The split beer can flow between 3 fridges will mean only 1 thing…  

 

ETA: Scraff Beer Fridge Index for those that don’t know. Lol

But the Laughing Cow!!!  Need that to truly have an epic SBFI (gotta have some food!), and you'll be Jebdrinking like it's 2009-10!   (But you might be doing that already!)

(ETA:  3 fridges?  That might induce a triple-phased-fridger!)

10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

@psuhoffman i agree with your point on the lack of big storms from Feb 20-Mar 5 or so. it seems to be a lack of sample size… there’s no reason why it can’t happen in a cold, blocky pattern. maybe this is the year we set precedent

Interesting, because I seem to recall similar discussions in 2016 about the lack of big storms around the 3rd week of January. Maybe due to climo "January thaw" or just chance. And then we got the blizzard on Jan. 22-23! Again like you said, no apparent reason it couldn't happen. 

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

We will probably never agree on this, but we don't have to fight about it, we can just have our different points of view and be two ships passing in the night for the sake of everyone else here.  

Just now, Fozz said:

Yeah the Valentine storm could’ve been huge, but in the end it felt like a MECS even though it wasn’t. The shoveling was a huge pain.

I recall for several days it actually DID look like we'd get some big snow out of it (like a foot or so), but as it got within the short range it looked "warmer" and like we might end up with rain.  But it was so darned cold, and it was very entrenched, that in the end it was quite the ice and sleet event...the globals were of course scouring the cold out way too fast.  I recall eastern MD got very severe icing out of that...the cold layer was shallower so they didn't get "saved" by sleet like we did a bit farther west

10 minutes ago, Fozz said:

2006-07 was an underrated winter here. On paper it wasn’t that great, but we had weeks of deep winter and bitter cold with a lot of sleet and a lot of light snow.

The first half was a horrible blowtorch but the second half was a lot of fun even if the numbers don’t show it.

I'm of the same opinion about 2006-07, and in fact it is actually one of the winters I've liked a lot despite the relative lack of snow.  Yeah, December 2006 sucked and January 2007 started off even worse.  But the latter part of January into early March (especially February!) turned colder with some snow and icy type events.  That sleetfest we got on Valentine's Day in February was oh-so-close to being a big event around here.  But damn, that month was COLD, we had at least some snow/ice pack for several weeks.

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

we went from potentially insane torrid stretch to getting ready to panic in like three days? everything is still on track for the second half of the month into early March

It's the Detroit Lions of emotional swings in here!!

5 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Who de fuck truly wanted to see Detroit and KC anyway?  SF/KC should be pretty epic. Though SF/Ravens would have been our BECS, but now I’ll pay attention to it like our upcoming Wednesday flurries. 

Of course, it will be the classic rematch. 

ETA : Guess I'll be rooting for the Niners in the SB now! 

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Campbell doesn't trust his defense it mostly worked this year going on 4th but today not so much 

Maybe so. But you gotta take the damned points when you have the easy chance to do so. Better 6 more near certain points than zero and giving your opponent the ball back with good field position. 

Sad thing is the Lions probably eek out a win if they went for the FG those two times. Or at worst, go into OT. 

28 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I wonder if Ralph thinks if the Lions are kicking the can on winning this game 

They couldn't kick a field goal let alone the can! 

Wow, just unbelievable! How can the Lions refuse to go for a fairly easy field goal TWICE!? Such poor play calling decisions. 

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

can is kicked to Feb 11th which was the target day 2 weeks ago lol

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

wow. a change of two days at a two week lead time. devastating

Actually looking only at the orientation of the height contours and ignoring the blue/orange overlayed anomalies, that's not a half bad looking flow? Low heights establishing near the Aleutians, building up a PNA ridge with an undercutting trough in the southwest, and what looks like confluent flow in the northeast? 

40 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Hard to see how we get above average without at LEAST a MECS. Finishing under 25-30" in the cities is gonna be a bust, imo. You're gonna need a 12-15 incher, and the a couple more events like we got week before last. I do hope the pattern can at least give us that!

I believe @WxUSAFwas referring more specifically to the potential around Feb. 4-6, and not to the pattern for the remainder of the winter. 

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Leave this forum and come back in a week.  You are becoming unraveled. 

Yeah, Ralph seems very concerned about the Ravens' chances today...

...

Oh wait, you're referring to his comment about the models!

Did @Ralph Wiggum just declare WAR??   I'm joking here of course!  But in all seriousness I always thought when people talk about the "western Atlantic ridge" (WAR) or "pig SE ridge", that it refers to a fairly long-lasting phenomenon that screws things for many days or more.  Not a transient feature in a natural progression.

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

I had to do a double take to realize that this wasn’t Ji 

Sometimes imitation is the sincerest form of flattery!  Or...mockery in this instance!

3 minutes ago, Fozz said:

[Ji] that’s not enough I want 50 this is supposed to be historic [/Ji]

Hell, he was complaining that he could see the back edge of PD-II, Dec. 18-19, 2009, Feb. 5-6, 2010 and Jan. 22-23, 2016 a week before the storms even started!!!! 

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Happy Birthday to Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart!  While Beethoven will ALWAYS be my #1, I truly appreciate Mozart's unique genius. Not only could he do such remarkable musical feats like writing down an entire symphony he heard one time, writing an Ocerture the morning of an opera, or even playing blindfolded with his arms crossed when he was just a child...(like I said, a unique kind of genius, lol), but he created many beloved works of such effortless, almost innocent power and sublimity. Oh had he lived more years! And yet what he did in his brief 36 years left it's mark on classical music. Again, Happy Birthday Mozart!

Ahhh, thank you!  I didn't realize it was Mozart's birthday.  I only knew Beethoven's (Dec. 16).

Happy Birthday, Amadeus!!!

Now, I'll have to tell you this story my step-mom told me years ago and it might ruin Mozart's 40th symphony for you (as it sort of did for me, hahaha!  Well, not really, but it's amusing!)!!  A roommate or friend of hers in college was taking some music appreciation class and they were examined on being able to recognize various well-known pieces of various composers and to identify the composer with the music.  So this person created a funny way of remembering them by coming up with some phrase or whatever to the "tune" of the music.

For Mozart's 40th symphony, they came up with, "It's a bird, it's a plane, it's a MOZ-ART...it's a bird, it's a plane, it's a MOZ-ART!"  (imagine singing that to the tune of the 40th!).  So ever since, every time I've heard that symphony of his (which I actually like quite a bit), I forever have that damned "bird, plane, Mozart" going through my head when I hear it!!! LOL!!!

31 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said:

4/30 with a foot+ for DC and very nearly a 5th. That's hot

I count ~7 that give the DC area a respectable amount or more.  Not a bad signal for a highly "unstable" setup that is at this point not very predictable.

1 hour ago, Jebman said:

Redonculous + Bob Chill Face = Potentially EPIC, EPIC snowstorm.

I say!  It's enough to fluster me with excitement as I try to tie my cravat!

2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

I just want the F word to be dropped in here again…

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Would need DT approval on that.

Hey, @psuhoffman and @brooklynwx99 used the term  "redonculous" for this pattern, so anything can happen!