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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

  1. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I think that until I see the next GFS
  2. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I didn’t see the Euro shifting way east. Especially not it’s ensembles.
  3. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    It’s actually cape fear not Wilmington. So not that much further north actually.
  4. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    It’s the GFS, didn’t get its nickname for no reason
  5. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    So we went from WNW to due west movement in he latest advisory. Interesting.
  6. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    6Z HWRF a carbon copy of 0Z Euro. Yikes
  7. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    If you’re in central or WNC you better beg and plead that the Euro is wrong. That’s Biblical flooding.
  8. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    My worst fear for WNC just happened with the Euro run. And then the Euro ensembles cluster from Charleston to Myrtle makes it even worse. With the flow enhancement, some mountain and foothill locations would see 4 feet of rain. Wow.
  9. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    All track depending. It’s going to stall, just a matter of where.
  10. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    And an ark.
  11. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Curious on your thoughts but this cannot be good for the mountains and foothills with the enhanced flow into this area.
  12. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I would never trust a model in which the ridge is stronger each run and the LP further north and east. The GFS has been horrendous with this storm especially in regards to strength of this storm which is everything. I would not be shocked at all to see a Charleston to Georgetown landfall moving NW from there.
  13. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Yep. Look no further than the EPS and the UK ensembles. Definitely show what would be a Charleston landfall. Flo is going to have to get her act going soon as most models have her starting her WNW and eventually NW motion soon.
  14. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Wow you definitely can see the south movement there. Good comparison
  15. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    I’m shocked at the EPS. Virtually every member is SW of the Euro run with a concentration on Charleston.
  16. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Wow you can easily identify the eastern escarpment there. Got over 4 inches out of last system, look to get at least that much this go around.
  17. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=seus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2018032106&fh=120
  18. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    ICON goes bonkers over WNC for the weekend storm. Been the best model this year at least for this part of the state.
  19. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    ICON > GFS This year anyway
  20. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    That map looks eerily similar to the one for the last storm about 3 days out. Saw that one inch further south each run.
  21. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    GFS takes a yuge step toward the Euro/CMC solution.
  22. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    GFS comes south and tries to come off the island it’s on.
  23. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    Might want to look again.
  24. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    CMC big hit as well
  25. Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
    GFS good for WNC
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