LibertyBell
-
Posts
28,869 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LibertyBell
-
I don't get this desire for flooding rains, it's already rained plenty the last couple of days. And it's not completely dry right now, the roads are wet down here and it's too cold for early October. Floods don't bust droughts, they just create run off, which is useless and destructive. It takes several months for droughts to end (not that this one is such a bad drought anyway.)
-
My memory of that period is pristine as usual and you need to go back to whatever hole you crawled out of. Perhaps back to your blog, which has some of the most mediocre writing I've ever seen.
-
lmao as usual haha (also wrong there)-- you don't seem like the kind of person who would do well on standardized tests, you seem to have issues with context. It's delightful that you actually think that was a blanket statement that applies to the entire planet, but no, we're talking about the NYC region since that's the subforum we're in.
I was talking about our local area. I also posted a number of metrics that showed that Summer 1999 was indeed a hotter summer as measured by concentration of hot 90 degree days and by hottest month of the year (and indeed the hottest month in the NYC record-- July 1999) And the dryness of back to back near 0.5 inch months is nearly unmatched. My memory of that period is pristine as usual and you need to go back to whatever hole you crawled out of. Perhaps back to your blog, which has some of the most mediocre writing I've ever seen.
-
You said nowhere east of NJ recorded 100. You were wrong, as usual.
lmao as usual haha (also wrong there)-- you don't seem like the kind of person who would do well on standardized tests, you seem to have issues with context. It's delightful that you actually think that was a blanket statement that applies to the entire planet, but no, we're talking about the NYC region since that's the subforum we're in.
I was talking about our local area. I also posted a number of metrics that showed that Summer 1999 was indeed a hotter summer as measured by concentration of hot 90 degree days and by hottest month of the year (and indeed the hottest month in the NYC record-- July 1999)
You said nowhere east of NJ recorded 100. You were wrong, as usual.
lmao as usual haha (also wrong there)-- you don't seem like the kind of person who would do well on standardized tests, you seem to have issues with context. It's delightful that you actually think that was a blanket statement that applies to the entire planet, but no, we're talking about the NYC region since that's the subforum we're in.
I was talking about our local area. I also posted a number of metrics that showed that Summer 1999 was indeed a hotter summer as measured by concentration of hot 90 degree days and by hottest month of the year (and indeed the hottest month in the NYC record-- July 1999) And the dryness of back to back near 0.5 inch months is nearly unmatched. My memory of that period is pristine as usual and you need to go back to whatever hole you crawled out of. Perhaps back to your blog, which has some of the most mediocre writing I've ever seen.
-
It would be better if they went out to sea lol, it's been raining for 2 days already.
-
It's way too early for this ****. I hate having to turn my heat on so early.
-
There's a number of winters that fit this category, but there's a number that go the other way too. There's really just no way to tell. One thing we seem to have gotten rid of is what we had for most of the twentieth century, which is cold October, followed by mild November, followed by cold/snowy winters.
-
Maybe a little less than 1" I didn't get JFK's final total but they were under 1" last I checked. Haven't had a 1" rainfall since the beginning of met summer.
-
This is why we had a storm with 120 mph gusts hit Nova Scotia. It was like Sandy, but even stronger (931 mb vs 940 mb and 120 mph vs 100 mph). I don't know how high the surge was though.
-
Yes, this was my favorite summer in many years....I have to say since the big heat of the early 2010s ended. Remember earlier in the spring I conjectured that the dryness out west may be migrating further east....do you think this was the first warning shot of drier summers ahead? I think so, especially combined with the cool phase of the AMO.
-
The 5 straight 100 degree days matched 1993 which was also one of our hottest summers, however in the 1993 stretch it hit 105 twice and in 1993 there were also 9 total 100 degree days (I think EWR matched that too-- not sure.) What I'm confused about is what kept us from hitting 100 degrees here, Chris? We hit it 2-3 times even right on the coast in 1993. We had several days of 95+ but didn't quite hit the century mark. From the 90s I distinctly remember Craig Allen and others saying as long as we have below normal rainfall and dry summers we can reach 100 because with the ground so dry all the solar heat goes right into heating up the air close to the ground. Even if we have a sea breeze later in the day, the dry ground causes the temperature to rise so quickly we can reach 100 by noon or even just before. Our sea breeze doesn't usually kick in until around 2 PM. I went back to look at how amazing 1999 was with all that concentrated heat-- do you remember another period in NYC history when we received only half an inch of rain in back to back months?
-
Even if you go by average temperature (which I don't) 1999 still had the hottest month on record-- July 1999. Almost tied with July 1966 and July 2010 according to this. https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2012/07/revisiting-new-york-citys-hottest-summers-.html The summer of 1966, New York's second hottest on record, has the honor of having the hottest average monthly high temperature. Although July 1999 was the hottest month on record based on mean daily temperature (average of the day's high and low), the average high in July 1966 was hotter than July 1999 by 0.1 degree, 90.3° vs 90.2°. However, July 1999's average low was 3.5 degrees warmer (72.6° vs 69.1°) and that's what easily put it on top. July 2010 missed tying July 1999 as NYC's hottest month on record because of a 0.1 degree difference in average high temperature. However, 2010's consolation was that it become New York's hottest summer on record because June and August were hotter. The same page also mentions how dry 1999 was. Getting just one inch of rain over 2 months has to be some sort of record. Two of New York's five hottest summers were also extremely dry. 1966 had the the driest summer on record, with every month receiving less than two inches of rain (1.17" in June; 1.25" in July and 1.89" in August). The summer of 1999 was the fourth driest and featured the second driest June (0.59") and the driest July on record (0.44"). The combined rainfall of those two months was barely more than one inch (average rainfall in June and July is close to eight-and-a-half inches).
