Matthew70
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Everything posted by Matthew70
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I would expect 1-2”. More than that would be a nice surprise. Hopefully it is more for all of TN.
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I’m still laughing at this forecaster out in northern MS. He has the whole area even up to Nashville with nothing to 1”. . Then a small heavier band. Very small. He’s making sure he’s right. That way someone gets nothing to 1”. He can say nailed it.
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That station does.
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Thanks. She’s annoying. I watch WSMV.
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Channel 5
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Is say you will see a lot of those WSW dropped for west & Middle TN tonight.
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Yeah I’d say this storm is not happening in Nashville. Local stations now saying maybe an inch at best. I’m thinking Sunday maybe more sunny & warmer. Heck Saturday maybe dry also if HRRR is correct.
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Beautiful here in mid state also. I could use a pretty weekend like today to cut some bushes out.
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Lol. Gotta love TN wx. If Euro goes south & less frozen precip. I would expect WSW by OHX to be dropped.
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At this rate the euro is last remaining hope. Which lately it’s not been so king. Sunny & cool weekend I can handle.
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I would think the precip filled more to the north. I mean that just looks so not right. Like a brick wall at the TN border.
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Solid 2-4” for whole state.
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Strange.
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I just can not figure out wx forecasters. Have they lost their minds like the whole govt. has? Channel 5 WTVF here in Nashville is saying 1-3” & the plateau trace to an 1”. What model shows that for the plateau? We wonder why no one believes them when they say severe wx. Here is why. I would love to “Here’s your sign”.
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I agree. Not sure what they expect. Also when did any snow accumulations over 8” become unbelievable & that stuff on the internet?
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I will take my chances with a panhandle FL low here for all of TN. Most likely more amped it becomes the more NW it trends. Take a blend of gfs & euro & it’s a TN special.
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I take 2” & cash out.
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Is this on a 10:1 ratio?
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Merry Christmas to ALL!
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Really sorry to hear this Jax. I hope you have a full recovery. Never heard of a stroke in eye.
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Spring/Summer 2021 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion.
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Really strange. What a cool to cold spring. -
Warnings are real-time as cells evolve. Meso scale discussions and lead time watches are warranted based on synoptic reasoning and conditions that have been suggested by high res modeling and severe parameters. Two seperate entities. Too early to downplay threats when it's not even 22z yet for central areas. Understand but anything happening in MS is slim. I wonder if our Hi res models need a reset. If this underperforms which would be great. Then something is wrong with our forecasting. Chances of people taking any other threats this spring seriously is greatly diminished.
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To think in high risk outlook in MS nothing again. To me we’ve got a long ways to go to ever understanding weather. I wonder if SPC throws out too many warnings and watches too easily.
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Absolutely agree. That’s not going to happen.
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Oh heck no
