BooneWX
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Everything posted by BooneWX
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I’m not on the board with a cold Feb yet but with a decreasing Niña influence, I don’t think it’s out of the question to at least be near average. That would be a huge shift from years of late.
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The Panthers are still playing meaningful football in December, so I’ve got hope that cold can come back
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I’ll always have my Dec 8th 2025 flizzard
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The cruel irony about a -NAO with a raging Aleutian ridge is we’re going to be warm and wet. We’ll finally have a mechanism for digging and getting the moisture here.
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It has zero ensemble support so we’ll see. Even if it did, I don’t want to be in the bullseye for at least another 6 days. That time period does look interesting though. It seems like we get a brief break from warmth but it’s an all or nothing type of look.
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65-68 will be nice for the kids to get outside and play with their gifts. I’m looking forward to some hiking and fishing these next 10 days.
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I’m thankful and glad we had the 3 week stretch we did, it was great. But I think it’s perfectly normal to be a tad annoyed we’re headed into prime climo on a warm streak. You’re right though, it is what it is and it can’t be changed. I’m a big 4 seasons guy. I get salty less about the snow part and more of the me having to break out the shorts Christmas morning
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Some of our best scores have come in shit patterns
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Been so long since I’ve seen a southern bowling ball
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A shred of optimism can be found in the overnight modeling but we’ve seen this quite a bit over the past week. I need more than a flash in the pan at 300+ hrs.
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Pain.
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East Asia Mountain Torque event but she ain’t torquing right now
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He and has family died in a plane crash today in Statesville
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RIP Greg Biffle. He cared far more about Western NC after Helene than every government agency combined.
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Yep this is a good soaking rain that we needed ahead of the pattern change
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I 100% agree. I’ve always considered a trace measurable and shocked that it’s not. So maybe I now have beef with the NWS interpretation of a trace. But I’ve had a long standing frustration with the NWS on their PR front. They need to hire a few PR firms to assist in overhauling their public facing language. My biggest gripe: “Marginal, slight, moderate, high, extreme.”
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I’m the melted on contact guy and I’m man enough to apologize. I had always considered a trace measurable but happily proven wrong. I’ve had token flakes a few times and I hope you didn’t perceive my initial comment as an attack on you. I’m admittedly not a fan of Webb and let my bias pour through.
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This is our only way out in the near future and it’s starting to show in the LR: east based NAO starts trending west, get a 50/50 low in the right spot and send our death ridge closer to the Rockies and see what we can do. We’re going to have to bully the Pacific pattern, which I’m not sure is possible, but that’s what it’s going to take. Positive steps overnight and it appears the PNA gets a lot closer to neutral by the end of the month.
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Raw day here with the cloud cover
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I’ve seen Mets saying it has a cold bias and its ensembles as well. I wish we had someone on here with access to Google deep mind, because it’s been very accurate since summer.
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Yep. Not panicking yet, but if we haven’t moved that Aleutian Ridge by week 2 in Jan, I’ll get really bearish.
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Selfishly, I spend most of my time here and would love to get our former forum stalwarts back to posting on AmericanWx. We’ve segmented more the last few years by region since many have dropped off and I think that’s only enhanced discussions.
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I don’t think that Aleutian Ridge is going anywhere on its on. @Daniel Boone pointed this out in the TV thread, but the only way to glory soon is to back our blocking west, boot the death ridge to the west coast and shove that Aleutian Ridge into a more optimal spot deep into Russia. I do think we get a strong -NAO but it remains to be seen if that has the downstream effects we need.
