BooneWX

We’ll see what the surface shows but this is quite the look

Significantly further west at 150 than the 6z

Dig baby dig

It’s more west…fingers crossed

Yea the trends didn’t go our way last night but lots of reason to remain optimistic. The pattern screams potential for the SE, and these models are still struggling to get a grip with the players on the field in this new pattern. 
 

storm? Check

cold air? Check 

how much will it dig? TBD 

Hr 240 - heavy snow in Tallahassee 

Don’t go to sleep yet

Impressive deepening off the coast. If it can crank that any sooner than what the GFS showed, somebody is getting blizzard conditions in the Carolinas.

Murphy to Manteo! Holy cow

She’s still hammering at 180

Have mercy

Too early to be stressing amounts when we were canceling winter a few days ago. Just enjoy the ride everyone! Buckle up. 

Euro has a storm and it was close to the result we needed. Take that as a win at day 8. I’d be more worried if there wasn’t a storm to be found. 

We’ll know how legit this is soon enough. The true big dogs are hunted a week out and waiver very little. I’ll never forget how the Dec 2018 had those preposterous runs 7-8 days out that we all scoffed at and it didn’t blink once that week. 

Snowpack fueled morning temps in the single digits all the way to the low country

Nothing more electric than seeing the “hot” tag on the threads in the winter 

Sit down before you look at the 12z

ATLANTA TO MAINE FOLKS

THIS WILL CRASH THE INTERNET IN ABOUT 10 MIN

Painfully close. Painfully. 

Don’t look now but still… that Monday/Tuesday timeframe is intriguing again. 
 

12z GFS with a weak high over Pennsylvania and a disturbance trying to fester to our south. It even has snow showers breaking out over SW NC.

2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Hmm, getting back in the game again as alluded to yesterday?

Speak it into existence! 
 

The fat lady hasn’t sung yet. I still feel like we’re due a medium-short term surprise at some point in the next few weeks. The models are struggling. 

1 hour ago, Buckethead said:

Looks like flip flop season is just about over. I put them away once we hit 0.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
 

I love winter and cold as much as the next person but man… this is not the year for extremes to impact the energy sector. 

19 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

It's frustrating, because at the surface this looks like it's setting up for something really good. Then it gets suppressed to oblivion

Would love to see the ensembles get on board here at 12z. It’s so so close… snow breaking out over Ark and Oklahoma is a huge weenie alert signal for at least the Carolinas. 
 

On the positive side - It feels like we should expect that any shots of winter weather at the front of this pattern change would likely come with little advance. At 7 days, I like this. The players are on the field.

Shared this in the other thread but especially for us, this isn’t a bad look at the 7 day range. The high pressure location is very workable and should supply enough dry air down the spine. Now can we get that disturbance to turn into a slider or full on Miller A?