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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. I’m fine for now but any less at 0z, I’ll press the panic alarm
  2. I don’t mind the globles showing a min but I’m getting nervous about it repeatedly showing up in cams that I’d hope would be starting to sniff out meso features
  3. This plus highest ratios north and west. The closer you are to the surface low, the closer to 10:1 you are as well.
  4. Wpc and NWS understand lee enhancement. Globals do not
  5. I’m glad to see some of these models moving the biggest maxima to Charlotte. They deserve as much, if not more, than we do. No southern city has been shafted worse than them.
  6. GSP’s hourly forecast graph has about 7” in the unifour region.
  7. Fine euro run. 3-6” considering higher ratios, more in the smokies.
  8. It’s not a rug pull. Very nice event across the board, especially considering ratios. It’s just not throwing out the gaudy totals we’ve seen from other guidance. We’re in that fog of war phase for model watching where we might be over analyzing every single tick for players that are currently thousands of miles away.
  9. @Hvwardvideo update today? I’m yearning for your thoughts. Seems like the AI data is really honing in on higher totals west under our ULL.
  10. It’s like if the 2003 storm and the Carolina crusher had a baby
  11. Crazy setup. .5” QPF would be almost a foot at 20:1 ratios.
  12. Closer to the coast, a little more digging west before she turns
  13. Use the NAM for profiles, not precip output. Profiles won’t be an issue in this storm tho.
  14. Now that I’ve seen the surface depiction, it seems like it might be having some feedback issues like the Canadian last night. You can see it trying to pop the low well east of the isobars it should be located at. Thus the paltry snow shield.
  15. From the coastal, you’re right. But as the ULL digs down, it’ll be in a good position to put a deform band over western Nc. I have no doubt there’s a higher ceiling down east with bombogenesis but in most setups, this is a 4-7” invent under the ULL.
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