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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. Holy ***** 20" in the Poconos from this far out on top of the 12"+ expected from the current storm is going to require a team to plow.
  2. If it's another coastal hugger it proves something I've seen.... once you get a coastal hugger early in the season you usually see a lot of coastal huggers that season. If you wanted a true change to a BM stormtrack, you need an extreme cutter first-- something like Jan 1978 OV bomb variety.
  3. It's going to be awesome for the Poconos I always spend the week before Christmas to the week after New Years there. New York is absolutely THE WORST place to be for Christmas and New Years. Too crowded and the traffic is horrendous.
  4. This is probably more elevation dependent than latitude dependent. I just got told to expect over a foot in Penn Forest township area too.
  5. Cant underestimate the impact of heavy flooding rains and strong gusty winds though, I expect some basements to be flooded and coastal flooding and some roads to be flooded out. That has more of an impact than snow does around here (Dec 1992 being a case in point.)
  6. pions are subatomic particles you probably meant peons lol
  7. The moon was bad for the Perseids too. Maybe with missions finally returning to the moon they can put some sort of dark covering on it to make it not so bright? Reducing its albedo would be a boon to star gazers.
  8. I would complain to the authorities if I were you. Maybe they can do something to him and fine him or something. I've had an urge to get rid of light pollution too, it has bad health effects and the ignorant think that these wasteful lights actually lower crime when they do not.
  9. My house in the mountains south of Scranton will see a lot more snow than Scranton will, Scranton is a snowhole.
  10. We're actually in the middle of the cold state of the PDO so a -PNA is expected. Just don't expect much snow in December and look forward to January when the Pacific doesn't really matter as much.
  11. It's actually better to see a cutter and the region flooded with warmth. Why? Because this kind of track doesn't reset the pattern, you'll see coastal hugger after coastal hugger. An actual cutter with no secondary would reset the pattern entirely-- we've seen this multiple times in other backloaded winters.
  12. The holidays need to be moved to late January.....
  13. then it would be another 80s winter. Northern suburbs always do well, near the coast it's much more of a crapshoot
  14. That was because it came right after an el nino
  15. 93-94 and 95-96 more than made up for the late 90s.....I wasn't even interested in winter anymore after 95-96 I figured it was the best that could ever happen and no reason to care about winter anymore because it could never get better than that lol I don't even remember anything after 95-96 until the historic warmth of 01-02 and then 02-03 came lol.
  16. the STJ from a previous el nino can remain juiced for the la nina the following season.....la ninas after el ninos are the closest we will ever get to a slam dunk winter
  17. Why is this happening this December? I don't remember anything like this happening in December 2010.
  18. weak la ninas are our second snowiest state, and la ninas that come after el ninos are actually the best
  19. Yeah it was funny to see LGA mixing while JFK was all snow and a very heavy wet snow at that.
  20. Yes that's true. And the best way to find out what the turning point might be is to see how far down the coast we see regular coastal snowstorms. I think Norfolk is the turning point. When our SST get warmer than what they usually are around Norfolk then we're in trouble (we're talking about the most recent 30 year climo period baseline, obviously Norfolk area SST will warm too.)
  21. 72-73, 97-98, 01-02, 11-12 though I actually rank 01-02 as the worst because it was also much warmer than the others and predicted to be very cold and snowy lol. 01-02 to 02-03 has to be one of the greatest improvements of all time though and the whole era from 96-97 to 01-02 was horrible outside of 00-01 which also ended on a sour note because of March 2001. But 02-03 through 05-06 (really through 04-05) made it all worth it.
  22. Water temps dont actually matter as much as storm track does. We've seen SECS in November with warmer temps than this.
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