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Everything posted by Matthew70
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
And as I have been saying. Top snows for TN is in February. With the cold air source in Canada. If we were to get one of the ole blue northern clippers. The ratios of that snow with them would be plentiful. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Even with NW flow I’m sure there is clippers that will come down in that flow. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I guess we don’t need the wooly warm connection this winter! Lol. I did hear thunder a few days ago so there is that connection! Yep a bucket list is checked off. I met the GOAT! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Being an Alabama fan. Good gracious. My wife & kids told me not to come home!!! lol. They are kicking me out for not bringing them to meet him. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not weather related but I gotta say. My job had me in the right spot to get to meet the GOAT (Saban) & shake hands with him. Merry Christmas to ME!!!! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I will say you GaWx & Carver have been all over this. Thank you for sharing! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Temperatures for next Monday and Tuesday have definitely went downward the past few days. A high of 29 here next Monday. A few days ago it was upper 40s. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
NWS is sure on the ball issuing dense fog advisories. Already one for Christmas Eve. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good stuff GaWx. Always backing your positivity with facts! Love it! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Congratulations! Enjoy because they grow fast. My two kiddos are now 22 (boy)19 (girl). -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This forum is the best of any of them. Everyone gives sound reasoning & terrific discussion as to why. Everyone is welcoming & helps others learn. There is no negativity & winter cancel thankfully. Yeah the pattern has not been the best for snow in TN but when has there ever been a snowy December in TN? Yet many places have had a lot of snow already. As Carver said it’s been a well below average December. Many days have been like a January day. December has been a win in my book. It’s felt like Christmas! I do hope everyone is having a great Christmas season & wish everyone a Merry Christmas! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I’m just not sure why so many are doom & gloom when it’s only December 21st. Many act like December is supposed to be a snowy month. Webb along with others I believe overthink forecasting. It will be interesting how it changes with AI taking over a lot of the forecasting. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Webb is knowledgeable but changes his mind all the time. He’s more negative than he is positive. Seems many on other forums cancel winter before it’s even begun. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That’s only 3 weeks into winter. Too many people are way to negative & expectations of winter are over the top. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That to me says we are in a sweet spot. Gulf lows come on down! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Uh oh. Gonna upset those winter canceled peeps.lol! -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I will say that storm front yesterday was very impressive with the thunder and the driving rains. That wind was brutal. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
What I’ve always seen is a -AO & -NAO always trump a -PNA. EPO is not as big of player when the other two are -. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well gotta say. This line of rain & storms is slow moving & dumping. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
You & I are close in age. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There is winners & losers in any pattern as we all know. Even with the Chinook here in TN it’s been a cold December so far. At least it’s felt & looked on some days like a wintry Christmas. I think I saw where Chicago was off to a great start for snow? Maybe it was the snowiest in some time? Even ND has had a lot of snow. The pattern will change, and there will be winners & losers again with the reshuffle. I just think many have forgotten winter has officially not even started for most. We’ve been cold enough so far in December to actually have snow showers & dustings for many. Anytime you get snow in December is a huge bonus. January is usually dry & cold. February is the usual timeframe for Middle & West TN to receive snow. Anything in January is a 50/50 shot. Crazy to think higher odds for here are in February. So it’s warming up some, which I for one hope it hangs around till day after Christmas. That way I don’t freeze taking down the outside decorations. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
There is going to be a pattern reshuffle eventually. As far as part of January being warm. We always have at least one week of warm weather in January. Also known as the January thaw. Maybe we’re having it in December instead. People need to remind themselves that the biggest snows for Tennessee usually occur in February. Especially for West and Middle Tennessee. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It’s truly unbelievable that people say they want snow, but they seem to be more happier with the warmer temps. I call them trolls. If winter is really over like they say, why are they even chatting in a winter forum? -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thank you! Yes hopefully the flu shot will help me some if I get it. Having the damaged lungs from Covid. I need to avoid any flu. I know vaccines can be a dirty word for many but I have to take any precautions I can. -
December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Matthew70 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Get better soon. My wife has been battling a cough congestion over a month now. She never gets sick. The flu from all accounts is brutal this year.
