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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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wind direction might have something to do with it too. If we had more of a northerly wind rather than a westerly wind, we would have much less downsloping and a direct shot of arctic air.
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MJO will bring up late March / early April analogs for snowstorms. There is one coming out of a la nina that comes to mind..... April Fools Day 1997.
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No and it didn't apply in 2009-10 either. New England thought they'd have a great March once the block broke down at the end of February. But instead all they (and we) got was a powerful rainy noreaster. These kinds of patterns go from one extreme to the other.
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It's very unsteady and not reliable. I think most people here would prefer having a floor of around 20 inches (that is no season with less than 20 inches of snow.)
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You want to see real snow, go to the Poconos. Coastal areas aren't good for snow anymore. Right now there are major white out conditions happening in the Poconos with a big snow squall warning. If you want snow, you need to get away from sea level.
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I remember in late December people were worried about suppression in January. In retrospect the December pattern was a hell of a lot better than the January pattern for us.
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that's why my favorite kind of climate is snow without much cold. In other words, get a lot of snow but let it be warm and sunny in between snowstorms. Snowcover for a week or so is nice, but I don't want it to be cold for an entire month. And I absolutely hate rain, so when it's not snowing it should be sunny :-)
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The only historically cold winter months I remember since the 80s ended are January 1994, January 2004 and February 2015.
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To be honest, a negative NAO wasn't helping us at all either, it just made it cold and dry. Why can't the NAO just stop at neutral?
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Saves on heating costs though.
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It's going to become so quiet in here unless something historic happens (could be anything, historic rainfall, historic dryness, historic high temperatures, etc.)
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Chris, what does it look like using the global method?
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How long will it take for us to change and adopt the global method too?
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It's really weird to see the models bust so badly and not in the long range either. 5 days out they had a big arctic outbreak for Thursday and Friday and this event wasn't supposed to come in until Saturday. So we all thought the SE Ridge would wait until February 1st.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
we shall see how humanity survives the current mass extinction too, I could see humanity going back to a pretechnology state by then. -
la ninas after el ninos are excellent for cold and snow usually.
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Wasn't there a snowstorm in April 1965 up here? Note-- the following winter was a major el nino (1965-66) and late season blocking during la ninas is strongly linked to an el nino the following winter.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
also, we must realize that for 85% of earth's history there was no ice at either pole. Perhaps we will see an explosion of new life. We might return to what it was like during the Mesozoic. -
It's actually rather ingenious. Nature creates its own micro environment. PS-- did you ever read about how trees in the Amazon control their own rainfall?
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Yes, it's like the heatwave they had a few years ago. Also, barely any snow at all in Alaska.
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All months should have 30 days, the whole idea of 31 days is stupid.