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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    I’m fine for now but any less at 0z, I’ll press the panic alarm
  2. BooneWX
    I don’t mind the globles showing a min but I’m getting nervous about it repeatedly showing up in cams that I’d hope would be starting to sniff out meso features
  3. BooneWX
    This plus highest ratios north and west. The closer you are to the surface low, the closer to 10:1 you are as well.
  4. BooneWX
    Wpc and NWS understand lee enhancement. Globals do not
  5. BooneWX
    I’m glad to see some of these models moving the biggest maxima to Charlotte. They deserve as much, if not more, than we do. No southern city has been shafted worse than them.
  6. BooneWX
    Insights from our king .
  7. BooneWX
    What a NAM run!
  8. BooneWX
    GSP’s hourly forecast graph has about 7” in the unifour region.
  9. BooneWX
    The real king is up next
  10. BooneWX
    Fine euro run. 3-6” considering higher ratios, more in the smokies.
  11. BooneWX
    It’s not a rug pull. Very nice event across the board, especially considering ratios. It’s just not throwing out the gaudy totals we’ve seen from other guidance. We’re in that fog of war phase for model watching where we might be over analyzing every single tick for players that are currently thousands of miles away.
  12. BooneWX
    Yep. Need that ULL to really be in the right spot .
  13. BooneWX
    Less negative tilt, less west this run
  14. BooneWX
    Still gonna be a good run down east
  15. BooneWX
    This euro run is going to be drier
  16. BooneWX
    Assault
  17. BooneWX
    @Hvwardvideo update today? I’m yearning for your thoughts. Seems like the AI data is really honing in on higher totals west under our ULL.
  18. BooneWX
    It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby
  19. BooneWX
    Crazy setup. .5” QPF would be almost a foot at 20:1 ratios.
  20. BooneWX
    Closer to the coast, a little more digging west before she turns
  21. BooneWX
    Use the NAM for profiles, not precip output. Profiles won’t be an issue in this storm tho.
  22. BooneWX
    And still dumping
  23. BooneWX
    I believe it ingested 6z data
  24. BooneWX
    Now that I’ve seen the surface depiction, it seems like it might be having some feedback issues like the Canadian last night. You can see it trying to pop the low well east of the isobars it should be located at. Thus the paltry snow shield.
  25. BooneWX
    From the coastal, you’re right. But as the ULL digs down, it’ll be in a good position to put a deform band over western Nc. I have no doubt there’s a higher ceiling down east with bombogenesis but in most setups, this is a 4-7” invent under the ULL.
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