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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. That may be fun anyways because we’re prob talking 4-6” of sleet
  2. I’ve thought our likelihood all along was probably a miller b ish look for us, which would be great. A classic foothills special with several inches of snow, sleet and a glaze but I’m growing concerned by the minute that we’re trending away from several inches of snow, to novelty inches of snow with apocalyptic ice.
  3. Ohhhh so nowwww we’ll achieve a phase. Of course we would.
  4. Goose! When you’re in here, ik the threat is legit. Share those thoughts when you get a chance, the class wants to hear.
  5. South is the risk, not north. I keep saying this.
  6. Only caveat to watch with the GFS is that it notoriously struggles with Baja low interactions.
  7. Looks a lot like its 18z run from yesterday
  8. Reminder that the icon was still plowing the LP into the high at 0z last night. It seems to be finding its footing, which is typical, because it’s useless.
  9. Poking around on my GSP forecast, kickoff time is actually around 10pm Friday. With that….we’re three days out now
  10. Amen. Noticed this morning that finger of precip stretching into NC seems to find an earlier and earlier arrival time. GSP now has it starting around 10 pm Friday night in my neck of the woods. If so, it’s down to 3 days
  11. One thing these models aren’t doing a great job with is showing just how expansive the sleet is going to be. Someone in the right spot is going to 4-6” of sleet only during this event.
  12. Thank you for all of the folks who stayed up and did the play by play! I just don’t have it in me anymore. I’d have to look but we seem to just keep up trending QPF for this event. Idk if I’ve seen anything like it in quite some time. 1.5-2” into temps ranging from the teens to 20s is going to be a sight.
  13. Hopefully with the AI models coming south, it’s less of a trend and more of a coming to a common solution
  14. Wouldn’t be shocked if many of us are seeing wintry precip by sunrise Saturday or even overnight Friday. Precip always seems to arrive ahead of schedule.
  15. QPF should be insane. Much more Baja interaction.
  16. Precip approaching NC by Friday evening, wow
  17. Nutty thing about that icon run: more amped, but also a deeper cad. Some would get biblical sleet accumulation.
  18. This is setting up to be an absolute disaster somewhere and that somewhere is likely a historically large region.
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