BooneWX

Rough day in the foothills. Lots of damage in both Burke and Caldwell counties. The dam at Rhodhiss is now open, which will spell even more damage downstream. I haven’t seen this lake in such rough shape outside of Helene. I went down to the neighborhood docks a bit ago and it smells awful - not a sewage scent but a rotted plant/earth smell. Furniture, trees, you name it coming down the waterway. Chocolate milk brown as you can imagine.

I look forward to the county telling me that water restrictions need to remain in place next week

Getting smoked one final time

Could be an interesting night. I had what I thought was a brief break per radar but no, it was still pouring. That’s what 2” PWATS will do.

I really got fooled into believing we were back. Gotta get that damn headset away from Dowell Loggains and give it to DJ Smith. I’ve seen enough.

Ugliest game I’ve laid my eyes on

We’ll get better forcing this evening but this may just end up being a good beneficial rain event.

That’s putting it mildly too! Very anxious this evening.

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Please no

Numerous mesovorticies dancing around that eyewall

Per recon, it’s flirting with cat 4. It’s defying all of the odds. Never bet against a Gulf cane.

While I know it’s not a Helene, our area hasn’t really been tested since that storm. I’m nervous about what this could knock loose - both land and trees that may still be hanging by a thread.

Ticking east every run. Good call.

How many more wobbles east should I allow before I start to get nervous?

It surely doesn’t seem like it. Granted, I think we’re paying for all of the nice weather luck we’ve had the last couple of years.

IMO they’ve never been great at PR. I don’t necessarily blame them - that’s a different set of expertise but nonetheless, I think all offices get a bit too caught up in technicalities and splitting hairs. The greater public doesn’t operate with the mindset of what PWAT anomalies might or might not be, lift, probability of winds getting mixed down to the surface etc etc. Sometimes, you just have to look at the system as a whole imo and ask “does it elevate the risk of injury, death or property damage, and would us issuing these warnings make people take the system more seriously?” The answer is yes.

I’ll be wearing waders for the app game. We’re really lucky it hasn’t been super wet lately. The inland wind threat with this increases every model run.

Not seeing a whole lot of chatter online regarding the inland wind threat. A broadening cyclone, fast motion and a tight gradient with the HP to the NE screams widespread 50-70 mph gusts that go on a lot longer than your typical system. Hope folks are prepared.

We’ve just seen a lot of eye candy the last few years in low sheer environments. This is a gulf cane of old.

Jimbo!!! I hope you’re doing well.

What’s everyone’s gamble on timing? App kicks off homecoming at 1 pm. Selfishly hoping we get a rain free game for our passing attack lol.

Weirdly, I think everyone is getting smoked. I may be 100% wrong, but with that flow, we’ll be getting not only the southerly fetch from the gulf, but the Atlantic will get tapped into as the storm gains latitude. There’s certainly going to be max’s to the west and east of the piedmont but this is your classic, squeezing every last drop out of the clouds type of setup for the Carolinas. Also one of those situations where the moments of blankness on radar are still producing heavy drizzle/light rain.

App State has a home game on Saturday, so this threat has legs.

After tonight, that should pretty much be the axe to the drought and deficit. It made a 4th quarter comeback but it has been an absolute deluge along and west of I-77.