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Everything posted by Matthew70
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There is a lot of drivers of the upcoming pattern. Cannot focus just on the mJo.
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PASTE MY BACKYARD PLEASE!
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Need that clipper to drop south about 3 counties in middle TN.
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Hopefully what is being shown is going to have staying power. This warmup is well needed if the models are right on the pattern that is now underway. I say bring it….winter!!
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The GFS has really become a last place model for many to look at. I read somewhere that the I believe the AI Euro is dead on with its scores at 5 day or less. Correct me if I’m wrong.
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With a -NAO & -AO & a +PNA that can override the MJO especially if it’s in low amp. Along with a -EPO. I’ll take my chances with that. MJO in phase 6-8 would be a cherry on top. If I’m right Jax or GaWx about the MJO?
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Definitely strange weather here. We’re supposed to have again tonight mist and fog developing. We had it last night and it was cloudy till about noon. The fog is already developing.
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Absolutely it’s fun. Too many cancel winter when the majority of snows happen in February. When the deep Arctic air is retreating. Most January’s are very cold & dry. Hopefully it will snow soon but it’s sure nice being in the 60’s.
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I laugh at those thinking winter is over. Did many forget what their average snowfall is for a winter? Also December was cold compared to December’s before. People’s attitudes are definitely happy today with this weather. I know mine is!
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Patience. We’re not even in prime climo & many are living off every single run. Instead of enjoying this beautiful wx. As Carver has said many times before. “Pay me now or pay me later” applies to this warm wx. We will have cold come back. Chances are another cold spring will happen. Which is fine with me keeps the tornadoes away. Love the longer days also.
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Wellllllll seems early next week needs watching now that Goofus is waking up & we are in that window where the Euro sometimes loses a storm. Good trends continues.
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Wrong. Still plenty of time to score. We have not even entered prime climo. Mid January to Mid February. You have all of February. Again as I have said the majority of top 10 snows in Nashville are in FEBRUARY! Look if it does not snow that’s the hand we’re dealt. This cancel winter crap gets old. The world is a mess right now. Let’s try & have some positivity in here to take our minds off of it.
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Glad to see you post. Hopefully your work gets less chaotic this year!
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Rains will be welcomed for many areas of TN. Maybe some lighting & thunder would be nice. Gusty winds with the front which the last 2 fronts have definitely had some strong gusty winds.
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I agree. Thats a great & valid observation & point. More pavement & buildings makes it worse than it probably is.
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The cold is there. Gotta remember that models won’t see clippers till the last min. We’re not even into the coldest time of winter. Long ways to go, have January & all of February. The end of February I’m ready for spring. Guaranteed spring will be cold come March & April. Always is these days. I did see where Nashville had the 6 warmest year ever for 2015. That’s crazy & sucks.
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Lucy’s been kicked off the team.
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As we have heard from some very knowledgeable meteorologist, patience will be needed for this winter. Great example of why not to never cancel winter after one run.
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Hopefully my TIDE are going to make this close. I still feel UGA is going to win it all easily. ROLL TIDE!
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I really feel we have allowed way too much outside noise affect wx forecasting. These models have no clue what to digest anymore. We have made something that was already complicated even more complicated. I believe the models should not be able to go past 240 hours at most.
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Solid he is. I thought it was funny also.
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GaWx thanks for your input & coming into this forum sharing.
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Gawx like so many in here have been all over the data of temps trending colder.
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I feel your frustrations. Being a BAMA fan, the first qtr against OK I was livid. All I hear is Indiana will kill us. I was hoping UT would beat IL. My gosh the banter of people saying the SEC is overrated just got louder. Sadly college football is imploding. I feel for schools like Iowa State & OK state. They literally have 16/17 players left on their teams. The portal & $$$ are killing it quickly. Who would really want to coach college these days. It’s a 365 days job. Pros is much more easier.
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Maybe the cuts at the NWS nationwide is part of the reason the GFS is bipolar. Truly unbelievable how bad it’s gotten. I never thought the GEM would be scoring better than the GFS. Gracious next will be the JMA outperforming the GFS.
