LibertyBell
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That might have to do with the west to east situation that Snowman mentioned. west (cause) -----> east (effect)
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I think the weather actually moves southwest to northeast, so we get input from the southeast ridge and that is what screws us. In the case of when there is fast Pacific flow and it does move due west to due east we are screwed because of our low (no) elevation. You really want to have both latitude and altitude in these kinds of patterns.
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But how come cold weather doesn't move west to east You know what I mean lol, it's frustrating to see it so cold in the west and that doesn't move west to east but the rain does lol
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It's definitely abnormal and is happening for the same reason the SE Ridge has been migrating north and sending the warmest weather into New England in the summer. You really didn't hear about these south based blocks before a few years ago.
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Thought it was in the La Nina winter of 88-89 in February 1989 there was a Norfolk to Atlantic City snowstorm, it was 19" in ACY and was supposed to be 6-8 inches up here but we just got virga. Another 6-8 inch bust the following December with rain and thunderstorms instead of snow lol. We busted from two different directions in the same calendar year in two different winters!
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wow to see 71 on this date in 2011! also: 1989 - Low pressure off the coast of North Carolina brought freezing rain and heavy snow to Virginia and the Carolinas. Snowfall totals in Virginia ranged up to 18 inches at Franklin. Freezing rain reached a thickness of two inches around Charlotte NC. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) This wasn't the February 1989 storm that dropped almost 20" in Atlantic City was it? Our big virga storm lol
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It's the 1950s scenario. March was the snowy month for that entire decade.
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I mean I don't really hate what they had this year, they really have been in a major drought there for years. It's good not to get wild fires. They need that a lot more than we do, it's tough being in a situation where one part of the country has to be in megadrought conditions for the other part of the country to get a good winter.
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They are talking about agricultural concerns in coastal California and in the valleys for historic late season freezes.
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I remember seeing my crocuses bloom on February 26, 2002, that was the earliest they have ever come out.
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and neither January nor February average temperatures for the whole month were near what are this time around were they Don? I think we can get it to 45 especially with how warm it will be next week, likely at least one or two 60 degree highs and lows in the 40s or higher.
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We still have a shot at that 2001-02 record....Don do you have a rough picture of what the average temp was in 2001-02 from this point through the end of February? Next week will be quite warm again.
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Yes the outcome from that map looks closer to normal for us, which probably means the last few days of February would still be above normal and the cold if it really comes would get here March 1st.
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It actually reminded me of May 2020 in the Poconos, I don't know if you remember that but we had rain changing to snow (small accumulation) and snow squalls the next day the whole day (Saturday) wind chills around 0 temps in the teens....and then two days later it quickly warmed up and we had small hail which I saw accumulate on my pool cover and deck. Fun weekend of weather....but much better for May than February.
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So I just looked at the CPC outlook and they have colder than normal for the NE colder the more north and east you go and closer to normal just south of us and warmer than normal in the SE. By far the coldest anomalies are out west though the entire west coast to the Rockies is well below normal in their forecast so it looks like the -PNA persists. Then I saw their three month forecast March-May and they have above normal temperatures for the entire country except for a small sliver of below normal up in the extreme Northern Plains.
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lmao I thought that was small hail...I mean it has felt like late spring the last few days
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also, that person needs to better define what they mean by "stretch"..... this "stretch" has lasted the vast majority of 2 months.
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Funny thing is it was near 70 this time last year too
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it is sunny and cold in the 20s, the birds are chirping and singing they know it's going to get warmer lol
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Nice and sunny this morning, birds are chirping and singing and it's in the 20s lol.....they know it's going to get warmer today!
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The question is, how long would this blocking pattern last? March 2018 was an extreme event, I don't think anyone really thinks that will happen...but are we talking about a 10 day period of blocking before it goes back to warmer weather?
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The question is, if this does occur post February 26 and we get the blocking we need....how long does it last? Don is your thinking that warmth returns after March 7th?
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so generally speaking from Virginia on south it's a T on the season and between Maryland and Long Island it's less than an inch.
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Thanks, I love these tables-- do one at the end of the season too, end of March or middle of April or whenever, I like seeing where everyone is at with relation to each other and what all of the averages are. JFK's average is already 3 inches behind everyone else lol.
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I quit reading JB after 2001-02 No one should have read anything written by him after that debacle.
