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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

  1. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Precip rolling in quicker as well. Just after sunset for many SW NC locations.
  2. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    One thing that concerns me a little bit is how pronounced this CAD is on all models already. CAD usually strengthens within 48 hours. This is early in the season so we will see if that still holds true this time.
  3. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    For the foothills that’s all freezing rain and sleet. And a lot of it.
  4. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Get use to seeing that this winter. Plenty of moisture and a 1035 H in NY. You get that look in Jan and it’s lights out east of the blue ridge with the CAD.
  5. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I’m starting to get anxious now. Robert throwing around 09/10 as potential analog for this winter. I’ll cash out now please.
  6. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Worst flooding I’ve seen here since Frances and Ivan hit us back to back in 04.
  7. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Near NC/SC line on the Saluda grade off I-26
  8. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Flooding unbelievable here this morning. Already over 6 inches of rain. Nice win for the FV3 GFS being furthest NW than other models.
  9. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Over 3 inches today, 5 inches up in northern end of the county on buck creek. Managed to surpass the forecasted storm total before the storm arrived.
  10. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Crazy day here. Many creeks and a river out of their banks here already. 3.12 as the storm total so far and the storm hasn’t arrived yet. Our local NWS said 3-4 would be the total rain for this event. Oy.
  11. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    This is different than most storms for two reasons. The forward speed once inland and the fact that the worst of this storm could be on the NW side versus the typical east side.
  12. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I’m seeing due north movement.
  13. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Not off to a good start here from this pre storm rain. Tropical downpours here this morning led to a lot of accidents on US 221. A good 8 mile chunk of the road in the county is shutdown due to multiple accidents.
  14. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Not too much surprise but the track is being adjusted north and west as the ridge is holding strong.
  15. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yeah very interesting. Euro just showed 68 mph wind gust here on the escarpment.
  16. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    This storm is unique in the sense that once it’s inland the heaviest rain will be NW of the center.
  17. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Whoever gets in on the band that develops on the NW side of this storm is going to get plastered. That looks to be somewhere in N.C. piedmont based on the 12Z runs today so far.
  18. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    One thing I’m seeing is that it appears with this storm the heavy axis of precip appears to be on NW side.
  19. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    It was a weird motion. Was south of guidance around Columbia then up below GSP then jumped east from there instead of NW.
  20. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Finished with 6.2 for the event. Not too shabby. Looks like I may pick up an additional inch or so this afternoon from storms. Flood watch extended.
  21. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Oh yeah definitely not but it did flood, sad to say it’s almost become the norm this year to see a flood warning for a portion of the Catawba but when you have over 70 inches or rain YTD in September I guess that’s to be expected lol.
  22. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    The North Fork of the Catawba did reach flood stage and flooded last night.
  23. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Need to be aware this afternoon and evening. Wherever these storms set up, additional flooding is likely.
  24. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Interesting. To your point, south toe at the hemlocks is raging right now. Flood warning there.
  25. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Flash flood warnings being hoisted for here until 8. Very concerning we are seeing this already.
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