LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Very similar to 2018 actually, that also had 4 storms in March and 1 in April I think? 1996 was similar, 3 4"+ snowstorms in March and 1 in April (for JFK)?
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the northeast is morphing into the west coast lol. We're going to evolve into a similar climate where snow is common in the mountains but very rare at the coast.
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This looks more reasonable. I'd argue that the 8-12 for MPO should be further cut down to 6-8
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Chris I am so sorry and this hits close to home with me because of what my sister and I had to do with my Dad's estate when he passed away in May 2014. I think I may be able to help because where I live a few people rent out their homes (or parts of their homes as apartments, like the second floor). I'm not sure about availability at the moment but I'll ask around for you.
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for some reason this reminded me of Bohemian Rhapsody (the song)
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1956 was amazing to get that much snow, they even beat out 1967 (which was colder). Didn't 1956 have a big snowstorm in April, Don?
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I have fond memories of 1993-94 though even on the south shore. That was one case where the mets were usually underdone on snowfall amounts. I remember Mr G did amazingly well with his 10 PM updates on PIX11 because he always said it looked like we were going to get more snow than originally forecast-- AND WE DID!
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do what again?
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March heat in 1990, spring break was awesome right here at home
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that's not that different from what I have for Long Island, I think they're a little excessive on NYC though, if Central Park gets half an inch consider that lucky.
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uhm wow, there is no way my area in the Poconos is going to get 12-18 or even 8-12...... 6 inches would be good.
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yeah a 5 degree difference represents a whole lot of heat content differential.
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I'm thinking maybe 2 inches on the north shore, 1 inch middle island, and less than an inch down here (and similar in the city), hoping for under 0.5 inch to preserve that record.
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it's important to remember that many of these models got worse after their "upgrades" maybe that will be considered and the models will be tweaked back to what they were before these "upgrades" the only model that got better after its upgrade was the Canadian.
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maybe they have their own in house model runs they keep away from the weenies
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So still a fairly good chance that NYC maintains the futility record, Don? I'd say 50/50 at this point.
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Probably better for NYC to get less than half an inch and preserve that record
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12"? Only expecting maybe 6 inches in the Poconos. For NYC that 1-2 inches looks so meager I'd much rather less than half an inch and preserve the record.
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I remember when that happened in the snowicane in late February 2010 the snowpaste was stuck to the sides of houses too and made them look like igloos lol
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Not even sure why they're looking at the 3k NAM when it was already pointed out that's the digital zoom of "forecast" models.
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west/east rain snow lines do that, they're not extremely rare, but not common either. It's more common between NYC and Boston, I don't remember the last time it happened between ACY and NYC because they are at nearly the same longitude.
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and the ticks! Got to worry about those too, especially with Lyme disease on the rise.
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I can only theorize that the 3k nam has a lot of "fake resolution." It's like using digital zoom on a camera, something I'm well familiar with. It looks like it's picking up a lot of extra detail not seen in optical zoom, but that extra "detail" really isn't there and can result in an inaccurate image with false detail. Just say that the NAM itself is the digital zoom of weather models and call it a day/week/month/season lol
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I have seen them up in the Poconos too. Hopefully this storm gets rid of them, for awhile anyway.
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Yes lol I just thought it was funny right after that they put them up to cover the gap lol.
