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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    We need something to breakup the pattern. With a few exceptions this year it's been mostly cutter central with no blocking.
  2. NJwx85
    The trough is actually quite amplified but the flow is too progressive. Really could have used some ridging over Greenland. The lack of blocking is a major issue.
  3. NJwx85
    Miller A’s are exceedingly difficult to track this far out. Still think is our best chance YTD for a big time KU.
  4. NJwx85
    I like the threat for next weekend. Haven’t been watching that closely but the ingredients are there for a big one.
  5. NJwx85
    I’m going with 2-4” for my neck of the woods which is basically the 287 corridor. 1-3” for 95 looks reasonable with a trace for the city and areas further East. Once you get up by I-84 and into the Binghamton and Albany CWA’s I think you’re in the 6-10” range.
  6. NJwx85
    Thank you! We have a Son. His name is Michael and he was two weeks old yesterday. I can’t believe how much he’s changed already.
  7. NJwx85
    Hate to say it but this looks like more sleet than snow in places that stay cold at the surface. I expect the coast to quickly changeover after 1-3 hours of snow to start.
  8. NJwx85
    Sorry guys haven’t been around much. My Wife and I welcomed our first child on New Years Eve.
  9. NJwx85
    You can blame the Northern stream for eroding heights over the Western Atlantic. Get a grip. It's December 17th. Consider yourself lucky that you've already seen flakes this year.
  10. NJwx85
    lol
  11. NJwx85
    Yes because both scenarios/setups are exactly the same.
  12. NJwx85
    Most of the 12z tropical guidance shifted North with landfall near Jacksonville in about 72 hours. FWIW, the 06z GEFS were very unimpressed with a weak storm gradually making it into the Western Gulf.
  13. NJwx85
    Lots of wind and rain. It looks pretty fierce at 850mb. Need to see more panels between 216 and 240.
  14. NJwx85
    Day 8-9 on the Euro is not exactly in the same ballpark as day 16 on the Goofus.
  15. NJwx85
    Fun times ahead, maybe?
  16. NJwx85
    Both the 12z GFS and the ECMWF show an organized TC in the Southern Bahamas in the Day 9-10 time frame. Obviously a lot can change, including land interaction, but the setup is pretty intriguing for the East coast and New England with a well timed, relatively deep trough moving through the lakes. If the TC arrives early or the front speeds up, it could punt the storm OTS like the GFS. The Euro verbatim looks like it would be somewhat of a phase, similar to Floyd.
  17. NJwx85
    The Euro keeps 94L weaker much longer, but still eventually develops the system North of the islands in about a week. The question from here is does the ridge over the Eastern US hold and push the steer the storm towards Florida or does the incoming trough pull it North at the last minute?
  18. NJwx85
    It's the peak of Hurricane season. It would be abnormal if we didn't at least have a threat to track right now lol.
  19. NJwx85
    Had almost 5” of rain in Mahwah for the 11/2-11/3 storm.
  20. NJwx85
    PA tornado outbreak?
  21. NJwx85
    "Shaking felt thousands of miles away, devastation from Boston to DC as 8.0 magnitude Earthquake strikes along the Ramapo fault in NJ"
  22. NJwx85
    Is @HurricaneJosh still over in that region? If so, might as well hope over to Taiwan for the next one.
  23. NJwx85
    He hasn’t posted anything on Twitter or Facebook for roughly seven hours. He said he was about to lose all connectivity and he was still well outside the eyewall. Probably one of his most dangerous chases ever given the remote location and intensity.
  24. NJwx85
    DIX destroyed OKX this time around.
  25. NJwx85
    It's really annoying that KDIX is down again.
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