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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. 12Z wasn’t a good suite if you wanted token flakes east of the mountains. The energy just doesn’t dig enough to be a factor other than providing the enhancement needed for a nice NW flow event. Other than that, how about the Euro showing sea effect snowfall off the OBX in November? .
  2. Yesterday’s video was great. It seems like the cold risks late month are increasing as long as the Pacific cooperates. Either way, I’m glad we’re back to serious discussions before Veterans Day. That’s a rarity of late.
  3. Could be a fun 12z suite today. The high country and foothills of eastern TN seem to be locked in to a healthy NW flow event, but if that energy at the base of the trough can slow down a smidge and gain some negative tilt, many more of us are at least going to get some token/mood flakes east of the mountains.
  4. Uhhh….this is damn close to Nov 1, 2014. A little negative tilt and this thread will blow up. .
  5. NW flow chances just keep looking better next week. Nice little piece of energy keeps digging into the base of that trough on the models.
  6. Doing some research and hoping yall can jog my memory. Whats the best “it broke containment” episode you’ve ever seen in the foothills from a NW flow event?
  7. 32.5°. Hopefully that frost will cut back on my mowing schedule.
  8. Could tonight be the night? The wind has really died down here and it’s 59°.
  9. I think what you are describing was when Super Typhoon Haiyan made landfall near Tacloban, Philippines. Come to think of it, that means Josh has been in the most intense Pacific landfall and the most intense Atlantic landfall in the satellite era. This is a discussion for a different thread but this is why after yesterday, I’ll regard him as the greatest chaser of all time moving forward.
  10. When I get my money right, I’m getting a cabin somewhere in your neck of the woods. Snow capital of NC.
  11. 2.85 here but currently pouring and plenty downstream of us on radar. Nasty nasty night with a stiff breeze.
  12. Based on Josh’s location, it looks like he maybe just barely got into the eye. Won’t have perfect readings obviously but maybe some hope for the incredible shots.
  13. Small wobble left… I think Josh may actually have nailed it. Won’t be dead center but he should get into the eye.
  14. Jeff Piotrowski is live from Santa Cruz. He should get the eastern eyewall: https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1983145649861202156?s=12
  15. Josh settled on a location in Treasure Beach. He’s going to get nailed (as he usually does).
  16. 910 on first pass but they didn’t hit the center - looks like the sw edge of the eye
  17. And one would think as it gets closer to the coast, there’s room for even more tightening as friction with land starts to do its work.
  18. In the spirit of @wncsnowand @Met1985, MJO is overrated, give me an optimal eastern pacific and I’ll take my chances.
  19. Noticed that too. Last several frames on IR go Nw-W-SW-S. Maybe a wobble but seems like it might be the turn. Landfall at Savanna La-mar is my guess.
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