LibertyBell

Latitude doesn't matter as much as elevation here I guess.....I'm pretty much snowed in. We had 3 inches last night, and I measured snow depth in various places, it's over 20 inches everywhere it seems, I'd say an average of about 25" and 4 feet drifts up against my deck. This is going to take a long time to melt. It's hard as a MF cant see any animal tracks anywhere and that's unusual because I have squirrels, rabbits, foxes, etc. here.

Couldnt get into my house in NE PA because there's about 20 inches of snow everywhere (no drifts). Had to shovel for over 2 hours just so I could open the blocked gate. I thought the sun of the last 3 days would have melted most of this =\

Chris this correlation doesn't account for February, it must be even lower now.

thats why I'm strongly against enso based forecasting

Do you have any ideas how this summer and next winter might go? I saw SnowGoose's thinking that next winter may start out with good blocking but it would probably go away as the winter went on. Which got me thinking about 2009-10, the Summer of 2010, and 2010-11. We're in the 11 year peak summer cycle, so could this be another 2010 like historic heat summer? And the early blocking pattern would fit 2010-11 to a tee. I realize that the enso progression doesn't fit, but what about the possible blocking pattern? You did say that blocking winters usually go in pairs or trios.

so it sounds like a dual enhancement effect where the two (warmer SST and more stalling of the MJO) fed off each other which has resulted in less Phase 8s and more extremes. Fits right in with climate modeling.

was this all because of the MJO or did we have some sort of black swan event no one could have predicted?

it's weird this winter has been very good but not grade. what happened (or didn't happen as the case may be) in January really messed us up too

I dont know how they could forget 2010-11. Maybe we have some 5 yr old posters? And another really good one that was fairly recent was 2014-15

you can still have double digit totals but I think thats done for the highly urbanized corridor

lol little snowhitler is back! welcome back! you were missed! (I was saying that to him when I saw his weenies lol not to you)

wow thats crazy, we didnt even have that much snow back then, it was above average but not by much

Okay so Sunday morning. Thanks Walt I shall adjust my schedule accordingly and leave in the afternoon instead. For reference this is the southern Poconos south of I-80 but I have to drive on I-80 near Mt Pocono.

Looks like we can set a record for the under 40 low streak

Chris when was the last time JFK didn't have a Jan/Feb that hit 50 for a high or 40 for a low?

where did this damn wind come from? it feels like the middle of winter right now. I heard a tv met say "it isn't the temperature that matters, it's what it feels like which matters, so dont even look at the temperature" lol

and JFK still hasn't hit 50 this year. Both streaks survived. JFK also has a below 40 streak going doesn't it?

looks like the projected mean temp for February keeps increasing...and JFK still hasn't hit 50 lol

if we tried to build a wind proof structure to keep it out, how high would the wind barrier have to be? at some point, there'd be downsloping at the other end of the barrier and the wind would heat up so thats a plus/plus

here it's on a W or NW wind in the summer

so a good chance we reach number 1 on this streak?

great, the cat hates you now. Didn't someone tell you to go outside for awhile lol?

ugh what time in the Poconos will this event on Sunday start? I guess I will have to get an early start- no chance it'll happen during daylight hours?

some of us dont believe in borders

JFK has yet to reach 50 correct? And they may not reach it even with this warm up.