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Everything posted by Matthew70
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Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
It appears the freezing line has pushed as far east & south as it going to. I65 west to NW seems to be the line. Temp remains steady here at 33. Schools should have waited to close. I guess they wanted to use a snow day since they have used none of the 12 they are allowed. I wish they would take a week of snow days & add to fall break here. Make it a 2 week fall break. They don’t need many some days anymore. -
Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temp here in Smyrna went up 1-2 degrees. Might escape wo any ice issues. -
Yikes. That’s not good. Meaning cold spring with cold rains. We need to break this cycle of cold springs.
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The CMC really won the model wars on the current temps. Whatever the CMC is showing temp wise should be taken pretty seriously. GFS was a close second. Euro is completely lost on cold air. Question I have is what is the latest on the MJO? Does it cycle back to cold phases or stay in warm phases?
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Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
They can have that ice & sleet. I will take my cold rain & be happy. -
Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got to 33 here in Smyrna. This is more of a nuisance event. Thankfully. After all the damage to shrubs from the Christmas cold. I do not won’t any part of trees being damaged by ice. Whatever happens is short lived & by this weekend is long gone. Going to be very nice temp wise coming up. I expect to be mowing my yard in a couple weeks. Buttercups will be blooming by mid February is my guess. They already are coming up. If we had not had that Christmas cold this would be a very uneventful winter so far. -
This weekend & next week temp wise looks very pleasant. The warmup is real no doubt.
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With the way the temps are showing next week & after. I would say February could be active south of TN.
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Jan 31 - Feb 1 Ice Possibilities
Matthew70 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
You said a last minute jog North would happen. I bet when it gets even closer there will be hardly any frozen in TN. Maybe very far NW corner. -
For me once soccer goes full swing I’m ready for spring. The way the butter cups & grass is greening up. I would say winter is pretty much done. Especially with the warmer temps coming next week. 60’s+. Spring will be showing signs all over.
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With soccer going full swing starting this weekend. I would take a warm spring. I will definitely be mowing my yard the next couple weeks. Green & growing.
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Tomorrow near 60 & Sunny then week after mid 50’s to 60. Yeah not gonna complain. Better than 33 & rain.
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I will take the rain over ice any day. We are heading to Gatlinburg for a soccer showcase. I’m just fine with some rain. Looks now it will be chilly but dry. That sounds great!
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Thing is warmth almost always verifies on models.
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I will take a HARD PASS on any ice! The extreme cold temps already damaged many of the evergreens & shrubs. Sheesh last thing we all need is trees to be damaged also.
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Let’s start reeling this in. It is less than 7 days.
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Well, one thing is for certain it appears it’s going to be very wet beginning of February.
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Well, let’s also remember this weeks Storm was showing up on models consistently at 7 to 8 days out for the I44 area.
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Matthew70 replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Same here outside Nashville. The winds have been less than 20-25mph.- 923 replies
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It’s to turn over to rain there in a few hours. The ole dreaded warm nose.
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Somehow I believe that prediction will have a high chance of verifying . Warm winters & cold springs are almost guaranteed here anymore.
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