Scarlet Pimpernel

Hahaha!!! I am so stealing that image! So, if you had back-to-back salt trucks like this, would that be putting Old Bay on your Old Bay?

Thanks for the added insight, Bob! That's sort of the impression I had, that we shouldn't be waiting around for weeks to clear out a bunch of Pac puke air. Looking at the flow over the entire north American region on TT to get a better idea, you can see that Canada generally keeps a northerly flow so the cold air source doesn't get obliterated, thanks to that EPO/PNA ridge. I wonder if in a way this is also a bit reminiscent of 2014, though at the time I believe we had a strongly +AO (whereas -AO this year) and were blessed with having an EPO/PNA ridge on 'roids to help us then.

I think all models have been advertising a relax soon after whatever occurs Fri-Sat (i.e., the following week). But I also thought indications were that warmup/relax would be relatively short-lived and we'd be morphing back into a favorable look by the end of the month. I gave a quick glance at the GEFS mean the other day and that seemed to be the case, but I'll let others who have been following that chime in with better detail.

Nice!!! You're gonna need a bigger (@Jebman) shovel though!

Light coating of snow (even on pavement) this morning, with some pixie dust flakes still falling.

I knew someone who used to work with him I think while at Accu-Weather, and he didn't care much for JB either. Thought JB had good knowledge but was a bit arrogant and always "CYA" for anything he got incorrect, saying things like, "well, I got the pattern right but the meteorology wrong!", or something along those lines. I've mentioned this before but he'd always use the weasel words such as "coldest month...RELATIVE TO AVERAGES". I swear once he used that to claim that March was the "coldest month of the winter" (RELATIVE TO AVERAGES, mind you!), and then claim victory that his call for a "very cold 2nd half of winter" was correct or whatever. I used to joke that using his logic, I could claim a rather cool July is the coldest month of the year, relative to averages!!!

Haha, I know...I was just saying that for humor after getting (properly) admonished for mentioning that particular event! Usually I just say "The Storm Which Shall Not Be Named" (a'la Voldemort!), LOL!! Anyhow, yeah, I mostly agree with what you say here, we've had plenty of "near misses" that sucked. But I think "that one" is impressed upon so many people's memory here because we were coming off that amazing record-breaking winter of 2009-10, and then it was pretty cold the following year in Dec. 2010, so expectations and all were perhaps elevated.

That half inch or so of cold smoke from a clipper a couple of days before the Jan. 2016 blizzard caused similar incidents. I was driving home that evening and it was truly white-knuckle driving, the roads were a mess. No real treatment so cars effectively packed it down into a sheet of ice.

Now as primarily a Browns fan (yeah, I'll admit that!), they were just totally pathetic! Looked completely unprepared. Yeah, Flacco had a bad game with the two pick-6's, but also their defense was awful. Doesn't help to have zero offense for the 2nd half too of course.

The little bit that I paid attention to them, the Lions certainly have a solid team that can potentially go far of course...but seems that their defense has given a lot of scares late in games that they should have locked up easily.

Geez, at least I had the "decency" to not explicitly spell the name out!!

Agree...I'm not any big time Lions' fan, but for some reason I've always had some affinity for them even when I was younger. Maybe I just thought the uniform colors were cool back then, who knows. But yeah, nice to see them have a good season and now get this far. Same for the Tigers in baseball, I always liked them too.

Kinda reminiscent of B**ing D*y 2010!

No loss of power, but not long ago when I was driving back home I saw a couple of traffic lights that were blinking yellow, but then changed to green. I'm guessing they got knocked out for a few seconds.

Is this going to be a drunken PBP (sort of like Drunken Boxing)??? Hopefully we'll get a very slurred "FOLKS!", and then you can return to your martini(s)!

Heck yeah...Galaxy Quest!!!

When's the last time we even had a WWA for the DC Metro-Balt, or at least a "legit" one? Seriously, would that have been March 2022, with that short cold blast and a couple of inches of snow (some areas got more)? I know there was the pre-dawn half inch in early February last year but don't know if they even issued anything for that (and the only measurable snow all last season!).

And definitely a lot more FOLKS! and JAWS! to go along with those!

...Or a Trojan Rabbit!

Yeah had to look twice and then realized that. Every member in the overall total is easily >2" area-wide, even more than that. But that 24-h total for the 2nd storm didn't quite match up.

How's this compare to the previous couple of GEFS cycles? Don't think I saw those posted from last night and this morning. Just curious...

Yup...you can get crazy snow gradients from those events. You can go from mostly clear and wet roads to a blizzard in almost no time. I recall seeing cars come in from the "main" snowbelt of NE Ohio with a several inch or so slab of snow on the roof when all the vehicles around them were dry (I think they left it there to "show off!" LOL!!!).

Having grown up in northeast Ohio, I completely agree with you! There is really nothing else like a major lake effect event when they hammer you. I've experienced those 2-4" bands (or more!) and whiteout conditions, as well as thunder-snow. Northeast Ohio doesn't get as much as Buffalo, simply because Buffalo gets a much longer fetch off Lake Erie (so they'll be in those bands more or less for hours, even days!), but still. We'd occasionally get some added bands off Lake Huron if the wind direction was right. It's really cool!!! Also, lake effect nearly always provided "extra" snow on top of synoptic events at the end, and would give you snow even after rain once it got cold and the winds shifted behind a front.

That scenario shown by the GFS would pretty much make everyone from here to New England pretty darned happy.

Yes, for sure. Previous cycles had that trough as just a broad kind of nothing much. This is, I believe, what @psuhoffman said some pages back what we'd need (at least here in the mid-Atlantic), that trough to really dig down there since there's not much of a southern stream per se. (ETA: And, am I mistaken in seeing that a piece of the PV phases somewhat with it?? Or at least starts to.)