Matthew70

From Spann: SSW/POLAR VORTEX: I have been getting many questions about last night's post here about the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event in progress. Let's clarify in plain English... Twenty miles above the North Pole, a river of wind circles the Arctic — a fence keeping the coldest air on Earth bottled up over the pole. Next week, that fence collapses — earlier than ever recorded. The air high above the pole warms sharply in days (that's the "sudden stratospheric warming"), the circling winds reverse, and down comes the fence. All 50 European forecast scenarios show it by November 12; the record is November 28. What it means for Alabama — and what it doesn't: *It does NOT mean cold arrives next week. The next two weeks stay mild. *It DOES raise the odds of real cold later. With the fence down, Arctic air can spill south in the weeks that follow — for us, the window is Thanksgiving into December. *The wildcard: a super El Niño brings a wet, busy storm track here. Cold air meeting that moisture is the December combination to watch. Bottom line: no hype, no snow forecast — just better-than-normal odds that December brings cold. I get the idea our weather will be pretty interesting over the next 4-6 months. Stay tuned.

Carver. Very sorry for your loss.

We have had 1.25”. That will be gone by mid week with the heat back on. Drought brings forth more drought. Not liking the trends with the leaves starting to fall then add in lower humidity.

The rapid onset of drought here in middle is concerning. Especially going into October. Drought with the leaves falling is a bad recipe. This year has been the year of extremes so far. Good grief. The climate is sure changing or Mother Nature is just po’d at humanity. I am over this endless summer. Give me long sleeves & sweatshirts! PLEASE!

I hope all you east TN folks are safe. Here in the Boro I am seeing a lightning storm I have not seen in a very long time. Beautiful but also very scary. It’s constant streaks.

Actually looks & feels like fall ish outside.

Come on wooly worms! Lol!

Wow. It feels incredible outside. Early taste of fall! I’m ready!!

Hope everyone is staying safe up in the tri area.

Pretty amazing to have DP so high & still hit a 100. Truly frying pan weather! Someone take the frying pan away from Mother Nature!!!

Incredible heat is leading to the last 2 days of intense storms & lots of flooding & wind damage throughout the area.

From my sister in Cookeville District: The Cookeville District remains the hardest hit and continues to have the largest number of outages. Crews are working through widespread storm damage, including downed power lines, trees on power lines, and broken poles. This is a significant restoration effort and will not be completed tonight. If you are still without power in the Cookeville area, please make preparations in case your power is out overnight. Based on current damage assessment, some members in the Cookeville district will remain without power tonight. While we are working as quickly as possible, some outages may take two days to restore due to the extent of the damage. At this time, we have

Models have been really bad lately it seems.

Hopefully everyone is safe where it’s flooding. It was a total bust here in middle but looking at KY and other areas, I am glad it did bust here.

We got 1/2” last night. That’s better than nothing. Just enough to keep everything slightly green & surviving.

Drought brings forth more drought. Rain chances are diminishing for Sunday. Then looks like an extended dry period. With summer on the doorstep. There is going to be a lot of burn bans. I would not be surprised if this drought continues to worsen that the 4th fireworks will be cancelled. We won't be mowing yards much longer. I hate brown summers & go right into more brown during fall & winter. Hopefully what looks to be dry turns into wet.

Thankful for the rains we received. I’d say a solid 3-4” through out the midstate. Love seeing the cooler temps. I will gladly take a cool May. The longer the heat is delayed the shorter the summer in my opinion.

I dread thinking what this summer will be if we don’t start getting rains soon.

Just give us some darn rain!!!!!

Definitely some interesting days ahead. NAM yes the egg nog drunk NAM at its end which is poor resolution paints conditions into the area west/middle TN. Conditions that anything that can take advantage of that environment could be quite rambunctious.

Definitely something to watch. That hint of a possible secondary low on the GFS is something I never like to see. That backs the winds. Then we might have the leftover boundaries from storms, which is a bad thing by adding fuel to the fire. If anything, I see some strong winds and hail.

At this point I just want some rains. The drought here in middle is taking hold unfortunately. I definitely will not have a yard by June at this point. My yard is already showing dryness that usually does not show until July.

My wife & I were driving back from seeing our daughter at college. We were between McMinnville & Woodbury. I have never seen or driven through winds like that. The debris hitting my truck was crazy. It would lighting & the whole sky would light up. When I say it looked apocalyptic I mean it. It was as black & RED as I have ever seen a sky. I believe the red was from all the dust it was picking up from all the dry fields. Definitely one of the most intense times I have ever experienced with winds. Thing is these winds did not just last a minute or two. They last easily 5 minutes. I figured easily a 5 mile wide gust front of winds.

Well pretty much all the rain what little there is went south of middle TN. Ugh.

Sadly the rains were meager if even that for the midstate. The winds were some of the most intense I’ve experienced. I was driving home from seeing my daughter at college. My wife was scared at how bad it got. It does appear the drought is taking hold & usually dominates the wx when they do take hold.