LibertyBell

More likely Tuesday than Monday? Since this seems to be a rain to snow scenario.

I'm mostly referring to ones like March 1956 and March 2018 and April of both years though. It is much more about that persistent and extreme west coast trough. This la nina would have had a March 2018 result if it weren't for that trough being so extreme. That extreme west coast trough wasn't caused by the la nina either, because la ninas don't produce all that rain and snow in California.

I guess that's why el ninos or la ninas that happen after el ninos are better for that sort of thing. If I remember correctly, we had the same thing on February 2, 2021, but the storm was a hugger so the highest snowfall amounts were near Binghamton. Still getting a foot or more even down here was pretty amazing.

ugh not this again lol, la ninas are actually much more likely to have March snowstorms here. It's just that there isn't much cold air around. We need an airmass with temps in the upper 20s and lower 30s. also people realize that it just doesn't snow a lot after the first week of March, that's our climate.

Looks like 1" is a good possibility....is it about the same for JFK Don?

Yes, another reason why I don't like Miller B's lol. Miller A's are a snow purist's favorite snowstorm and a lot more fun to track. Add to that the fact that I dislike the term "winter storm"-- a storm is either a snow storm or it isn't. I hate the term "winter storm." I see the media latching on to this term and using it more and more-- which makes me dislike it even more! We should use one of three terms-- snow storm, ice storm, or rain storm. For mixed events, just call them a junk storm. I've also read a reference to Miller C, is that a Miller A/B hybrid of some sort?

Why is this storm SO small and why have storms recently been small like this? January 1996 in this position would have heavy snow all the way back to the midwest. January 2016 too.

I thought we were worried about this storm being a hugger? More west and it would be.

3-6...it's more like 1-3

yes elevation and latitude plays best this time of year.

Yes, these totals need to be halved

March 1998 roasted after that with temps in the mid to upper 80s, actually topped March 1990 in heat but I rank March 1990 higher because the heat that March occurred much earlier in the month. And then 1990 flipped and we had an early April snow event with 1-2 inches of snow lol.

That map looks like less than the first map, 2-3 inches and that's on 10:1 so half of that is more likely.

Unfortunately, this la nina was like a strong el nino for the first half of the season, which is why we got the worst possible combo.

That 8-10 inches is enough for me, don't need any more than that. Beggars can't be choosers and especially when it's back end snow it's a lot better than front end snows that get washed away. It would qualify right up there with the best March snows of the last 3 decades here.

on the dotted line buried in the snow lol

Be careful with that, 11 bodies found already, massive power outages and those people were trapped in their homes under all that snow.

Probably 8....10 inches was in parts of the city and 13 inches at Newark

1912 - The barometric pressure reached 29.26 inches at Los Angeles, CA, and 29.46 inches at San Diego CA, setting all-time records for those two locations. (David Ludlum) I wonder if this was accompanied by an intense cyclone? I mean it would have to be, but how high were the winds and waves?

Thats not how it works though, climate change means more extremes so more of these atmospheric river events. One thing is clear though, for us specifically it means a smaller more concentrated JF snowfall season, so I never bite into very late or very early season events anymore. One rule I steadfastly follow, if JF are bad then our snowfall season is screwed.

It was being advertized on national media for a week in advance, I remember seeing forecasts for 2-3 feet of snow for the entire east coast megalopolis region on The Today Show lol

Maybe not, climate change has been decreasing snowfall in many parts of the world (like the Alps), so it was bound to happen here sooner or later. Look, if you really love snow that much, you should live in the mountains. In the Poconos we had 6 inches of snow from the last storm.

In March you really want to be in the mountains. My house in the Poconos has 6 inches of snow from the last storm lol. Anyone who really loves snow that much should live in the mountains.

whatever the enso was this year would have been horrible for us. also enso is only 20% of a factor in our weather

There's a 14z run lol?