LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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Is it because the el nino isn't weakening as fast as it was supposed to? Don posted some interesting data about strong el ninos that weaken more slowly than others do-- they tend to be less snowy and more mild.
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I dont remember this much rain in 97-98
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and even when the cold air came in, the snow did not stick
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Don it's also useful to remember that there was a major storm on Long Island in February 2016, it was just barely east of Manhattan, and even there resulted in a big crane accident and death.
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if we really are in a negative PNA cycle it could be a decade or two before we have that again, you'd think it would happen in a very strong el nino but it hasn't. It makes me wonder if it's many years before we get a sustained positive PNA, what our climate will be like when it does happen again.
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yup, it's at that point we will be looking forward to baseball season, spring training will be starting by then too
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it's actually awesome we're going to see SUNSHINE AND NO RAIN. We need the break.
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it's why elevation is the #1 factor in snowfall regardless of pattern -
If it lasts for 30 years trust me, the next "good" period wont be as good to us, we only have to look at the climate projections to see that.
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but with the warm el nino December too enso really doesn't matter anymore this doesn't have anything to do with la nina or el nino it's simply warmer like it has been for years now
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if it's in a la nina base state why aren't we colder lol?
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Well, this is interesting, how far behind 2016 are we in terms of El Nino temperatures Chris? How are we so warm when the actual response in the weather is more like a La Nina?
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what caused the snowflakes to be so big? I wonder how large the largest snowflakes ever photographed were? 1887: Snowflakes "as large as milk pans" fell at Fort Keogh of Montana. The flakes, which were said to measure 15 inches across and 8 inches thick, hold the unofficial size record!
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But that's insignificant fluky snow that never sticks around long. It's why for sustained snow you want to be in the mountains
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even then as always, it's best to live in the mountains if you love snow.
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Go look at their profiles though I've effectively neutralized their low IQ ignorant selves by weenieing every post they ever make, thus they can't post their garbage anywhere on this site. They've also been banned from OT, so getting them 5 posted is next.
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It's good they have to keep their mouth shut, because they know whenever they post that I will go weenie every post they make for the rest of their lives, that keeps them quiet and their trash opinions out of the forum.
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it does show the dreaded Hudson valley stripe of rainfall at lower elevations near the river
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Chris what's the reason for the La Nina background state? Would you say climate change is causing the western PAC and IO to warm up much more quickly and that's what's triggering it?
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Hopefully we'll clear out by Tuesday Tony, seeing the sun yesterday was so nice.
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at least it will be sunny after Monday!
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what's causing this constant warm nose at 850 mb with storms this year even with a good track?
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thanks looks like 4" is the absolute high end there
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Thanks Walt, any reports on how much snow has accumulated at Mt Pocono? Are they in line for about 6" total do you think?
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the funny thing is, when you're in the middle of a snowy period (like, say the early 00s, or the early 10s), the snowy patterns worked out most of the time, but when you're in a period when it hasn't snowed much in a few years, it doesn't work out. Honestly 60s and sunny is so much better than 40s and rainy. And another thing-- there is zero correlation between a busted 60s forecast that verifies in the 40s leading to a snowy February vs if it had actually been in the 60s this week. I actually think if it had been in the 60s, the chances of a snowy February would have been a bit higher.
