Scarlet Pimpernel

ICON is not only way far south, it's as if there's not much of a storm there at all...very dry looking overall.  Even the max zone is pretty small compared to earlier.

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Spam

17 minutes ago, T. August said:

NAM with the potential game winning drive at hr81 with a failed 2-point conversion.

Or as my brother used to say about Bernie Kosar (when he was QB of the Browns):  a "Kosarian" drive:  go 85 yards, chew up 12 minutes on the clock, and have to settle for a field goal!!!

Just now, Ji said:

It’s a colder storm than Jan 30 2010?

I just went and checked DCA's max/min for Jan. 30, 2010...high of 23, low of 18, 6.4" snow (day before was 27/20).  And that 6.4" snow was on 0.33 liquid equivalent.

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

The absolute best case right now is for a 50 or so mile NW bump and we get into the over 6" accumulation line.   Going back to the HECS thing is just off the table now.

Anyone seriously looking for a HECS right now is either being deliberately ignorant or a complete fool (or...both!).  I still hold out hope that a decent warning-level cold powder storm is on the table.

7 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

The great ones always do. Let’s yank and tug this baby home. 6” or big bust. 

If this damned thing comes back from the dead somehow, I propose we call it the "@ravensrule yank and tug storm"! 

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

We want it to trend more stream interaction. We may not see results at the sfc immediately

Interesting that right now it's like there's almost no real low, and it's drier relatively speaking.  But as you say, if we're actually seeing more interaction, hopefully the surface and precip will "respond" in upcoming cycles.

1 minute ago, Ji said:

maybe that stream interaction helped because its actually west of 12z...just a weak ass storm

I think at 12Z it seemed oddly dry too, even in the jackpot region?

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

How is it that bad? Lol

I’d expect a low close to the coast with that look. Whatever onto 0z 

How does this all compare to its 12Z run?  I'm thinking like @psuhoffman, it just seems like some disconnect looking at that H500 and comparing to the surface, not sure what is going on.  I guess it is just too flat of a flow off the east coast?

1 hour ago, LeesburgWx said:

In case we forgot…

Is that @Ralph Wiggum doing the PBP??? 

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z ICON disaster...for all but the SE mid Atlantic.

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

The differences upstairs at even 84hrs is comical. Completely a joke. 

LOL it literally pushed the purple-pink area of better snows like 100 miles southeast compared to its run 6 hours ago (06Z), and it looks drier even in that max stripe overall.

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Got it. Frank Pee U. it is

Hahaha!  Yeah, not a fan of his chicken if I can possibly avoid it.  And I hope you didn't mind my comment, I was just bustin' your chops a little for humor!  It's a common mistake, the "e" vs. the "u" in that name!

4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

My parents lived in Cambridge from 07-18. I spent a ton of time there. A run to Salisbury on a hot humid day could bring you to your knees. It's like Ole frank Purdue feeds his birds microwave burritos and PBR

Hey Bob...OK, as a PURDUE grad here, I must take exception to your spelling of that chicken farmer...he spells it with an "e"...PERdue!!  Don't confuse the two, or lump him with the university, LOL!!!

10 minutes ago, usedtobe said:

Someone responded to a post I made yesterday according to the site but I have no idea how to find that comment.  I'm old, that's my excuse.  Is there a way to find it without wading thru pages of comments?

Hi Wes!  I believe the easiest (only?) way to do this is to go to the top of the screen when logged in, where your username/icon is.  Just to the left of that, there's a "bell" icon, if you click on that you should be able to see a list of people who responded to you.  If you click on any of them, it should take you directly to the comment in the thread it was made.  Not sure how far back the list goes, but certainly enough to capture many of those notifications.

8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Here's the map of Jan 29-30 2010

That was a great "little" event, which of course led into an amazing 2-week period of winter!  I remember that being pronounced dead not long before it was going to occur, then about a couple of days out, it got resurrected!  6" cold powder where I was at in Silver Spring, MD at the time.

A couple of photos from the snow Tuesday night.  Sorry this is a bit late, meant to post these sooner, but didn't have a chance to offload them from the camera and process them until the other day.

6 minutes ago, snowfan said:

You sure that's not "northwest Baltimore" or "south Harrisburg" or even "far southeast Pittsburgh"??? 

Just now, wxdude64 said:

U G L Y 39 and north, sheesh.

There's actually not much anywhere, even in the jackpot zones.  Like the whole thing is just...dry.

Just now, MN Transplant said:

Hadn’t been paying attention to the timing, but snow breaking out by morning Wednesday 

Whoa...that's early!

2 minutes ago, LongRanger said:

Mr. Miyagi designed at least some of the models. You know, "Snow on, snow off." It's all just normal preparation for the real event.

3 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

If this goes SE at game time, can we say the GFS led the way? 

Not really sure we can say that no matter how this turns out.  Recall the 06Z and especially the 12Z GFS actually made a big move toward the heavier amounts area-wide, even farther north.  If this goes back, it's just waffling, I'd hardly say it "led the way".

Just now, Chris78 said:

Remember when most of the models except for the GFS was showing a big hit? 

Lol

Pepperidge Farm remembers!!!

So, we going to get a semi-drunk/high GFS PBP from @stormtracker?  I await his "F**K the GFS!!"  Or maybe, a "FOLKS!!!!"

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm the same era. Trs80 was my first PC.and riding dinosaurs. I had a triceratops convertible.

Whoa, fancy!  Where I'm from, only rich people had the triceratops!!  I had a stegosaurus, the Civic of its day, when my parents let me ride it!!! hahaha!

Just now, MN Transplant said:

We need a rule that if you post Kucera you have to post 10:1 too.

Is the Kuchera really valid for this event?  Honest question.  I know it's going to be colder, but still...