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the_other_guy

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Everything posted by the_other_guy

  1. It was never going to be cold this week. lots of people talking themselves into a pattern change 2 weeks out that is why the January thread is already 5, YES 5, pages long on Dec 28 They will be disappointed next week again…just like they were last week. Looks like some intermittent seasonal temps between spikes of 50s. It is a west year. They need it. And frankly, we need some dry months
  2. Quickly becoming the symbol of this winter 45F, shorts. Another week of 50F inbound!
  3. too warm. You need to start with some cold air to make these thread the needle threats work. There’s a good chance I won’t even go below freezing until the 30th… i’m 15 miles north of the city.
  4. I think it was an echo chamber of wish-casting…but Im not the prediction expert others are. Very early on seemed like a tail chasing the dog
  5. what happened to the pattern change y’all discussed for the last few weeks?
  6. Yes they need such an extreme pattern to get accumulating snow… If you get your jollies off other peoples driving misery… YouTube Seattle snow icy roads. Hours of entertainment
  7. Very rare and Almost always a bad sign for our snow chances
  8. Which, given the endless warmth this December seems likely. You have your mid January saying…I have mine: Good winters don’t start with Decembers like this. Now you hope for a couple of large storms that save seasonal snowfall…but prolonged cold or “normal” winter conditions. Nah. And the dryness is also a concern
  9. Ski season has been a disaster thus far. We are just getting going now…as you said 3 weeks late
  10. Scary that there were 3 others warmer
  11. Well AN air for the foreseeable future. Goose egg for December seems likely. 28F this morning…even that is AN for my location
  12. 21F. 24 hours of winter for the solstice haha
  13. What does “changing course” entail?
  14. cutter on xmas? Cant even make this up…
  15. Running +5. Quite warm pattern. barring one off stuff, NYC doesnt get snow with +5 Edit: And correcting warmer we get closer. Nyc now closing in on 50 for xmas. A few days ago, it was near freezing
  16. Depends what you are looking for to save winter. Goose egg for Dec plus Sept thru Dec warmth doesnt lead to a good winter especially a Nina setup. Does one 30 inch historic storm save winter? Like 2015 Or was 2015 a scary island of warmth, with almost no snow outside that storm? That 30 inches melted in one week…which was crazy.
  17. Only in a bad pattern when you are desperately looking for a new pattern. We had a very warm fall. Nov eeked out a negative. That was with the new baseline and it was barely negative. The latest guidance for the rest of December doesn’t look great. The fat lady hasn’t started singing yet but she’s warming up for December. We have also gone into a very dry pattern…Which we haven’t had much of lately. This isn’t how good winters start.
  18. Looks like another AN week ahead. Some days very much so. Just a brutal month.
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