NJwx85
-
Posts
19,256 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NJwx85
-
Current run
-
The threat hasn't really changed for the Hudson Valley and interior NNJ.
-
12z 3K NAM. Really surprised they only went with an advisory for Orange and Rockland and Sussex. This looks pretty bad. Western Passaic too.
-
It scaled back the Southeastern extent but had more icing for places like Rockland, Westchester and Bergen Counties.
-
The 12z NAM looks icier than 06z.
-
Having recently lived in both Bergen County NJ and Rockland County I can honestly say that Rockland is like a poor man’s version of Bergen County.
-
Since when did this turn into the snowpack observation thread? Yes the HRRR doesn't have much ice South of 287 in Rockland but the GFS, 06z 3K NAM and some of the other mesoscale models are still on board. 12z will be telling.
-
Very old infrastructure. Also LI has LIPA and PSE&G LI. NJ has O&R, PSE&G and JCP&L.
-
18z GFS holding steady.
-
He should consider himself lucky. Lost power for multiple days during the October snowstorm from 2011 and of course during Irene, Floyd, Sandy and Isaias.
-
Not sure if anyone posted this yet. 3k NAM actually has a lot of sleet for the interior.
-
Another slight tick up.
-
The NAM gets sleet all the way down into the city before precip finally shuts off. It's also not as robust as the GFS with the amount that falls during the day on Friday.
-
This is why the NAM cannot be trusted. It just shifted the significant icing 50 miles SE in one run.
-
Not to beat a dead horse but you said NYC metro I believe. Anyway, long range HRRR has been trending icier.
-
Daytime? Temperatures are in the lower 20's outside of the city and it's the first week of February.
-
Even if you took a blend of the GFS and Euro and sprinkled in a touch of the RGEM and the NAM, you still end up with a pretty nasty ice storm for the NW half of the sub forum and issues all the way into LI and CNJ.
-
He gets like this with every storm that doesn't drop a foot of snow or more on his backyard.
-
LOL, this means absolutely nothing. The temperatures will reach the lower to mid 40's region wide tomorrow and that has been well forecasted for several days. The plunge begins late tomorrow night.
-
We have a barometer in this storm. How fast does KSWF change over to sleet/snow. If they don't end up getting that much ZR up in Orange County it means the colder air is penetrating farther SE.
-
If you blend the Euro and GFS it ends up not being that big of a deal in NYC itself. Sure, if you take the GFS verbatim then it could be a much bigger issue.
-
The RGEM is warmer but temperatures plummet after 15z. 0.2" still falls on the RGEM between 18z and 00z. The Euro only has a trace during the same period. That's the difference.
-
Yes but as others have said you're not going to get ice accumulating that much at 30-32 degrees.
