Scarlet Pimpernel

Just now, stormtracker said:

Fucking Jersey....and even Philly...filthy run for them

Is it at least notably better for us, even if they get (relatively) hammered?

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Sorry I was gonna delete that. You're right

No problem, appreciate it.  I wasn't trying to overdo banter, but sometimes a little humor in tense situations (especially since the NAM comes in so S-L-OOOOO-W-L-Y!) helps a bit!  Sorry if I sounded harsh.

Just now, stormtracker said:

Looks like some coastal enhancement, N trof type deal that made it wetter so far.  I'm still kinda interested in the H5 changes...maybe cape or psu can chime in more on that

Same...I'm not able to get this quickly, but I wonder what (if anything?) is better perhaps at 500 mb, if that is the case.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

H5 is souther than 18z...but I'd hold off on my a call on where it's going...could just be rounding the corner and still come over us

Is there actually more separation between the wave of interest and the pesky "lead wave?"  I'm wondering if that's what we might need here?

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Might wanna ease on the banter during model runs when we have a threat to track

Might want to just ease up.  We're not in storm mode yet for this thing and I'm usually respectful of that when it occurs.  I'm just trying to add some humor to alleviate the tension or aggravation...at least I'm not sitting here posting 100 complaints that things suck.

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

It's quite an interesting change at H5 vs 18z.  Flow is trying to back and trof is trying to sharpen, but that fucking damn lead wave is just a bitch

(After further review...bitchy lead wave offsides...repeat 4th and 20 at 06Z tomorrow!)

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Relax yall..I'm not making any call..just describing right now.  it's noticeably wetter to our SW...I DON'T KNOW what that means for us yet. I can't make a call

We await review from the replay booth...

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Dig dug?

16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Well...high drama tonight.  Got the 0z and 18z queued up.  Here we go...NAM is at 0!   No changes so far 

So the 0 hour NAM analysis isn't diggier???  Damn!

6 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said:

Ji, this is only two paragraphs. Are you cool with that?

It's the PSU Cliffs Notes version!

3 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

March 15-31 is gonna go crazy this year

The March 32nd HECS will be rockin'!!!  (April Fool!!!) 

Just my two copper coin's worth (not much, probably!)...

So after watching this event and checking the discussion here, I think the expectation really should be that we'll have a wintry feeling day with on the order of an inch or so (in most places).  I don't see any point in haggling over what models and what cycles show some minor 0.1" difference from run to run at this point, just a day and a half out.  That is my general feeling and expectation now.  Disappointing after some of the indications we saw earlier?  Sure.  And who knows, maybe trends will end up wetter or we'll over-perform and get a couple of inches or so.  Either way, I cannot complain that much...it caps of a rather wintry week to be honest, before we go into the wilderness of blah next week...after which, hopefully, we'll have better chances again toward the last couple of days of this month or early February (and on into the first part of March!).

1 hour ago, GATECH said:

Can we start a new thread to turn this around....we are going the wrong way.  

3 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Probably gonna like the NAM

Hopefully at least like it better than the 18Z GFS and Euro.

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Heyyyyy.  so far, better ridge out west..

6 hours ago, H2O said:

Whats wrong with this?  It is right up there with the opening of Saving Private Ryan.  Or the surprise ending of The Sixth Sense.  Or Darth Vader telling Luke who he was.  Just look at the time spent on the graphics.  Epic!

...Or finding out that Rosebud was Charles Kane's sled!!!  Oh, sorry to ruin that for you!! 

1 hour ago, Ji said:

what are you going to do the week of Jan 25-30?

Five-post you through the end of winter?? 

1 minute ago, Solution Man said:

522 line, white smoke

NAM forecasting a new Pope???

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I feel seen

Well, your commentary is a lot easier to translate than Chuck's, for sure!!!

@stormtracker PBP indicators/translations:

Jaws music:  HECS incoming.

"FOLKS!!":  6-12" or so event.

"Guys!":  mid-level event up to about 6" or so.

"Ass hair":  Not much change in the 500mb heights or other atmospheric parameters from previous runs.  A very technical, scientific (if somewhat disgusting!) term!

"Fuck central NJ!!":  Fuggeddaboutit, we get nothing on this run.  Next!

Just now, IUsedToHateCold said:

I've been following since AmWx (2006 or so?). I think if you're into this type of thing, you're into it for life  totally nutter crazy. I don't think any of us are going anywhere to ever be sane again, if we ever were...

FYP somewhat!! 

Just went for a "mini" Jebwalk, ~4.5" snow here in Bethesda now.

As promised, some photos!

7 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Back in from a jeb walk.

 

Love the cute little snowman (and all these photos)!!  Black and white is particularly effective with snow photos.

11 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Well well well. It looks like I might know what I’m talking about. It’s time to let my spouse know so I can chalk up one on my side. 
 

The tally would now be:

Wife: 174

Me: 6

Happy to be on the board 

So wait a minute...what are the other 5 for you, then???? 

And yes, happy to get on the board finally.  Biggest snow since March 12, 2022.  First time I've even had any opportunity to take snow photos since then too.  Hope to share some when I offload them in the next day or so.  Closing in on 3" when I last went out for a Jebwalk, an hour ago.