BooneWX

Since I the violated the terms of service, I’m going to bring up the other elephant: THOSE WARM GROUND TEMPS!!

10 minutes ago, K4CF said:

You were concerned for good reason sir! 

 https://www.infowars.com/posts/toxic-clouds-spew-down-acid-rain-following-ohio-train-derailment-reports-claim/

No sooner did I say it, I started seeing countless videos and reports of people reacting to the chemical smells and yellow rain falling in the north east and mid Atlantic. I certainly was never going to trust the company responsible for the disaster to confirm that it’s safe lol.

I’m rooting for all of you high elevation folks to score on some NWF with these intermittent cold shots but I’m not even going to lie. This whole winter has felt kinda gross (couldn’t be the 15 inches of rain). In the foothills and flatlands, I hope it’s full throttle to spring.

52 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 After a mild period through 3/6 (warmer than the prior run), today's Euro weeklies *fwiw* are significantly colder than the prior run thanks to a stronger and persistent -NAO throughout March. The highlight is in mid-March, when nearly the entire US is BN (see image below). That is the coldest map for any March week of any Weeklies run to date. I understand if folks doubt this based on this winter so far. Some may laugh at this, which would be understandable. But the major SSW we just had along with, believe it or not, another reversal of the 60N winds at the 10 mb level now being forecasted for about one week from now along with the progged solid -NAO throughout March tell me that a legit cold period is believable. Would that be cold enough for wintry precip in parts of the SE if it were to occur? Who knows but mid March is often still early enough for a state like NC at the least:

I kinda figured this may happen. It would’ve been too nice for the ridge to do ridge things when people would actually want it to. 

I tend to agree. Just wanted to see if anyone felt differently. I will say, I don’t think anyone in that area is getting 1% of the accurate story. I suspect the federal government will see a lot of medical claims in court in a decade. 

I know this is an out there sort of comment but is anyone mildly concerned the snowfall in the mountains tonight is toxic?

If the ridge is going to pump next week let it pump is all I can say! At this juncture, I’d rather see it trend stronger and shunt the storm track well north. All of this rain we’ve had can kick rocks.

CAD? Never heard of her.

2 minutes ago, wxduncan said:

 

Yeah it's just sad at this point. If we don't get anything by March 7th then it's over. Time is going fast and with Feb being a leap month this year even faster.

I went ahead and threw another round of fertilizer on the lawn yesterday in preparation for the weeks ahead. 

2 hours ago, Buckethead said:

The wv loop sure is impressive to look at this morning.

Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk
 

The part that makes me sick is that if I went back in time to a week ago and sent everyone that imagery, we’d all expect to be counting snowfall in feet right now. 9 times out of 10, that setup is cash money for this end of NC. I wouldn’t have pictured cold air being completely non-existent on this entire side of the continent in the middle of Feb. 

For what it’s worth, the euro nailed the Cumberland plateau snowfall this morning and the 06z run was absolutely bullish, even into the foothills. 

26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Miserable weather for a miserable winter. Insult to injury. Bring on 60s and sunshine 

Agreed! Very ready to hit the blue line creeks with my fly rod in tote and my wading shorts on instead of waders. 

That backside is going to hammer the higher elevations in a few hours.

The sleet is coming down so heavy here that it’s starting to accumulate despite temps being in the 40s

I’ve got pingers!

9 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

Someone in Rutherford county is getting in on the action…


.

Also about the third day in a row of multiple models hinting at a jackpot zone around Burke/Catawba counties.

Sorry y’all. I made a lot of “never will I ask for ____” again prayers in exchange for the Dec 2018 storm. My bad.

19 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

We may actually see a correction with tonight's models and tomorrow morning for a more favorable look.

After all of the windshield wiping we’ve seen this year, I wouldn’t expect less!

Also a reminder that the HRRR nailed that last synoptic event in Jan. 

The tough pill to swallow for the NAM is that it’s typically bias in its cold solutions. 

I still think this is going to be a significant impact for the mountains. For me personally, flakes will be more than anything I’ve seen in 12 months, so I can live with the output I’m seeing.

7 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

It's cutting northeast way too much now. Almost trying to miller B. I don't know why but storms almost always miller B nowadays

 

My theory: Warmer oceans > more energy > stronger storms tending to go poleward faster. 

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Ouch, long range ensembles now mostly hold onto the SE ridge idea through the end of the month. Ugly doesn’t do it justice. Not sure if the fat lady has sung but she’s warming up, as we do too. 

At this point, I think I’m good with that. I had my evening jog in shorts and a t-shirt last night and it reminded me how taxing the early darkness and the endless rainy days have been. Give me 9 pm sunsets, mid 70s and towering thunderclouds.

I’m going to hang on until tomorrow before I let the fat lady go warm up her voice but the trends certainly aren’t positive atm. Even with an ULL, it’s tough to watch us work with only marginal cold air all the way into lower Canada. Truly an anomalous pattern we’ve had this whole winter. The things I’d do for a 1040 in the Ohio valley right now!

It’d be neat to have cold air on this side of continent, wouldn’t it?