LibertyBell

Did you notice that all that all the accumulating snow was well north of us? Even in this so-called colder pattern, the snow didn't even make it into Boston. It was in the upper midwest to northern new england. This is what shows me that March is truly a spring month. We can really only count on snow in January and February. Any other month is a coinflip, even in a colder pattern.

Chris, what would JFK need to get to 10.0 and 12.0?

ah so maybe that front and low the GFS had yesterday might move out quicker than anticipated and allow clearing by Monday the 8th?

can't blame it on el nino either since last year had a la nina. I didn't realize April 2023 was so wet-- I only remember the two day heatwave we had with the temperatures in the low 90s.

I'm putting this here because there are several health problems associated with fossil fuels and the climate is not even the worst of them. Bolded part-- https://www.popsci.com/environment/plastic-chemicals-are-inescapable-and-theyre-messing-with-our-hormones/?utm_source=pocket-newtab-en-us If you were to create a recipe for plastics, you’d need a very big cookbook. In addition to fossil fuel-based building blocks like ethylene and propylene, this ubiquitous material is made from a dizzying amalgam of more than 16,000 chemicals—colorants, flame retardants, stabilizers, lubricants, plasticizers, and other substances, many of whose exact functions, structures, and toxicity are poorly understood. What is known presents many reasons for concern. Scientists know, for example, that at least 3,200 plastic chemicals pose risks to human health or the environment. They know that most of these compounds can leach into food and beverages, and that they cost the U.S. more than $900 billion in health expenses annually. Yet only 6 percent of plastic chemicals—which can account for up to 70 percent of a product’s weight—are subject to international regulations. Over the past few months, a flurry of studies and reports have highlighted one group of substances as particularly problematic: “endocrine-disrupting chemicals,” or EDCs. These chemicals, released at every stage of the plastic life cycle, mimic hormones and interfere with the metabolic and reproductive systems. They were recently found in samples of plastic food packaging from around the world, and a study published last month linked them to 20 percent the United States’ preterm births. The unchecked production, distribution, and disposal of plastics and other petrochemical-based products has led to “a perpetual cycle of human exposure to EDCs from contaminated air, food, drinking water, and soil,” Tracey Woodruff, a professor of reproductive sciences at the University of California, San Francisco, wrote in the New England Journal of Medicine earlier this month. Philip Landrigan, a public health physician and professor of epidemiology at Boston College, told Grist that the crisis has “quietly and insidiously gotten worse while all attention has been focused on the climate.” Although some policymakers have taken steps to protect people from EDCs—the European Commission, for example, in 2022 proposed stricter labeling regulations that would require companies to alert consumers of their hazards—many in the field believe the overarching response has been incommensurate with the scale of the crisis. Because so many plastics and petrochemical products are traded internationally, some endocrinologists and public health authorities believe a global approach is needed. “This is an international problem that is affecting our world and its future,” said Andrea Gore, a professor of pharmacology and toxicology at the University of Texas, Austin. Gore and others are appealing to the negotiators of the U.N. global plastics treaty, who meet for their next round of talks next month in Ottawa, Canada. There is increasing interest among delegates for a treaty that not only protects the environment, but public health—a step that the international nature of the EDC problem makes clear must be taken.

Then more like a 1983/2011 combo, those were two of our wettest years on record, with a lot of 90 degree heat and high humidity and 2011 had over 100 degrees in July, before we had another very wet month in August (wettest month on record for some.)

thats the worst possible thing-- it means extensive cloud cover near the region of totality and any breaks in the clouds would be further east, near the ocean.

I wonder if other models are showing similar. As far as large scale features, what's going on-- is there a stalled front with a low moving along it?

wow I didn't remember we had mid 80s temps in March in 2021.... another nearly snowless winter?

wow I have to get used to these maps lol, when I see so much plain white my immediate thought is clear skies. Did this one actually get cloudier than the previous run?

why would hot and dry be brutal? that would be amazing actually. Let's go 1983/2010 redux!

large scale features like fronts should be in that general area though right? it's probably easier to predict the general location of a front as opposed to a rain/snow line I would think... a lot of outlets like TWC, Accuweather, etc, are putting out maps like this now.

Thanks, Hopefully we can get a run that's closer to 3 PM on that day....?

another thing, this forecast is for 1 PM local time, totality is at around 3:20 to 3:30 PM is it possible that clear area will move further east in that time to reach at least NE PA up to Syracuse?

I've never seen a map of this type before-- thanks so much! Am I reading this correctly though-- the closer to white, the more chances of clouds? Does this mean that upstate NY has more and more clouds the further north you go and so does eastern Long Island? 97% cloud cover for Scranton? 75% for Binghamton and 87% for Syracuse? 88% cloud cover for western Long Island but only 27% cloud cover for Williamsport, PA? And I see when you go up the Hudson Valley there is a sweet spot but that doesn't seem to be in the zone of totality? Is that 57% at Saratoga Springs? Best bet is north central and western PA north of Pittsburgh and eastern Ohio near the PA border?

early forecast for the eclipse Tony?

I swear these people who love rain so much probably had ancestors who were crossbred with ducks....

I mean, I saw other people talking about doing the same thing on the local news, so it should be fun. I've been to Albany several times, but that's about as far north as I've gone. I thought Syracuse was more like Central New York, I didn't realize it was so far north!

on the positive side a ridge this strong will bring down arctic high pressure and keep us clear for the eclipse maybe?

it's party sunny and nice today, looks like the only day with rain is Thursday.

it's actually nice today with partly sunny skies, looks like the rainy forecasts are getting less rainy with time less clouds too.

The good thing is you dont need a room to see an eclipse. I plan on just getting there and coming back, no nights spent anywhere.

Smart-- see my previous post, the further east the better.

wow talk about good planning..... based on the maps I saw today it looks like a front could be hung up across the middle of the country with rain from Dallas to Cleveland and Pittsburgh.... the further east the better! Even Maine could be better than Dallas or Cleveland!

It looks like rain there on the flip side it could be better in Syracuse. Support New York!