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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. well only one of them was snow lol. Some of my friends are already sick and tired of winter and want spring to come already....I was told dont tell me what the weather is going to be unless it's going to be above 50 degrees and sunny every day!
  2. this is awesome and has been going on for over a year now, warmth to the north and cold to the south (compare Maine temps vs Florida)
  3. no, as Don said, it's the blocking that will decide what will happen.....thats why the first half of January is being targeted.
  4. right that is the period I'm looking at also. Anyone who thought we would have another snowstorm in December was foolish. That's not how our climatology works. The period I've been looking at is a little later than yours though, between the 5th and the 10th. Panic is for the weak-minded.
  5. Yeah this is normal now lol. The warmth more than the 10" pre solstice snowfall....
  6. SSW is the biggest single event that can change a pattern, there's usually a 2-4 week delay between the event and the change, right Chris?
  7. Yeah but wasn't that all from one storm? We had the same thing in Jan 2011 but I believe both Dec 2003 and Jan 2011 were from one storm with a lull in between A 12 or 24 hr gap sounds like two different storms. That's why I brought up Feb 1994 that was two different storms.
  8. sounds like we had some pretty interesting storms back then, two significant storms 12 hours apart aren't something I've experienced before (the closest was in Feb 1994 when they were about a day apart.)
  9. damn the night before Christmas? I bet that was our one and only 10"+ Xmas eve into Xmas day snowfall!
  10. wild that we matched Dec 1912....when did that month have its 10" snowfall?
  11. I dont think many are complaining it's the best of both worlds. The worst of both worlds? Cold and dry like December 1989 was (and most of the Januarys in the 1980s)
  12. new years event looks like heavy rain minus the extreme winds of this event (since it cuts further to the west), that might be the one to realign the pattern
  13. I want to see if any of our major stations will verify with hurricane force gusts....do you think that's likely, Don?
  14. yeah neg nao in January is a misleading stat to use because it could be too strong and cause storms to be suppressed.
  15. and that's how our winters go (outside of the extreme outliers on either end), you typically get brief spikes and that's where the vast majority of our wintry weather comes from.
  16. Correct, that is the climatology for this region, you only need the pattern to be good for a couple of days each month, irrespective of what the overall "pattern" might be.
  17. yeah what more do you want in December, we already had a double digit snowfall event, now it's January's turn.
  18. thats right, snow only exists in places that dont get full sun
  19. isnt this a precursor to some of our best KU events....firehouse pac jet into a big NAO block.....pacific supplies the moisture the block supplies the cold air
  20. well the weekend should be a slam dunk lol thats the good thing about arctic air masses....no clouds!
  21. Orlando could hit 32! Florida records from 1995, would be a nice analog
  22. looks like the coldest xmas for florida since 1995? Dec 1995 would be a nice analog Orlando chances of hitting 32 ?
  23. also big snows in December have staying power because of low sun angle and short days. as long as it doesn't rain lol
  24. thats why many are gungho on the first third of January, there are plenty of historic examples to choose from
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