NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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It's a complex phase with multiple pieces and moving parts. The cleaner the phase the stronger the storm. It needs to come together perfectly for us to reach max potential. Boston and E LI has more wiggle room.
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As others have said, battle going on internally because of the double barrel lows. Need the energy to consolidate into one large storm. If that happens we will end up with something similar to what the 00z NAM had. If this doesn't happen and we get an elongated duel surface low than the 12"+ amounts will be delegated to Suffolk County, North and East and the wind threat will be much lower.
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This model and the HRRR are becoming more important now. You want to look for short term trends.
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I still think this has room to jog back West later today. The important thing was that the Southern piece ejected and got out ahead of the Northern piece which it has. We're still about 18hrs away from showtime.
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Before everyone panics the NAM is still a big hit.
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Any further West and E LI will dry slot after about 20” of snow.
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I think the city has a good shot at 20”
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Who said this was done coming West?
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It's sloppy, just like the Euro. Hopefully the 00z runs tonight have a better clue.
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GFS caves. Closing off East of Delmarva.
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Yeah, just like Juno...
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Every time you mention the name Juno it gives undo credibility to the Weather channel's marketing ploy of naming winter storms. Secondly, I didn't see a single flake in that storm 25 miles West of the city. This storm will make it much further West even if the more tucked in solutions are incorrect.
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Close to 4 feet West of Boston.
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Still snowing here.
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Mega hit East of the Hudson river. Still have work to do West of the city.
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Still deepening. Down to 957mb.
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962mb. Storm force winds well inland.
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Looks a lot like the 12z ICON.
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