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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Looks like taking an average of both extremes works out the best in most cases.
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lmaoooo do you remember the guy who measured snow by sticking his ruler in the ground upside down and then actually took a picture of it like that and reported the observed "snowfall total"?
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I think that might be a prerequisite to being obsessed with the weather. Exhibit One of a sane person: My sister, who measures rainfall with a bucket, doesn't care about rain gages because why would it matter to measure rainfall to the nearest .01 inch? She measures snow by sticking a ruler in the ground, just once. That's it. She watches weather reports on WABC and TWC. Doesn't care about weather models, because they are all wrong anyway, so might as well look at the most convenient way to access the weather as possible instead of scanning through a dozen different weather models through multiple runs. I told her about the forums and what you guys do. Her first question was....do they get paid for this kind of work? I said no. She shook her head....I believe she thinks we're all insane lmao. She's wayyyyy smarter than the average person, but she isn't obsessed so she sees meteorology as being inexact and just not worth trying to microanalyze every detail or worrying about a week in advance because no one and no model truly knows what the outcome will be. But with no knowledge of indices or any of that stuff, she did say that using analogs may no longer be that useful because with the changing climate weather is becoming less predictable. And weather is very important to her because she's an avid gardener, she just knows not to get obsessed with it because the outcome is still unknown days in advance no matter how much tech we have to throw at it.
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I actually agree with you. Which is why we must temper anger with sympathy.
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You should remember it because you were involved in it last year. So basically he said I was someone else and even said it in public and he sent me a message making the same allegation. You told him that I am not that person lol. Also, in all due respect, you're a very good mod, but you have a soft spot for him....perhaps if people stopped defending him he would modify his behavior. I've found weenieing people who weenie a good deterrent to make them think twice about that behavior but in all honesty 5 posting should also limit all other behavior on the forum. edit-- He claimed I was some guy named "Mersky" and I told him I'm not and I don't even know who that is, and he kept on about it. This was from Jan 28, 2021. I think he said it in public too and you told him I wasn't that person (whomever that is.) I still have the message and I called him paranoid even back then.
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He sent those to me too dude (last year- as you know)-- in all fairness if a guy is 5 posted he shouldn't be allowed to participate in any way on the forum after the 5 posts are up. He is a menace who sends threatening messages. Someone needs to take this up with Randy. I dont even give a shit about snow lol, I love summer heat a lot more because I'm pretty sure I've seen the best snowstorm this area is ever likely to see, his personality just rubs people the wrong way and he has a lot of paranoid tendencies that need to be addressed by a professional.
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oh interesting, so it looks like I shall be rooting for a south based -AO couple with a -PNA for the summer, does that seem likely from this far out? also for snowfall, is it true that any type of -NAO is better than any type of +NAO?
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Well that explains the cooler springs....I think you said that May was the month most likely to have a -NAO, does that have to do with lack of ice cover in the Arctic? Also the blocking last winter was south based but we still had good snows, does that mean that ANY -NAO even a south or east based one is better than any +NAO? Also interesting that we had our strongest -NAO on record in 2009-10, did it flip to a +NAO for our hottest summer on record in 2010 and then back to strongly -NAO again for the 2010-11 winter, Chris?
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APB out on Snowhole19 for weenieing and fleeing from the scene of a crime, he was last seen 4 hours ago leaving his last weenie at the end of the above post.
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a la March-April 1990 and a few other years