LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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if we dont get a double digit snowstorm in this pattern it will be a huge failure
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Well that doesn't sound too good for a supposedly excellent pattern for the rest of the month..... we have 6" already so that would mean less than 9" for the rest of the month.
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I have a feeling many are already going to move onto the 1/21 "threat" if this keeps up for a few more runs. That "threat" could use a NW push. -
GIGO basically applies to anything data related lol
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Just an academic question, how high would a sea wall have to be to block this kind of wind and conversely, a sea breeze in the summer? If we had a hypothetical 50 foot tall sea wall all around the south shore and east end would that be enough to ,reduce the influence of the ocean with sea breezes and southerly flow? If not how tall would it have to be?
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I remember the 2 in 1994.....that was the second arctic outbreak that month that got Central Park to 0 or below.
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Wait are you saying JFK could go below zero? That did not happen on V Day 2016....let's see if we can beat that temperature.
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Don any predictions for January monthly snowfall totals? Over/under 15"?
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Are ya familiar with the old buffer overflow error?
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I see you have competition for WOTY Better start posting some 384 hr GFS snow totals lol ASAP
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we wont know the track of this thing before Saturday
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If it keeps people from making predictions 5 days out then it's a good thing. Forecasting should only be done 2-3 days out, anything beyond that is random noise.
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See this is what happens when people make rash storm decisions on a storm STILL OVER THE OCEAN lol. No one should ever talk about long range forecasting when we cant even get 5 day forecasts right.
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50 pct inland runner 10 pct ots 20 pct coastal hugger 20 pct classic blizzard
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fwiw if this is what happens then there should be much less optimism for a big storm at the end of the pattern. So much energy will be expended on this storm that I strongly believe we'll have a few days of cold after this and then the cold will end with a whimper rather than a bang and we'll just go into a sustained warm pattern for late Jan and Feb and this storm we just had may well be the only significant storm we see during the winter (not saying we wont get one in March).
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this is exactly what we had in the 80s. Case in point Jan 85 and Dec 89
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it's the GFS anyway let's see what the Euro does
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Euro is better at sampling this stuff than the GFS?
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yeah and the LR forecasts had an arctic airmass in place through the 25th lol
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I thought we were supposed to have an arctic airmass in place until at least the 25th..... what changed?
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It's compared to how cold the rest of winter has been-- I'm sure a lot of people are shocked it can still get this cold. I just hope we don't have more of these fires.
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I read that they aren't even going to Mexico anymore, they go to the southeast now instead.
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it happened in 2015-16, 1993-94 and 1984-85 with positive NAO too.
