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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    The Euro for next February has consistently looked amazing....let's hope it doesn't end up like 2006-07 and we get a bunch of ice/sleet events!
  2. LibertyBell
    Woah -4 on Long Island? Not on this part of Long Island, we haven't been to zero or below since 1994 lol.
  3. LibertyBell
    This will be upgraded to Cat 5 post analysis just like Andrew was, everything was leveled down there.
  4. LibertyBell
    We also had a big snow the next year in the first week of November on Long Island, 8" and it was Sandy related.
  5. LibertyBell
    We already had one bout of very heavy rain here with very high winds after it was sunny earlier. Expecting around 3" of rain here with around 5" on the east end.
  6. LibertyBell
    The latest RPM is predicting near 5" of rain for the east end of Long Island between now and 11 AM tomorrow.
  7. LibertyBell
    The amazing October 2011 storm will probably always hold the record for October snowstorms. For us down here, the one the next year in the first week of November, that delivered 8", was our earliest big snow event. It was Sandy related.
  8. LibertyBell
    Four of those winters were great- neg NAO or not- and two were historic! The winters lately have been EPO driven anyway.
  9. LibertyBell
    What about 2015-16, a weaker el nino version would be colder.
  10. LibertyBell
    I think warmer than normal SST are actually good along the coastal plain as they create bombogenesis and attract colder air from the continent down to the coast.
  11. LibertyBell
    He always does lol
  12. LibertyBell
    One storm can destroy a snowfall forecast we had well above snowfall in 2015-16 here but 75% of it was from one storm lol.
  13. LibertyBell
    It depends on where you were, loved it here, got a historic 30"+ snowstorm in less than 24 hours in January after a historically warm December and February had some snow events also right around the super bowl and a week after- ended up with over 40" of seasonal snowfall with average winter temp around 40 degrees.
  14. LibertyBell
    Jan 1994 had my favorite ice storm- if there can ever be such a thing- only because it was so historic to have over 2 inches of pure ice on top of a layer of 1-2 inches of sleet which was on top of 2-3 inches of snow from previous storms. In some places it was heavy freezing rain all night with temps in the single digits! The trees looked like they were made of crystal the next morning- luckily it was a Saturday morning!
  15. LibertyBell
    and that winter is being used as an analog We had another bad one the same winter, near St Paddy's Day 2007, 5 inches of pure sleet lol
  16. LibertyBell
    You dont want to know how bad it was here lol..... our latest 70 degree min Oct 10, beat 2015's record by a day. But the most ridiculous one was 42 days with a dew point of 75+ beating the previous record by double!
  17. LibertyBell
    We broke our record from 2015 with our latest 70 min on Oct 10 this year. Also had 42 days with a dew point of 75+ which is twice our previous record- ridiculous!
  18. LibertyBell
    When are we going to have anenometers built to withstand up to 200mph winds? It's frustrating having instruments fail during our most extreme events, the ones that need to be recorded the most! It was sunny here this morning and then it got really windy and overcast and now we're having hard tropical downpours! Can't see a thing outside.
  19. LibertyBell
    This will probably/hopefully be upgraded to Cat 5 like Andrew was.....this is like a snowstorm being predicted to drop a foot of snow, dropping 3 feet of snow.
  20. LibertyBell
    It also looked like the eye was contracting at landfall, though that could also be friction with land.
  21. LibertyBell
    I remember that was written about Andrew in its post analysis too and upgrade to Cat 5
  22. LibertyBell
    It almost looks like a reverse stadium effect because we are looking at it from the opposite perspective (top down instead of bottom up).
  23. LibertyBell
    In your opinion how long would it have kept strengthening had it been over water, before an ERC occurred? 6 hours? 12 hours? It still strengthened over the marshy land at the water's edge but if it had still been over water it might have strengthened significantly more before the next ERC.
  24. LibertyBell
    Knabb said there is a 50/50 chance it will be upgraded to Cat 5 post analysis just like Andrew was.
  25. LibertyBell
    It strengthened some more on the new update- 155 mph and 5 miles NW of Mexico Beach!
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