BooneWX

How many beans in the jar folks?

I may be wrong but cansips tends to have a warm bias, so this perked my interest for sure. As we’ve all said, all it takes is one storm outside of the mountains to make or break a season. I’ve got a hunch we have a rather warm winter but somehow still make or break above avg snowfall for many areas with just one well timed shot of cold air and an active storm track. Source regions will be key. My hunch is that we don’t build adequate snowpack over Canada but from that same token, does the El Niño pop a hell of a ridge on the west coast?

My bad for the bad memories. I am rooting for you guys to get the hammer this season.

I’m craving an 09/10 repeat

Last few winters have been generally good across the SE with some caveats. Are we still capable of pulling off a blockbuster? Remains to be seen… but we are due for one.

Folks in Tx/LA should be thankful this doesn’t have another 12-24 hrs over water. It was finally taking advantage of its environment in the 11th hour.

Lightning in the core, convection rotating upshear.

Quite the jog south by the core in recent radar frames. It looks like the stronger connection to the south may have given it a tug. It’s probably a wash at this point, but that may have bought it an extra hour or two.

I drank two the other night. I turned the air down to 66 and closed the blinds. Worked like charm.

Been cleaning up one of my pine trees, there’s several down across the neighborhood. Looks like we had a downburst while I was at work.

PWATS must be high as hell. Almost an inch and a half at my place in 30 min with the severe warned storm.

The cruelty of the upcoming pattern is getting a taste of fall with football on the horizon but getting hells front porch at the actual kickoff next weekend. I’ll be in Boone. Idk how you folks who go down to Clemson, Columbia, Raleigh or Greenville survive but I respect it!

No water restrictions being lifted anytime soon for Catawba Valley residents. The one metric that’s holding us back is the 6 month streamflow average. Seems like a flawed metric imo. The 6 month average is going to be harshly skewed by the streamflow at the height of the drought so it seems like it may be the first of next year before restrictions are lifted despite whatever fall brings.

Excellent shots!

This storm is wicked. It looked like a spaceship arriving and then boom. Dark as night with the street lamps on. Absolutely dumping rn.

Hopefully that inevitable stretch in Sept doesn’t feature the same dewpoints. I think this most recent stretch of mid to upper 90s has felt much worse than our hottest timeframe around the 4th. It was over 100 then, but at least the humidity wasn’t as high.

IMO no. I think we’ve got a long stretch of 90s coming in Sept at some point before we get entrenched in a long, cool & wet pattern.

Worst line of storms I’ve had at this house since I’ve lived here

This cell to my west is putting on one of the most incredible nighttime light displays I’ve ever seen .

I slept through it but woke up to 1.55” for the day.

.29” here. Wouldn’t hate a bit more but every little bit helps you get through a heat wave.

Nasty line coming together now

Easy now lol. I like my rain with the power on preferably.

Extremely nasty cell just passed through Lenoir. Quite a bit of hail and strong winds.

Sneaky derecho threat late this evening. Hope not, but it’ll still likely be in the upper 80s well after dark.