-
https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2013/07/how-hot-is-hot-concentration-of-90-degree-days.html This uses a more nuanced methology-- it ranks summers by concentration of 90 degree days between first and last. Looking at records dating back to 1872, the most 90-degree days in a year has been 39 - and it happened twice - in 1991 and 1993. However, while 1991's occurred over a lengthy span of 23 weeks, 1993's were more concentrated, occurring over five fewer weeks. 1991's hot days, in other words, were more "diluted". While 1991 experienced 90-degree temperatures during 24% of its "window", 1993's corresponding figure was 31%. Yet, neither of these hot summers come close to 1999. Although that year had ten fewer 90-degree days, they were concentrated in a sixty-day window. That means that close to half of the days during its 90-degree window were in the 90s. And 1988 wasn't far behind, with 33 90-degree days over 77 days (43% concentration). Four other years with a considerable number of 90-degree days (24 or more) also had a higher concentration of 90-degree temperatures than either 1991 or 1993. So, you be the judge over which summer was hotter. Even if you go by average temperature (which I don't) 1999 still had the hottest month on record-- July 1999. Almost tied with July 1966 and July 2010 according to this. https://thestarryeye.typepad.com/weather/2012/07/revisiting-new-york-citys-hottest-summers-.html The summer of 1966, New York's second hottest on record, has the honor of having the hottest average monthly high temperature. Although July 1999 was the hottest month on record based on mean daily temperature (average of the day's high and low), the average high in July 1966 was hotter than July 1999 by 0.1 degree, 90.3° vs 90.2°. However, July 1999's average low was 3.5 degrees warmer (72.6° vs 69.1°) and that's what easily put it on top. July 2010 missed tying July 1999 as NYC's hottest month on record because of a 0.1 degree difference in average high temperature. However, 2010's consolation was that it become New York's hottest summer on record because June and August were hotter. The same page also mentions how dry 1999 was. Getting just one inch of rain over 2 months has to be some sort of record. Two of New York's five hottest summers were also extremely dry. 1966 had the the driest summer on record, with every month receiving less than two inches of rain (1.17" in June; 1.25" in July and 1.89" in August). The summer of 1999 was the fourth driest and featured the second driest June (0.59") and the driest July on record (0.44"). The combined rainfall of those two months was barely more than one inch (average rainfall in June and July is close to eight-and-a-half inches).
-
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://www.euronews.com/green/amp/2022/09/23/shell-bp-exxon-seized-emails-reveal-deceptive-climate-tactics-and-greenwashing Oil and gas companies may commit to net zero goals in public - but internal emails tell a different story. A US congressional investigation into climate disinformation has revealed over 200 pages of in-house messages between lobbyists and Shell, Chevron, and ExxonMobil employees. In these internal memos, personnel question their own environmental commitments and joke about climate collapse. Politicians and campaigners have slammed the companies for their “deception.” “These revelations are the latest evidence that oil giants keep lying about their commitments to solve the climate crisis and should never be trusted by policymakers,” said Richard Wiles, president of the Center for Climate Integrity. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09644016.2021.1947636 ABSTRACT The role of particular scientists in opposing policies to slow and halt global warming has been extensively documented. The role of economists, however, has received less attention. Here, I trace the history of an influential group of economic consultants hired by the petroleum industry from the 1990s to the 2010s to estimate the costs of various proposed climate policies. The economists used models that inflated predicted costs while ignoring policy benefits, and their results were often portrayed to the public as independent rather than industry-sponsored. Their work played a key role in undermining numerous major climate policy initiatives in the US over a span of decades, including carbon pricing and participation in international climate agreements. This study illustrates how the fossil fuel industry has funded biased economic analyses to oppose climate policy and highlights the need for greater attention on the role of economists and economic paradigms, doctrines, and models in climate policy delay. -
No there is a big argument for not using average temperatures because that also factors in low temperatures. That's not how "hot" is defined. "HOT" is defined by the number of 90 degree days. The more 90 degree days a summer has, the more hot days a summer has....the data speaks for itself. 90 degrees is the threshold for "HOT" not low temps in the 70s or 80s or whatever. And last I checked Boston isn't in our region.
-
where's this coming from? That thing isn't even a tropical storm anymore
-
Yeah I mean it happened in NJ but nowhere east of there. Someone said this summer was hotter than 1999 and drier-- no way the whole area was over 100 in 1999 and much drier-- we had a major drought until Floyd hit. 1999 had the hottest month on record in July 1999 until July 2010 came along and 20 90 degree days in that month alone! This was a moderately hot and dry summer.
-
Damn almost made it through all of met summer without significant rainfall. Well at least we did it through all of astro summer. The weird thing is even with all this dryness and heat we still didn't hit 100 anywhere this summer except for EWR. I wonder why that is-- it's said that you need a dry summer to get to 100. You can even get there if the sea breeze comes in later in the day because the dry weather causes the temps to rise much faster in the morning-- I've seen it hit 100 here as early as 11 AM in such scenarios.
-
I loved how the sun came out in the middle of the day lol. Was that the "eye" of the storm haha?
-
What's causing all this early season cold weather Don and what are its implications on the winter?
-
That came really early in the morning. The sun was out during the late morning to mid day hours. When was the last time JFK had an inch or more of rainfall?
-
Extremely windy tonight!
-
It will be over $100 billion
-
Question is when will people learn the lessons these storms are trying to teach us?
