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Everything posted by Matthew70
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Is it too soon to say the GFS seems to be the closes to being right?
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Here in Smyrna we are around 2” snow & some sleet. I was able to blow most off but also easily shoveled the sidewalks & driveway. I decided to do because at my house the sun is in the back of the house blocked by trees. Meaning it does not melt. Especially the front sidewalk. With the chance of freezing rain. I wanted to give it a chance to hopefully melt some on sunny days. Sleet has staying power.
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Here in Smyrna it’s sleet & some freezing rain mixed in or it’s just really big snow flakes melting thru the 2M temp.
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The snow is way ahead of schedule. It is now showing on my app the snow will start here at 2.45. It’s also snowing down in Oxford.
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Memphis is reporting light snow.
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It does seem all the models have went south about 2 counties. The front end thump of snow has also increased for Nashville proper. The worse of the ice for TN seems th bullseye is straight into Nashville. The GFS is not going down alone. Will the Euro jump on board with the GFS & other models?
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I’ll say this. The GFS is going down with the ship that the low stays south.
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I’m going to be sick. If that happens it will be a true disaster. With the cold behind this system means it gets really dangerous for many & good grief and the busted pipes. Sigh.
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Would that not be awesome. Even the 18z euro trended south.
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Might be a lot of people don’t like me after this if they don’t have electricity for a while. Lol.
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Oh heck no. Thankfully it’s the GFS
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Ouch
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Thank you!
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Not sure what I’m looking at.
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Less ice is always a good sign. Only issue is it’s the crazy uncle.
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Hopefully the Lucy avatar is paying off!
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Does the GFS finally break up with us all or does it still love us all.
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Boyd 01z H-triple-R at midnight Saturday night as depicted in images. Forecast OHX sounding may have enough depth to the lower cold layer to turn liquid to ice pellets before reaching the surface, but freezing rain is looking likely Saturday night here in Nashville and in general Middle Tennesse. Keep in mind that freezing rain is a 1:1 ratio. 1 inch of liquid rain equals 1 inch of ice (glaze). To have a system of this magnitude to come through Middle Tennessee and not produce 1 to 2 inches of liquid QPF would be unusual. I can see latent heat becoming a big player in this event. When water freezes, it gives up heat energy to the environment. Latent heat. #TNwx #KYwx #ALwx
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It seems this is growing as a long drawn out multi day winter storm. I know it was already going to be but I expected it to be outta here by Sunday afternoon.
