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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    yup sw long island too, we changed back to snow a lot sooner than the north shore of suffolk county did, I thoroughly enjoyed the three hours of white out conditions I had beginning at 3:30 am with heavy snow and high winds.
  2. LibertyBell
    You were off on JFK..... I'm 4 miles east of there and I got 4 inches in the first part of the storm and about 3 in the second half (which I found more exciting because of the high winds and whiteout conditions).
  3. LibertyBell
    why is the NAM being replaced when it's been doing so well?
  4. LibertyBell
    In western LI the best part of the storm was actually late last night and early this morning with the heavy snow and high winds. I didn't think that much about the first part of the storm.
  5. LibertyBell
    Outside of people in the mountains and in Binghamton it looks like I was the only one who enjoyed this storm. I didn't expect a lot but what happened before daybreak with the heavy snow and high winds for a few hours, I thoroughly enjoyed. I wasn't expecting this to be historic and it wasn't.
  6. LibertyBell
    I was surprised at 4 am to see that the temps had crashed into the 20s and we had blizzardlike conditions here and you were still raining, JM.
  7. LibertyBell
    you were wrong....3:30 AM to 7 AM was amazing here with temps crashing into the mid 20s and heavy snow and high winds, transformers bursting looking like lightning and zero visibility here. Didnt expect it but thoroughly enjoyed it
  8. LibertyBell
    do you have snowfall totals for our official reporting stations? My favorite part of this event was between 3:30 am and 7 am when the temps plummeted and we had near white out conditions with heavy snow and high winds here....didn't expect that at all.
  9. LibertyBell
    10" is the break even point as far as predicting a better than average snowfall winter.
  10. LibertyBell
    Binghamton would have been closer to him and had the historic snowfall. How many 40"+ synoptic snowstorms have occurred in the northeast?
  11. LibertyBell
    yes see this proves my point that ENSO is not as useful of a predictor as AO/NAO are. The La Nina is still there of course, but it is not influencing our weather as much as AO/NAO are.
  12. LibertyBell
    that still rounds to 30, I find it acceptable at this point, especially with how horrible last season was.
  13. LibertyBell
    but we've also had extremely backloaded la nina winters like we had in 55-56 and a few years ago. I just think we shouldn't depend too much on ENSO. AO and NAO are far better predictors for us.
  14. LibertyBell
    Count me in as an ENSO skeptic, I've lived long enough to have experienced great la ninas and horrible el ninos.....I just dont think the science is there to use ENSO alone as an indicator.....other factors are more important like the NAO and AO. But we use ENSO out of sheer laziness, because it is the easiest to predict.
  15. LibertyBell
    The end of the storm was more exciting than the beginning....it changed back to all snow here at 3:30 AM (even while the north shore of Suffolk County was still raining I might add), and it snowed hard here for 3 hours with high winds and almost white out conditions as the temperatures crashed into the upper 20s by 4 AM. The wind blew so hard that I saw transformers popping like lightning and my power flickered! I heard the airports all had snowfall records for the date (I assume that was for yesterday). What were the totals as of now, Don?
  16. LibertyBell
    New Euro looks amazing has 12 inches for extreme eastern LI
  17. LibertyBell
    it would be nice if he did a personalized snow report for my "other home" which is just north of Tatamy and at 2000 ft
  18. LibertyBell
    new EURO has 12 inches for extreme eastern LI? wow 15 for the city
  19. LibertyBell
    The Miller Cs which are supposed to be the most rare. I think PD2 was that
  20. LibertyBell
    You know what this kind of reminds me of? Two storms....we had a storm in Dec 1995 at the start of the cold pattern that had 7" at JFK 8" at NYC and 14" at LGA....lingering backend snows after it changed back over from rain to snow and that caused a plain to slide off the runway. The other one was Jan 26 2011 without the amazing back end that storm had, but also had a dry slot and then a changeover from sleet to snow.
  21. LibertyBell
    Don, would JFK be in the same 5-10 range?
  22. LibertyBell
    wait so is this a Miller B then?
  23. LibertyBell
    how much snow coming on the back end?
  24. LibertyBell
    Think the western part of the south shore is a better place to be than the eastern part? Remember in March 1993 on a more westward track, JFK and Oceanside still got double digit snowfall while eastern parts of the south shore did much worse. Also how much snow on the backside tomorrow?
  25. LibertyBell
    thats not a classic noreaster lol- in the weather textbook I read Feb 1983 was mentioned as a classic noreaster, look that one up.
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