Matthew70

Gawx like so many in here have been all over the data of temps trending colder.

I feel your frustrations. Being a BAMA fan, the first qtr against OK I was livid. All I hear is Indiana will kill us. I was hoping UT would beat IL. My gosh the banter of people saying the SEC is overrated just got louder. Sadly college football is imploding. I feel for schools like Iowa State & OK state. They literally have 16/17 players left on their teams. The portal & $$$ are killing it quickly. Who would really want to coach college these days. It’s a 365 days job. Pros is much more easier.

Maybe the cuts at the NWS nationwide is part of the reason the GFS is bipolar. Truly unbelievable how bad it’s gotten. I never thought the GEM would be scoring better than the GFS. Gracious next will be the JMA outperforming the GFS.

Definitely looks like some model watching is taking shape. GaWx has had some great info. on the other forum. Let’s hope we keep the MJO going.

Definitely could flip on a dime. If we get a -AO & MJO in favorable phase. That would be very impressive.

At this point the Euro suite is the only models to go by. Along with the GEM which is good at picking up on colder air.

THIS IS TRUTH

Nice to see but the American models have been atrocious lately. Still let’s reel it in….

Has American models finally woke up…..

I like it!

Good gracious. The American models are should I say awful lately.

I have enjoyed this warmup. It definitely made taking down the outdoor lights easier. This time tomorrow it will be a 40 degree swing. That’s gonna hurt. Also I’m noticing the temps are trending downward in the forecast. Add to that days of precip. I noticed the CPC has the longer term ABOVE precip chances putting the bullseye on TN.

Great analysis & discussion in here today. Like always really. Thank you to all contributing! Let’s reel in the cold enough air for a statewide snowwwwww!!! I say cold enough because I do not won’t any suppression where the beaches get snow. Lol.

Where we want it is usually what we say.

I just feel like so much has been added/programmed into these models such as all these new teleconnections & polar vortex & who knows what else, that the models are a jumbled mess. I feel forecasts were much more accurate in the 70’s-90’s. Of course adding the amount of hours they go out to does cause verification scores to decrease. Also adding the 10-15 days forecast sure does not help. If I remember correctly, 5 days was the most back in those years. Honestly it would probably be a good thing if the wx offices did not release the 240+ hours to the public. Actually 120 hours is sufficient. I know I’m wrong saying that, I just feel we have made forecasting much harder than we should. Some of these models need to be axed. Like the ole DGEX model. How I wish we could go back to simpler times.

Sunbathing wx. Lol! John always brings the positive lols.

To me it has been a windy 2025. Glad I don’t wear a toupee. Lol

Bipolar weeklies at that.

We did half yesterday & the rest today. Time to enjoy some R&R but also try to kill a mole or moles in my yard. Also do paperwork. Owning my own business means end of year taxes. Which my brother the CPA is asking for lol.

My apologies. I always thought it was a clipper.

I will try & find it. It was early 2000’s because my wife & I had moved into our first house. As matter of fact we bet who could build the best snowman. She was actually pregnant with our son. Of course I won the best snowman contest. Lol. Just don’t ask her for proof. lol. So it was between 2000-2003. My son was born in June of 2003. Found it.

I remember that 1994 ice storm. I remember the green lights all over from the transformers blowing. The trees in my yard were toast. Was hard to watch them breaking into pieces. I love the outdoors & nature. I pray we never see an ice storm in these parts ever again.

Did someone say clipper!!!!! I agree with what Carver said earlier. I also believe this is going to be like some of the older winters used to have. I could be way wrong but heck it sure is fun watching & hoping.

I love it. Crazy right! I am prepared for my son got me one of those ski mask covers that you pull over your mouth. I can’t remember what they are called. It actually goes around the neck. Having my lungs damaged from Covid & asthma. It helps to keep the air I breath in not as cold. Yep I’m jabbering away.

THIS! I agree totally!