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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Previous hour... METAR KORD 292051Z 13013G21KT 1/4SM R10L/2200V2600FT +SN FZFG VV006 M02/M03 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP190 SNINCR 1/6 P0008 60020 T10221033 56049 $
  2. A ton of convection across Central Illinois the past couple of hours, with a lot of lightning and TSSN. There have been several associated pockets of subsidence out and about across the area, one of which has been hanging on around here for a while now. Sitting 5.6" here at home thus far, and sniffing an under-performer.
  3. METAR KORD 291951Z 13011KT 1/4SM R10L/2600V3000FT +SN FZFG VV007 M02/M03 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP205 SNINCR 1/5 P0005 T10221033 $
  4. Lake enhancement showing up all along the WI shoreline. It might work in a negative way though, with surface temps running a bit higher and snowfall ratios likely a bit lower as well.
  5. If things continue to pan out as they have thus far, ORD is on track to have a top 5 November snowstorm on record.
  6. METAR KORD 291851Z 13008KT 1/2SM R10L/2600V3000FT SN FZFG VV008 M03/M04 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP225 SNINCR 1/4 P0007 T10281039 $
  7. Last hour at ORD... METAR KORD 291751Z 13007KT 1/4SM R10L/2000V3000FT +SN FZFG VV007 M03/M04 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP241 SNINCR 1/3 4/003 933022 P0006 60021 T10281039 11028 21039 58029 $
  8. Already snowing here at home, with the ground dusted.
  9. Has to do with placement/handling of heavier and more convective precip, not actual drying per-se.
  10. I don't think it will be high end around our area (probably no widespread 12"+ totals that is, unless ratios surprise, which seems doubtful at this time). The metro region as a whole will likely see a general 6-10" overall (locally higher), though. Highest totals will likely be western areas, with the overall setup peaking west and slowly dampening out as it heads east.
  11. bah, let them play. snow football is the best football, and it definitely was as a kid.
  12. Today’s trend has been to reverse yesterday’s trend. Yesterday’s we saw guidance come in less phased, less amped and flatter with the main wave…thus, weaker, south and drier. Today’s trend reversed all of that.
  13. Overnight will be 48 hours out from the start in the CWA, so they're going to have to go with a watch with the evening or early morning package.
  14. Looking over guidance from today, the big thing that sticks out is how much wetter the Euro/EPS are compared to almost all other guidance. We have seen through the years that the Euro tends to be on the drier side more often than not, and when it is, it is usually close to reality. So, it'll be interesting to see how it does with being on the wetter side this go-around.
  15. LOT is 100% going to play it safe this go-around, after the single person blunder with the LES event.
  16. The NAM is tentatively scheduled to be retired in March 2026. After a ton of delays through the years for various reasons, we finally have a time. I'd expect it may shift a bit, but the point is, the end is finally near.
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